Kent State @ Tennessee: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2024)

Sat, Sep 14, 2024, 7:45 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Tennessee

Weather at kickoff79°F12 mphgusts 24DryWeather watch ›

Kent State

0-2 · Power #134

final

Final

Tennessee

2-0 · Power #11

▲ winner

Closing spread

TENN -49.5

✓ TENN W

Total

61.5

▲ Over · 71 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 3–52 TENN

✓ TENN (100%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTENN -47.5

CloseTENN -49.5

Total62.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTENN -47.5

2 → TENN

CloseTENN -49.5

2 pts toward Tennessee

Total

Open62.5

▼ 1

Close61.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TENN -47.5 · closed TENN -49.5 · moved 2 toward TENNmodel TENN -48

model TENN -48

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 46% (39 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTENN -47.5

CloseTENN -49.5

Total62.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 2 games most like TENN as a 49.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 2, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TENN won 71–0; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 2 similar games. 71 points went over 61.5, as in 0 of 2.

Favorite won

2 of 2100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

1 of 250%

Normal range · usually 83%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 60%

Only 2 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 52.5 against an average line of 50.1; 62.5 points a game (usually 64). When games like this go over ›

All 2 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	MICH vs CONN 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-47.5	59–0	W	P59
Loose	MICH vs HAW 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-52.75	56–10	L	U66.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1
TENN WW	2-0	100%	1-0	2-0

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; TENN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT OU	1-1	50%	0-2
TENN OO	2-0	100%	2-0

Went over in Q2. Of 112 earlier overs in games with totals 57.5–65.5, 27% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENT	0-10 0%	2-8 20%	5-4 56%
TENN	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−20.0 →−21.2▼ 1.2#134

TENN+13.9 →+20.2▲ 6.3#6

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

KENT

Longer bar = better

TENN

#125

Offense

TENN better ▶

#13

#118

Defense

TENN better ▶

#12

0.0 #61

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #48

66 plays #74

Pace

TENN faster ▶

79 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: TENN defense

	KENT off	TENN def	Edge
Points / game	20.5 #108	6.5 #10	TENN
Yards / play	3.76 #134	3.39 #13	TENN
PPA / play	−0.10 #126	−0.35 #2	TENN
Success rate	33% #131	31% #23	TENN

When TENN has the ball

Advantage: TENN offense

	TENN off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	60.0 #2	39.0 #128	TENN
Yards / play	7.50 #22	6.46 #117	TENN
PPA / play	+0.43 #17	+0.19 #109	TENN
Success rate	58% #10	47% #117	TENN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 97 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the TENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	3.5	10.5	14.0	5.0	1.5	6.5
TENN allowed	0.0	1.5	1.5	5.0	0.0	5.0

TENN scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TENN scored	15.5	17.0	32.5	13.5	14.0	27.5
KENT allowed	12.0	12.0	24.0	8.5	6.5	15.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.