Army @ Florida Atlantic: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Florida Atlantic · Conference game

Weather at kickoff86°F8 mphgusts 16Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Army

1-0 · Power #52

▲ winner

Final

Florida Atlantic

0-1 · Power #118

final

Closing spread

FAU -1.5

✓ ARMY W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 31 pts

Model before kickoff

ARMY 20–22 FAU

✗ FAU (58%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFAU -2.5

CloseFAU -1.5

Total44.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFAU -2.5

1 → ARMY

CloseFAU -1.5

1 pt toward Army

Total

Open44.5

▼ 2

Close42.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FAU -2.5 · closed FAU -1.5 · moved 1 toward ARMYmodel FAU -7.5

model FAU -7.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 49%, covered 46% (57 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFAU -2.5

CloseFAU -1.5

Total44.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FAU as a 1.5-point home favorite against ARMY, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: ARMY won 24–7 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 31 points stayed under 42.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 1.7 against an average line of 3.8; 50.9 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	TROY vs USA 2021 · Week 10 · loose · similar rest	-3.5	31–24	W	O47.5
Loose	AFA vs SDSU 2021 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & spread	-3	14–20	L	U39
Loose	MTSU vs JXST 2023 · Week 6 · loose · similar spread & situation	-3	30–45	L	O52
Loose	SC vs TROY 2021 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & total	-6.5	23–14	W	U43.5
Loose	ARIZ vs SDSU 2021 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-1.5	14–38	L	O46.5
Loose	TROY vs JMU 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-2.5	14–16	L	U46.25
Loose	UTSA vs ARMY 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest	-7	29–37	L	O41.75
Loose	VT vs SYR 2021 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & spread	-3.5	36–41	L	O45.5
Loose	OKST vs BAY 2021 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & situation	-4	24–14	W	U47
Loose	UAB vs FAU 2021 · Week 6 · loose · similar rest & situation	-3.5	31–14	W	U49

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY W	1-0	100%	—	—
FAU W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: ARMY away, as underdog; FAU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY O	1-0	100%	1-0
FAU U	0-1	0%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 19 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 54% of games with totals 38.5–46.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	5-5 50%	3-5-1 38%	3-5 38%
FAU	3-7 30%	4-5-1 44%	3-6 33%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARMY−16.8 →−12.8▲ 4.0#123

FAU−6.9 →−8.0▼ 1.1#103

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

ARMY

Longer bar = better

FAU

#29

Offense

◀ ARMY better

#127

#84

Defense

FAU better ▶

#45

+2.0 #18

Turnovers

◀ ARMY better

+1.0 #41

64 plays #86

Pace

FAU faster ▶

72 plays #33

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARMY has the ball

Even matchup

	ARMY off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	42.0 #43	16.0 #68	ARMY
Yards / play	6.75 #55	4.80 #67	Even
PPA / play	+0.57 #13	−0.32 #19	Even
Success rate	74% #3	26% #25	ARMY

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: ARMY defense

	FAU off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	10.0 #122	7.0 #39	ARMY
Yards / play	3.44 #127	5.42 #88	ARMY
PPA / play	−0.37 #130	+0.18 #96	ARMY
Success rate	26% #129	50% #114	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.