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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 3 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 3: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
52 finalFavorites 23-19 ATS9 upsetsO/U 22-20Model Favorite 42-10Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5252 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS23-1955% covered
Upsets9outright
Over / Under22-2052% over
Model Favorite42-1081% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up11 all 11 final
Over5 45%Under6 55%
Moved down22 all 22 final
Over13 59%Under9 41%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
15–2339%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
11–1739%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
4–1029%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
—
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 12

1
Final · Non-conf
Arizona State
2-0 · #18
31
Texas State
2-0 · #54
28
Spread
TXST -2.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
29–31
✗ TXST lost
Model: ASU by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Sep 13

2
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
2-0 · #42
23
Kansas
1-1 · #35
20
Spread
KU -10.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼1
▼ Under 43
Projected
23–33
✗ KU lost
Trend: KU ATS ✗ Model: UNLV by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arizona
2-0 · #79
7
Kansas State
2-0 · #20
31
Spread
KSU -9.5
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲5
▼ Under 38
Projected
26–35
✓ KSU won
Trend: KSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARIZ by 0 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Saturday, Sep 14

49
Final · Non-conf
Alabama
2-0 · #7
42
Wisconsin
2-0 · #47
10
Spread
ALA -15.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼5
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
33–17
✓ ALA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ALA by 4 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Oklahoma State
2-0 · #87
45
Tulsa
1-1 · #131
10
Spread
OKST -17.5
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
62.5
▼ Under 55
Projected
39–23
✓ OKST won
Trend: TLSA ATS ✗ Model: TLSA by 7.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
LSU
1-1 · #12
36
South Carolina
2-0 · #13
33
Spread
LSU -6.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
30–24
✓ LSU won
Trend: SC ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: LSU by 0 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arkansas State
2-0 · #113
18
Michigan
1-1 · #27
28
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
11–37
✓ MICH won
Final · Non-conf
Central Michigan
1-1 · #123
9
Illinois
2-0 · #44
30
Spread
ILL -21.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼4
▼ Under 39
Projected
16–38
✓ ILL won
Trend: ILL ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: CMU by 0 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Memphis
2-0 · #56
20
Florida State
0-2 · #85
12
Spread
FSU -6.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲2
▼ Under 32
Projected
24–30
✗ FSU lost
Trend: FSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: MEM by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana Tech
1-0 · #112
20
NC State
1-1 · #67
30
Spread
NCSU -20.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼5
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
14–34
✓ NCSU won
Trend: LT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: LT by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati
1-1 · #45
27
Miami (OH)
0-1 · #73
16
Spread
CIN -3.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▼ Under 43
Projected
26–23
✓ CIN won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: M-OH by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
North Texas
2-0 · #94
21
Texas Tech
1-1 · #46
66
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
28–38
✓ TTU won
Final · Non-conf
Boston College
2-0 · #58
21
Missouri
2-0 · #23
27
Spread
MIZ -14.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▼ Under 48
Projected
19–34
✓ MIZ won
Trend: BC ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIZ by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Massachusetts
0-2 · #125
3
Buffalo
1-1 · #105
34
Spread
BUFF -3.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
24–27
✓ BUFF won
Trend: MASS ATS ✗ Model: MASS by 2 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Coastal Carolina
2-0 · #101
28
Temple
0-2 · #127
20
Spread
CCU -17.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▼ Under 48
Projected
36–18
✓ CCU won
Model: CCU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Oregon
2-0 · #5
49
Oregon State
2-0 · #98
14
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
31–22
✓ ORE won
Final · Non-conf
Tulane
1-1 · #40
19
Oklahoma
2-0 · #28
34
Spread
OU -13.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼3
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
18–32
✓ OU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: OU by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
1-1 · #4
66
Purdue
1-0 · #117
7
Spread
ND -7.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
28–20
✓ ND won
Trend: PUR ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: ND by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas A&M
1-1 · #19
33
Florida
1-1 · #21
20
Spread
TA&M -3.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼4
▲ Over 53 · Q3
Projected
27–24
✓ TA&M won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Nevada
1-2 · #102
0
Minnesota
1-1 · #26
27
Spread
MINN -17.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 27
Projected
12–30
✓ MINN won
Trend: MINN ATS ✓ Model: MINN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Neutral
Washington State
2-0 · #68
24
Washington
2-0 · #31
19
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
25–33
✗ WASH lost
Final · Non-conf
West Virginia
1-1 · #63
34
Pittsburgh
2-0 · #57
38
Spread
WVU -1.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲1
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
28–26
✗ WVU lost
Model: PITT by 1 ✓ Model: Under 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Troy
0-2 · #97
21
Iowa
1-1 · #30
38
Spread
IOWA -23.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
39.5
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
9–30
✓ IOWA won
Trend: IOWA ATS ✗ Model: TROY by 12 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
