North Texas @ Texas Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2024)

Sat, Sep 14, 2024, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Texas Tech

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North Texas

2-0 · Power #94

final

Final

Texas Tech

1-1 · Power #46

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

UNT 28–38 TTU

✓ TTU (77%) won

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UNT WL	1-1	50%	1-0	—
TTU LL	0-2	0%	0-1	—

Venue/role: UNT away; TTU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNT OU	1-1	50%	2-0
TTU OU	1-1	50%	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNT	5-5 50%	7-2-1 78%	3-6 33%
TTU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UNT−6.3 →−3.4▲ 2.9#80

TTU+4.7 →+2.2▼ 2.5#61

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

UNT

Longer bar = better

TTU

#42

Offense

◀ UNT better

#57

#90

Defense

◀ UNT better

#122

−1.5 #128

Turnovers

Even

−1.0 #122

77 plays #11

Pace

Even

81 plays #5

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UNT has the ball

Advantage: UNT offense

	UNT off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	43.5 #20	44.0 #132	UNT
Yards / play	6.89 #38	6.83 #125	UNT
PPA / play	+0.24 #53	+0.28 #120	UNT
Success rate	45% #56	46% #112	UNT

When TTU has the ball

Advantage: TTU offense

	TTU off	UNT def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #58	29.0 #106	TTU
Yards / play	6.40 #53	5.46 #88	TTU
PPA / play	+0.14 #74	+0.08 #86	Even
Success rate	47% #44	39% #78	TTU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 10 FBS teams

UNT scoring against the TTU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNT scored	10.5	7.0	17.5	17.5	8.5	26.0
TTU allowed	7.0	17.0	24.0	7.0	10.0	17.0

TTU scoring against the UNT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TTU scored	12.5	8.5	21.0	3.5	6.0	9.5
UNT allowed	6.5	11.5	18.0	5.0	6.0	11.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.