Marshall @ Virginia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 4:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Virginia Tech

Weather at kickoff69°F10 mphgusts 28DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Marshall

1-0 · Power #69

final

Final

Virginia Tech

0-1 · Power #38

▲ winner

Closing spread

VT -20.5

✓ MRSH W

Total

52.5

▼ Under · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

MRSH 16–35 VT

✓ VT (91%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenVT -16.5

CloseVT -20.5

Total47.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenVT -16.5

4 → VT

CloseVT -20.5

4 pts toward Virginia Tech

Total

Open47.5

▲ 5

Close52.5

Up 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened VT -16.5 · closed VT -20.5 · moved 4 toward VTmodel VT -11

model VT -11

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 19.5–21.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 49% (41 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenVT -16.5

CloseVT -20.5

Total47.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like VT as a 20.5-point home favorite against MRSH, the favorite won 0, covered 0, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: VT won 31–14; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 1 of the 1 similar games. 45 points stayed under 52.5, as in 0 of 1.

Favorite won

0 of 10%

Below normal · usually 89%

Favorite covered

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: underdog by 3 against an average line of 23.5; 87 points a game (usually 55.6). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	NEB vs GASO 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-23.5	42–45	L	O64

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MRSH W	1-0	100%	—	—
VT L	0-1	0%	—	0-1

Venue/role: MRSH away, as underdog; VT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MRSH U	0-1	0%	1-0
VT O	1-0	100%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 15 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 52% of games with totals 48.5–56.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MRSH	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	4-5 44%
VT	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	7-2 78%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

MRSH 3–12 VT VT leads · 15 games since 1913 · VT has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 23 2023	Virginia Tech 17 @ Marshall 24	MRSH -6.5	MRSH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MRSH−5.5 →−3.3▲ 2.2#80

VT+4.6 →+3.4▼ 1.2#47

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

MRSH

Longer bar = better

#28

Offense

◀ MRSH better

#77

#36

Defense

◀ MRSH better

#108

+1.0 #43

Turnovers

◀ MRSH better

−1.0 #115

68 plays #59

Pace

◀ MRSH faster

64 plays #89

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MRSH has the ball

Advantage: MRSH offense

	MRSH off	VT def	Edge
Points / game	45.0 #36	34.0 #114	MRSH
Yards / play	8.07 #21	5.80 #93	MRSH
PPA / play	+0.39 #36	+0.29 #113	MRSH
Success rate	57% #19	47% #110	MRSH

When VT has the ball

Advantage: MRSH defense

	VT off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	27.0 #89	3.0 #25	MRSH
Yards / play	6.20 #66	3.15 #20	MRSH
PPA / play	+0.19 #72	−0.09 #57	Even
Success rate	42% #82	31% #41	MRSH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.