Fri, Aug 30, 2024, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Oklahoma
Closing spread
OU -43.5
✓ OU W
Total
57.5
▼ Under · 54 pts
Model before kickoff
TEM 8–51 OU
✓ OU (100%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenOU -42.5
CloseOU -43.5
Total59.5 → 57.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOU -42.5
1 → OU
CloseOU -43.5
1 pt toward Oklahoma
Total
Open59.5
▼ 2
Close57.5
Down 2 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OU -42.5 · closed OU -43.5 · moved 1 toward OUmodel OU -38.5
model OU -38.5
Opened 59.5 · closed 57.5 · moved 2 downmodel 59
model 59
Openline modelKickoff
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenOU -42.5
CloseOU -43.5
Total59.5 → 57.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
OU as a 43.5-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 10, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.
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This game: OU won 51–3; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 54 points stayed under 57.5, as in 6 of 10.
Favorite won
10 of 10100%
Normal range · usually 100%
Favorite covered
5 of 956%
Normal range · usually 44%
Went over
4 of 1040%
Normal range · usually 40%
Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 40.7 against an average line of 40.3; 56.7 points a game (usually 57.7). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Close |
2023 · Week 1 · close · similar situation |
-39.5 | 56–7 | W | O51.75 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 7 · close · similar total & situation |
-42 | 63–0 | W | O55 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & spread |
-42 | 45–3 | P | U52.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & total |
-38 | 35–7 | L | U57.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & spread |
-40.75 | 31–6 | L | U53.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 1 · close · similar situation |
-38 | 66–14 | W | O63.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & spread |
-41 | 49–21 | L | O56 |
| Loose |
2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & team ratings |
-38.25 | 55–10 | W | U67.75 |
| Loose |  OSU vs  ARST2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & spread |
-44.5 | 45–12 | L | U68.5 |
| Loose |  FLA vs  VAN2021 · Week 6 · loose · similar team ratings |
-39 | 42–0 | W | U60 |
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HAWHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
Slight Under trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Total moved down 2
59.5 → 57.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Temple have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Stayed under: it needed 18 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 51% of games with totals 53.5–61.5 went over.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TEM | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 5-4 56% |
| OU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
The series
TEM 1–3 OU
OU leads · 4 games since 1940 · OU has won the last 2 meetings
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
OU +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
86° · 8 mph
gusts 17 mph · at kickoff
Rest
TEM1st game
OU1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
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