Georgia Tech @ Syracuse: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Syracuse · Conference game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Georgia Tech

2-0 · Power #36

final

Final

Syracuse

1-0 · Power #43

▲ winner

Closing spread

GT -2.5

✓ SYR W

Total

60.5

▼ Under · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

GT 30–27 SYR

✗ GT (57%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -2.5

CloseGT -2.5

Total54.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGT -2.5

no move

CloseGT -2.5

No change since the open

Total

Open54.5

▲ 6

Close60.5

Up 6 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GT -2.5 · unchangedmodel GT -1.5

model GT -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 52%, covered 45% (67 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -2.5

CloseGT -2.5

Total54.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 2.5-point road favorite at SYR, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: SYR won 31–28 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 59 points stayed under 60.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 2.1 against an average line of 4.1; 62.1 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	ORE @ WSU 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	44–41	L	O57.25
Close	ORST @ WSU 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	35–38	L	O58.5
Loose	WAKE @ LOU 2022 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest	-3	21–48	L	O66.25
Loose	BOIS @ UNLV 2023 · Week 14 · loose · similar spread & rest	-2.5	44–20	W	O62
Loose	UCLA @ STAN 2021 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest & spread	-4	35–24	W	U60
Loose	APP @ UL 2021 · Week 7 · loose · similar spread	-4.25	13–41	L	U57.5
Loose	APP @ CCU 2022 · Week 10 · loose · similar spread & rest	-3	28–35	L	U65.25
Loose	TCU @ BAY 2022 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & spread	-2	29–28	L	U58
Loose	ND @ LOU 2023 · Week 6 · loose · similar rest	-6	20–33	L	U54
Loose	LIB @ JXST 2023 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest	-7	31–13	W	U59

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GT W–	1-0	100%	—	—
SYR L	0-1	0%	0-1	—

Venue/role: GT away, as favorite; SYR home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GT U–	0-1	0%	2-0
SYR O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 21. 46% of games with totals 56.5–64.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GT	7-3 70%	7-2 78%	5-3 63%
SYR	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

GT 1–0 SYR GT leads · 1 game since 2023 · GT has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 18 2023	Syracuse 22 @ Georgia Tech 31	GT -6	GT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GT+2.9 →+5.2▲ 2.3#35

SYR−2.1 →+1.4▲ 3.5#58

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

Longer bar = better

SYR

#46

Offense

Even

#48

#84

Defense

Even

#94

0.0 #70

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #80

58 plays #109

Pace

SYR faster ▶

70 plays #48

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GT has the ball

Advantage: GT offense

	GT off	SYR def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #79	22.0 #83	Even
Yards / play	7.20 #40	6.42 #111	GT
PPA / play	+0.46 #25	+0.06 #77	GT
Success rate	53% #39	45% #106	GT

When SYR has the ball

Advantage: SYR offense

	SYR off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	38.0 #56	16.5 #71	Even
Yards / play	6.86 #51	5.38 #85	SYR
PPA / play	+0.42 #30	+0.07 #78	SYR
Success rate	49% #55	44% #103	SYR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.