Sam Houston @ Rice: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2024)

Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Rice

Weather at kickoff83°F11 mphgusts 19Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Sam Houston

0-0 · Power #93

▲ winner

Final

Rice

0-0 · Power #104

final

Closing spread

RICE -9.5

✓ SHSU W

Total

48.5

▼ Under · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

SHSU 19–29 RICE

✗ RICE (75%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenRICE -12

CloseRICE -9.5

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenRICE -12

2.5 → SHSU

CloseRICE -9.5

2.5 pts toward Sam Houston

Total

Open48.5

no move

Close48.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened RICE -12 · closed RICE -9.5 · moved 2.5 toward SHSUmodel RICE -8.5

model RICE -8.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 8.5–10.5 since 2023: won 82%, covered 48% (51 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenRICE -12

CloseRICE -9.5

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like RICE as a 9.5-point home favorite against SHSU, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: SHSU won 34–14 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 48 points stayed under 48.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.1 against an average line of 9.1; 44.5 points a game (usually 54.6). Of the 3 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LIB vs BGSU 2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & situation	-9	34–24	W	O49
Very close	UVA vs ODU 2022 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & situation	-8.25	16–14	L	U52.5
Very close	SDSU vs NEV 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & spread	-11	0–6	L	U48.5
Very close	LIB vs NMSU 2023 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & situation	-9.5	33–17	W	U54.5
Very close	CMU vs BGSU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-6	18–34	L	O50.5
Very close	BC vs NIU 2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & spread	-8.5	24–27	L	O50.5
Very close	FAU vs ECU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-7.5	7–22	L	U44.75
Very close	MTSU vs USM 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-12.5	35–10	W	U47.25
Very close	APP vs ECU 2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar situation & spread	-7.5	43–28	W	O48.25
Very close	FAU vs UTEP 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & spread	-11	28–25	L	O49

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found