Florida International @ Indiana: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2024)

Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Indiana

Weather at kickoff74°F3 mphgusts 9Wet0.1 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Florida International

0-0 · Power #121

final

Final

Indiana

0-0 · Power #10

▲ winner

Closing spread

IU -25.5

✓ FIU W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 38 pts

Model before kickoff

FIU 15–38 IU

✓ IU (95%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenIU -19.5

CloseIU -25.5

Total50.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenIU -19.5

6 → IU

CloseIU -25.5

6 pts toward Indiana

Total

Open50.5

▲ 1

Close51.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened IU -19.5 · closed IU -25.5 · moved 6 toward IUmodel IU -15.5

model IU -15.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 23.5–27.5 since 2023: won 92%, covered 47% (48 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenIU -19.5

CloseIU -25.5

Total50.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like IU as a 25.5-point home favorite against FIU, the favorite won 8, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: IU won 31–7; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 38 points stayed under 51.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 56%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.8 against an average line of 23.5; 50.8 points a game (usually 55.5). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	LIB vs ODU 2021 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-27.5	45–17	W	O53
Loose	GT vs NIU 2021 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & team ratings	-19	21–22	L	U57
Loose	COLO vs CSU 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & team ratings	-23	43–35	L	O63.25
Loose	TULN vs TLSA 2023 · Week 11 · loose · similar total	-24.5	24–22	L	U52.75
Loose	WIS vs BUFF 2023 · Week 1 · loose · similar total & situation	-28	38–17	L	O54
Loose	SDSU vs HAW 2022 · Week 6 · loose · similar total	-23.75	16–14	L	U49
Loose	SYR vs WMU 2023 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation	-24.5	48–7	W	U56.5
Loose	UCF vs GT 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation	-21	27–10	L	U56.5
Loose	MSST vs USM 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar total	-18.5	41–20	W	O47.5
Loose	AUB vs NMSU 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar total	-25	10–31	L	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found