Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site
Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›
0-0 · Power #17
3
final
Final
vs
0-0 · Power #8
34
▲ winner
Closing spread
UGA -10.5
✓ UGA W
Total
49.5
▼ Under · 37 pts
Model before kickoff
CLEM 21–32 UGA
✓ UGA (78%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenUGA -13.5
CloseUGA -10.5
Total47.5 → 49.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
3 pts toward Clemson
Total
Up 2 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UGA -13.5 · closed UGA -10.5 · moved 3 toward CLEMmodel UGA -12.5
Opened 47.5 · closed 49.5 · moved 2 upmodel 52
Openline modelKickoff
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenUGA -13.5
CloseUGA -10.5
Total47.5 → 49.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UGA as a 10.5-point neutral-site favorite against CLEM, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: UGA won 34–3; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 49.5, as in 7 of 10.
Favorite won
8 of 1080%
Normal range · usually 77%
Favorite covered
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 49%
Went over
3 of 1030%
Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 15.3 against an average line of 10.2; 45.9 points a game (usually 55.2). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & team ratings
-1443–20 W O50
Close
ALA vs CIN
2021 · Postseason · close · similar team ratings
-1327–6 W U57.5
Close
UGA vs FLA
2021 · Week 9 · close · similar total
-1434–7 W U50.5
Loose
UGA vs MICH
2021 · Postseason · loose · similar total
-7.534–11 W U46
Loose
2023 · Postseason · loose · similar total & team ratings
-43–14 L U51
Loose
UGA vs ORE
2022 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation
-1649–3 W U54.5
Loose
MICH vs PUR
2022 · Week 14 · loose
-15.7543–22 W O54
Loose
2023 · Postseason · loose
-9.535–31 L O58.5
Loose
TA&M vs ARK
2021 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation
-4.510–20 L U47
Loose
2023 · Postseason · loose · similar total
-3.528–19 W U48.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Clemson ATS trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Slight Over trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Market moved toward Clemson
3 pts (UGA -13.5 → UGA -10.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Total moved up 2
47.5 → 49.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Clemson have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
CLEM1st game
UGA1st game
Even

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week