UAB @ Arkansas: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2024)

Sat, Sep 14, 2024, 4:15 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Arkansas

Weather at kickoff83°F7 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

UAB

1-1 · Power #116

final

Final

Arkansas

1-1 · Power #32

▲ winner

Closing spread

—

Total

—

Model before kickoff

UAB 21–39 ARK

✓ ARK (92%) won

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UAB WL	1-1	50%	0-1	—
ARK WW	2-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: UAB away; ARK home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UAB UU	0-2	0%	1-1
ARK OO	2-0	100%	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UAB	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
ARK	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	8-1 89%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UAB−6.4 →−10.0▼ 3.6#108

ARK+3.1 →+5.0▲ 1.9#42

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

UAB

Longer bar = better

ARK

#83

Offense

ARK better ▶

#19

#52

Defense

Even

#50

−2.0 #130

Turnovers

ARK better ▶

−1.0 #113

76 plays #12

Pace

Even

82 plays #3

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UAB has the ball

Advantage: ARK defense

	UAB off	ARK def	Edge
Points / game	23.5 #100	19.5 #66	ARK
Yards / play	5.11 #105	4.29 #39	ARK
PPA / play	+0.05 #94	−0.03 #52	ARK
Success rate	50% #32	34% #42	Even

When ARK has the ball

Advantage: ARK offense

	ARK off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	50.5 #9	17.5 #62	ARK
Yards / play	8.19 #8	3.75 #21	Even
PPA / play	+0.28 #41	−0.03 #51	Even
Success rate	53% #19	38% #73	ARK

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 50 FBS teams

UAB scoring against the ARK defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UAB scored	8.5	8.5	17.0	1.5	5.0	6.5
ARK allowed	0.0	3.5	3.5	3.0	9.0	12.0

ARK scoring against the UAB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARK scored	21.0	14.0	35.0	3.5	12.0	15.5
UAB allowed	3.0	5.0	8.0	4.5	5.0	9.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.