Tennessee vs NC State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff77°F9 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Tennessee

1-0 · Power #11

▲ winner

Final

NC State

1-0 · Power #67

final

Closing spread

TENN -13.5

✓ TENN W

Total

59.5

▲ Over · 61 pts

Model before kickoff

TENN 32–19 NCSU

✓ TENN (83%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTENN -4

CloseTENN -13.5

Total60.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
TENN W	1-0	100%	—	1-0
NCSU L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: TENN neutral, as favorite; NCSU neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TENN O	1-0	100%	1-0
NCSU U	0-1	0%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 138 earlier overs in games with totals 55.5–63.5, 28% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TENN	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
NCSU	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	2-7 22%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TENN+13.9 →+15.3▲ 1.4#11

NCSU+5.5 →+3.6▼ 1.9#46

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

TENN

Longer bar = better

NCSU

#10

Offense

◀ TENN better

#50

#27

Defense

◀ TENN better

#91

0.0 #71

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #66

90 plays #1

Pace

◀ TENN faster

73 plays #27

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TENN has the ball

Advantage: TENN offense

	TENN off	NCSU def	Edge
Points / game	69.0 #5	21.0 #82	TENN
Yards / play	7.98 #23	6.12 #104	TENN
PPA / play	+0.86 #6	+0.15 #92	TENN
Success rate	73% #4	41% #85	TENN

When NCSU has the ball

Advantage: TENN defense

	NCSU off	TENN def	Edge
Points / game	38.0 #53	3.0 #18	TENN
Yards / play	7.15 #43	3.85 #39	Even
PPA / play	+0.34 #49	−0.27 #22	TENN
Success rate	49% #54	27% #27	TENN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.