California @ Auburn: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Auburn

Weather at kickoff88°F2 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

California

1-0 · Power #55

▲ winner

Final

Auburn

1-0 · Power #33

final

Closing spread

AUB -11.5

✓ CAL W

Total

52.5

▼ Under · 35 pts

Model before kickoff

CAL 21–33 AUB

✗ AUB (81%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenAUB -10.5

CloseAUB -11.5

Total49.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CAL L	0-1	0%	—	—
AUB W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: CAL away, as underdog; AUB home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CAL U	0-1	0%	1-0
AUB O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 32 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 52% of games with totals 48.5–56.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CAL	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	4-5 44%
AUB	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-4-1 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CAL 0–1 AUB AUB leads · 1 game since 2023 · AUB has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 9 2023	Auburn 14 @ California 10	AUB -5	CAL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CAL+2.0 →−0.5▼ 2.5#70

AUB+7.1 →+9.6▲ 2.5#22

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

CAL

Longer bar = better

AUB

#91

Offense

AUB better ▶

#65

Defense

AUB better ▶

#26

+2.0 #17

Turnovers

◀ CAL better

−2.0 #122

66 plays #73

Pace

◀ CAL faster

46 plays #133

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CAL has the ball

Advantage: AUB defense

	CAL off	AUB def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #74	3.0 #22	AUB
Yards / play	4.26 #113	3.43 #26	AUB
PPA / play	−0.16 #119	−0.21 #37	AUB
Success rate	48% #57	23% #17	AUB

When AUB has the ball

Advantage: AUB offense

	AUB off	CAL def	Edge
Points / game	73.0 #2	13.0 #54	AUB
Yards / play	13.65 #1	4.16 #48	AUB
PPA / play	+1.16 #1	+0.01 #72	AUB
Success rate	56% #21	41% #84	AUB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.