Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Florida International
Weather at kickoff87°F8 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #123
16
final
Final
@
0-1 · Power #121
52
▲ winner
Closing spread
CMU -3.5
✓ FIU W
Total
51.5
▲ Over · 68 pts
Model before kickoff
CMU 28–24 FIU
✗ CMU (62%) lost
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenCMU -4
CloseCMU -3.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
0.5 pts toward Florida International
Total
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CMU -4 · closed CMU -3.5 · moved 0.5 toward FIUmodel CMU -6.5
Opened 51.5 · unchangedmodel 52.5
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 52%, covered 41% (63 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenCMU -4
CloseCMU -3.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for CMU as a 3.5-point road favorite at FIU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Central Michigan has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CMU−12.0 →−9.9▲ 2.1#111
FIU−14.7 →−18.3▼ 3.6#133
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

CMU
Longer bar = better
FIU
#21
Offense
◀ CMU better
#124
#66
Defense
◀ CMU better
#113
+1.0 #26
Turnovers
◀ CMU better
−1.0 #95
52 plays #127
Pace
FIU faster ▶
59 plays #108
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CMU has the ball
Advantage: CMU offense
CMU offFIU defEdge
Points / game 66.0 #6 31.0 #107 CMU
Yards / play 9.44 #9 6.37 #110 CMU
PPA / play +0.55 #18 +0.32 #118 CMU
Success rate 50% #49 51% #118 CMU
When FIU has the ball
Advantage: CMU defense
FIU offCMU defEdge
Points / game 7.0 #124 10.0 #42 CMU
Yards / play 3.08 #132 4.25 #53 CMU
PPA / play −0.21 #122 +0.14 #91 CMU
Success rate 33% #118 38% #77 CMU

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
FIU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
87° · 8 mph
gusts 17 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CMU9d
FIU7d
CMU +2 days
Tempo
Slow 111 plays
slowavg 133fast

Schedules, links & other games

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