App State
1-1 · #99
21
East Carolina
2-0 · #92
19
Spread
ECU -0.5
✓ APP W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
26–27
✗ ECU lost
Trend: ECU ATS ✗ Model: ECU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
UAB
1-1 · #116
27
Arkansas
1-1 · #32
37
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
21–39
✓ ARK won
Final · Non-conf
Utah
2-0 · #49
38
Utah State
1-1 · #106
21
Spread
UTAH -20.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
35–15
✓ UTAH won
Trend: USU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ball State
1-0 · #126
0
Miami
2-0 · #9
62
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
10–42
✓ MIA won
Final · Non-conf
UConn
1-1 · #80
21
Duke
2-0 · #60
26
Spread
DUKE -17.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
14–32
✓ DUKE won
Model: DUKE by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Virginia Tech
1-1 · #38
37
Old Dominion
0-2 · #78
17
Spread
VT -15.5
✓ VT W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
31–16
✓ VT won
Trend: VT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: ODU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UTEP
0-2 · #128
10
Liberty
2-0 · #95
28
Spread
LIB -23.5
✓ UTEP W ATS
Total
57.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
16–40
✓ LIB won
Model: LIB by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ole Miss
2-0 · #3
40
Wake Forest
1-1 · #89
6
Spread
MISS -20.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
65.5 ▲2
▼ Under 46
Projected
40–19
✓ MISS won
Trend: WAKE ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: MISS by 4 ✓ Model: Under 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
UTSA
1-1 · #82
7
Texas
2-0 · #2
56
Spread
TEX -36.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲2
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
8–44
✓ TEX won
Trend: TEX ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: UTSA by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Vanderbilt
2-0 · #53
32
Georgia State
1-1 · #110
36
Spread
VAN -8.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
29–21
✗ VAN lost
Model: GAST by 5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville State
0-2 · #81
34
Eastern Michigan
1-1 · #120
37
Spread
JXST -2.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲5
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
26–24
✗ JXST lost
Trend: JXST ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: EMU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kennesaw State
0-2 · #133
10
San José State
2-0 · #86
31
Spread
SJSU -16.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▼ Under 41
Projected
13–31
✓ SJSU won
Trend: KENN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: SJSU by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Western Kentucky
1-1 · #103
49
Middle Tennessee
1-1 · #129
21
Spread
WKU -10.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
32–23
✓ WKU won
Trend: WKU ATS ✓ Model: MTSU by 9.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Hawai'i
1-1 · #109
13
Sam Houston
1-1 · #93
31
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
21–27
✓ SHSU won
Final · Non-conf
South Florida
1-1 · #91
49
Southern Miss
1-1 · #132
24
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
32–24
✓ USF won
Final · Conf
Georgia
2-0 · #8
13
Kentucky
1-1 · #50
12
Spread
UGA -21.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 25
Projected
35–13
✓ UGA won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UK by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico
0-2 · #111
19
Auburn
1-1 · #33
45
Spread
AUB -25.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
15–41
✓ AUB won
Trend: UNM ATS ✗ Model: AUB by 3 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Toledo
2-0 · #88
41
Mississippi State
1-1 · #72
17
Spread
MSST -10.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
22–31
✗ MSST lost
Trend: MSST ATS ✗ Model: TOL by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Indiana
2-0 · #10
42
UCLA
1-0 · #48
13
Spread
IU -3.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
24–22
✓ IU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UCLA by 8 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Air Force
1-1 · #108
3
Baylor
1-1 · #39
31
Spread
BAY -17.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼3
▼ Under 34
Projected
13–30
✓ BAY won
Trend: BAY ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: AFA by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Colorado
1-1 · #25
28
Colorado State
1-1 · #100
9
Spread
COLO -7.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
31–25
✓ COLO won
Model: CSU by 5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UCF
2-0 · #37
35
TCU
2-0 · #34
34
Spread
TCU -2.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼3
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
29–31
✗ TCU lost
Trend: TCU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: UCF by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Florida International
1-1 · #121
20
Florida Atlantic
0-2 · #118
38
Spread
FAU -3.5
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
21–25
✓ FAU won
Trend: FIU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: FAU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
0-2 · #134
0
Tennessee
2-0 · #11
71
Spread
TENN -49.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼1
▲ Over 71 · Q2
Projected
3–52
✓ TENN won
Trend: TENN ATS ✓ Model: KENT by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Maryland
1-1 · #62
27
Virginia
2-0 · #77
13
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
31–25
✓ MD won
Final · Non-conf
Rice
1-1 · #104
7
Houston
0-2 · #76
33
Spread
HOU -3.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
20–25
✓ HOU won
Trend: RICE ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 6 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
BYU
2-0 · #22
34
Wyoming
0-2 · #114
14
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
26–19
✓ BYU won
Final · Non-conf
San Diego State
1-1 · #122
10
California
2-0 · #55
31
Spread
CAL -18.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 41
Projected
15–32
✓ CAL won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: SDSU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico State
1-1 · #130
0
Fresno State
1-1 · #84
48
Spread
FRES -19.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
15–34
✓ FRES won
Trend: NMSU ATS ✗ Model: NMSU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total