Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 4:15 PM EDTWeek 1 · at South Carolina
Weather at kickoff83°F3 mphgusts 11Wet0.1 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›
0-0 · Power #78
19
final
Final
@
0-0 · Power #13
23
▲ winner
Closing spread
SC -20.5
✓ ODU W
Total
48.5
▼ Under · 42 pts
Model before kickoff
ODU 15–35 SC
✓ SC (92%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenSC -21
CloseSC -20.5
Total55 → 48.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close
Spread
0.5 pts toward Old Dominion
Total
Down 6.5 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SC -21 · closed SC -20.5 · moved 0.5 toward ODUmodel SC -18
Opened 55 · closed 48.5 · moved 6.5 downmodel 51
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 18.5–22.5 since 2023: won 92%, covered 48% (48 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenSC -21
CloseSC -20.5
Total55 → 48.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SC as a 20.5-point home favorite against ODU, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by
Customize filters
Only include
Show up to
games
This game: SC won 23–19; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 42 points stayed under 48.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
8 of 1080%
Normal range · usually 89%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 51%
Went over
4 of 944%
Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 17.6 against an average line of 19.8; 45.2 points a game (usually 55.6). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
HOU vs RICE
2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar situation & team ratings
-17.534–27 L O52.5
Close
2023 · Week 1 · close · similar team ratings & situation
-16.538–3 W U45.25
Close
PITT vs GT
2022 · Week 5 · close
-21.521–26 L P47
Close
2023 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & spread
-2123–19 L U47.5
Close
JMU vs TXST
2022 · Week 5 · close · similar team ratings
-21.7540–13 W O51.5
Close
ND vs BC
2022 · Week 12 · close · similar spread
-2044–0 W O42
Close
APP vs USA
2021 · Week 11 · close · similar team ratings & spread
-21.531–7 W U51.75
Close
UK vs VAN
2022 · Week 11 · close
-1721–24 L U45.5
Close
ORST vs COLO
2022 · Week 8 · close · similar spread
-2342–9 W O47.5
Close
CIN vs NAVY
2022 · Week 10 · close · similar team ratings
-18.520–10 L U43.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
Slight Under trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Total moved down 6.5
55 → 48.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Old Dominion have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Loading play-by-play…

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
SC +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
83° · 3 mph
gusts 11 mph · 0.114 in rain · at kickoff
Rest
ODU1st game
SC1st game
Even

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week