Miami (OH) @ Northwestern: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2024)

Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Northwestern

Weather at kickoff82°F5 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Miami (OH)

0-0 · Power #73

final

Final

Northwestern

0-0 · Power #83

▲ winner

Closing spread

NU -3.5

✓ NU W

Total

40.5

▼ Under · 19 pts

Model before kickoff

M-OH 20–24 NU

✓ NU (63%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenNU -4.5

CloseNU -3.5

Total42.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenNU -4.5

1 → M-OH

CloseNU -3.5

1 pt toward Miami (OH)

Total

Open42.5

▼ 2

Close40.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened NU -4.5 · closed NU -3.5 · moved 1 toward M-OHmodel NU -8.5

model NU -8.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 58%, covered 48% (109 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenNU -4.5

CloseNU -3.5

Total42.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like NU as a 3.5-point home favorite against M-OH, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: NU won 13–6; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 19 points stayed under 40.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.1 against an average line of 4.6; 46.9 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ILL vs NEB 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & spread	-3	7–20	L	U42
Very close	AFA vs SDSU 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	14–20	L	U39
Very close	RUTG vs MSU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & spread	-4.5	27–24	L	O39.5
Very close	USA vs TROY 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-3	6–10	L	U47
Very close	MRSH vs VT 2023 · Week 4 · very close · similar situation & spread	-5.5	24–17	W	U41.5
Very close	SC vs TROY 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings & situation	-6.5	23–14	W	U43.5
Very close	VT vs SYR 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-3.5	36–41	L	O45.5
Very close	NCSU vs MRSH 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-6.5	48–41	W	O44
Very close	BOIS vs SDSU 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-6	35–13	W	O38
Very close	DUKE vs PITT 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & spread	-4.5	30–19	W	O40.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found