Colorado State @ Texas: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2024)

Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Texas

Weather at kickoff91°F10 mphgusts 19DryWeather watch ›

Colorado State

0-0 · Power #100

final

Final

Texas

0-0 · Power #2

▲ winner

Closing spread

TEX -34.5

✓ TEX W

Total

62.5

▼ Under · 52 pts

Model before kickoff

CSU 9–44 TEX

✓ TEX (99%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEX -36.5

CloseTEX -34.5

Total59.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTEX -36.5

2 → CSU

CloseTEX -34.5

2 pts toward Colorado State

Total

Open59.5

▲ 3

Close62.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TEX -36.5 · closed TEX -34.5 · moved 2 toward CSUmodel TEX -33

model TEX -33

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEX -36.5

CloseTEX -34.5

Total59.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TEX as a 34.5-point home favorite against CSU, the favorite won 10, covered 7, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: TEX won 52–0; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 52 points stayed under 62.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 98%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 53%

Went over

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 39.4 against an average line of 34.2; 59 points a game (usually 55.9). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TEX vs RICE 2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-35.25	37–10	L	U59
Close	OSU vs TOL 2022 · Week 3 · close · similar total & situation	-31.5	77–21	W	O63
Close	MISS vs VAN 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar spread	-35.75	31–17	L	U65.5
Close	TENN vs CONN 2023 · Week 10 · close	-35.5	59–3	W	O55.5
Close	FLA vs VAN 2021 · Week 6 · close · similar total	-39	42–0	W	U60
Close	USC vs COLO 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar total	-34.5	55–17	W	O66
Close	MSU vs AKR 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar situation	-34.5	52–0	W	U56
Close	WASH vs TLSA 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & spread	-34	43–10	L	U66.5
Loose	MICH vs CSU 2022 · Week 1 · loose · similar total & situation	-31	51–7	W	U60.75
Loose	OU vs UTEP 2022 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & team ratings	-31	45–13	W	P58

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found