Sacramento State @ San José State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2024)

Thu, Aug 29, 2024, 10:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at San José State

Weather at kickoff71°F11 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

Sacramento State

0-0

final

Final

San José State

0-0 · Power #86

▲ winner

Closing spread

SJSU -2.5

✓ SJSU W

Total

62.5

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

SAC 24–29 SJSU

✓ SJSU (63%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSJSU -4

CloseSJSU -2.5

Total60.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSJSU -4

1.5 → SAC

CloseSJSU -2.5

1.5 pts toward Sacramento State

Total

Open60.5

▲ 2

Close62.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SJSU -4 · closed SJSU -2.5 · moved 1.5 toward SACmodel SJSU -13

model SJSU -13

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 50% (102 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSJSU -4

CloseSJSU -2.5

Total60.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SJSU as a 2.5-point home favorite against SAC, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: SJSU won 42–24; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 66 points went over 62.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.3 against an average line of 4.4; 58.1 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	FAU vs OHIO 2023 · Week 2 · very close · similar total & situation	-3.5	10–17	L	U61.5
Very close	GAST vs CONN 2023 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	35–14	W	U54.5
Close	UAB vs UL 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar total & situation	-2	21–41	L	O59.5
Close	EMU vs OHIO 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar total	-6	26–34	L	U61.75
Close	USU vs HAW 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar spread	-4	51–31	W	O66
Close	TLSA vs TEM 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar spread	-3	48–26	W	O55
Close	TOL vs KENT 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar total	-7	52–31	W	O62.5
Close	GAST vs GASO 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & total	-2.5	41–33	W	O66.5
Close	CMU vs BALL 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar team ratings	-7.5	16–17	L	U63.5
Close	GASO vs ODU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar total	-5.5	17–20	L	U61.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found