East Carolina @ Old Dominion: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Old Dominion

Weather at kickoff77°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›

East Carolina

1-0 · Power #92

▲ winner

Final

Old Dominion

0-1 · Power #78

final

Closing spread

ODU -1.5

✓ ECU W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

ECU 21–22 ODU

✗ ODU (54%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -2

CloseODU -1.5

Total48.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenODU -2

0.5 → ECU

CloseODU -1.5

0.5 pts toward East Carolina

Total

Open48.5

▲ 5

Close53.5

Up 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ODU -2 · closed ODU -1.5 · moved 0.5 toward ECUmodel ODU -1.5 matches the line

model ODU -1.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 49%, covered 46% (61 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -2

CloseODU -1.5

Total48.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 2 games most like ODU as a 1.5-point home favorite against ECU, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: ECU won 20–14 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 1 of the 2 similar games. 34 points stayed under 53.5, as in 2 of 2.

Favorite won

1 of 250%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

1 of 250%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

0 of 20%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 2 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 10.5 against an average line of 3.3; 44.5 points a game (usually 53.3). When games like this go over ›

All 2 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	AFA vs FAU 2021 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest & situation	-3.5	31–7	W	U54
Loose	LT vs NMSU 2023 · Week 9 · loose · similar spread & total	-3	24–27	L	U55

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ECU W	1-0	100%	—	—
ODU W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: ECU away, as underdog; ODU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ECU U	0-1	0%	1-0
ODU U	0-1	0%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 53% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ECU	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%
ODU	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ECU−7.2 →−6.2▲ 1.0#94

ODU−8.4 →−7.2▲ 1.2#99

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

ECU

Longer bar = better

ODU

#57

Offense

◀ ECU better

#112

Defense

◀ ECU better

#64

−4.0 #134

Turnovers

Even

−3.0 #131

74 plays #22

Pace

◀ ECU faster

72 plays #36

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ECU has the ball

Even matchup

	ECU off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	42.0 #42	23.0 #85	ECU
Yards / play	6.84 #53	3.65 #33	Even
PPA / play	+0.07 #93	−0.02 #66	ODU
Success rate	52% #41	38% #73	ECU

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: ECU defense

	ODU off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #107	3.0 #17	ECU
Yards / play	4.24 #114	1.78 #2	ECU
PPA / play	−0.05 #108	−0.45 #7	ECU
Success rate	34% #117	18% #5	ECU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.