Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Florida International
Closing spread
CMU -3.5
✓ FIU W
Total
51.5
▲ Over · 68 pts
Model before kickoff
CMU 28–24 FIU
✗ CMU (62%) lost
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenCMU -4
CloseCMU -3.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCMU -4
0.5 → FIU
CloseCMU -3.5
0.5 pts toward Florida International
Total
Open51.5
no move
Close51.5
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CMU -4 · closed CMU -3.5 · moved 0.5 toward FIUmodel CMU -6.5
model CMU -6.5
Opened 51.5 · unchangedmodel 52.5
model 52.5
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 52%, covered 41% (63 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenCMU -4
CloseCMU -3.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for
CMU as a 3.5-point road favorite at FIU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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Show up togames
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Central Michigan has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q3. Of 222 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-3 67% | |
| 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 4-5 44% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CMU−12.0 →−9.9▲ 2.1#111
FIU−14.7 →−18.3▼ 3.6#133
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1
Longer bar = better
#21
Offense
◀ CMU better#124
#66
Defense
◀ CMU better#113
+1.0 #26
Turnovers
◀ CMU better−1.0 #95
52 plays #127
Pace
FIU faster ▶59 plays #108
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CMU off | FIU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 66.0 #6 | 31.0 #107 | CMU |
| Yards / play | 9.44 #9 | 6.37 #110 | CMU |
| PPA / play | +0.55 #18 | +0.32 #118 | CMU |
| Success rate | 50% #49 | 51% #118 | CMU |
| FIU off | CMU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 7.0 #124 | 10.0 #42 | CMU |
| Yards / play | 3.08 #132 | 4.25 #53 | CMU |
| PPA / play | −0.21 #122 | +0.14 #91 | CMU |
| Success rate | 33% #118 | 38% #77 | CMU |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
87° · 8 mph
gusts 17 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CMU9d
FIU7d
CMU +2 days
Tempo
Slow 111 plays
slowavg 133fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

