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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 15 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 15: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
9 finalFavorites 3-6 ATS6 upsetsO/U 5-4Model Favorite 3-6Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games99 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS3-633% covered
Upsets6outright
Over / Under5-456% over
Model Favorite3-633% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up3 all 3 final
Over3 100%Under0 0%
Moved down3 all 3 final
Over1 33%Under2 67%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
2–722%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
1–325%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
1–233%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
—
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Friday, Dec 6

3
Final · Non-conf
Western Kentucky
8-4 · #103
12
Jacksonville State
8-4 · #81
52
Spread
JXST -4.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
28–33
✓ JXST won
Trend: JXST ATS ✓ Model: JXST by 0 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
10-2 · #42
7
Boise State
11-1 · #29
21
Spread
BOIS -3.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▼ Under 28
Projected
29–33
✓ BOIS won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: BOIS by 3 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Tulane
9-3 · #40
14
Army
10-1 · #52
35
Spread
TULN -4.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✗ TULN lost
Trend: TULN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ARMY by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Dec 7

6
Final · Neutral
Iowa State
10-2 · #24
19
Arizona State
10-2 · #18
45
Spread
ISU -1.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
26–24
✗ ISU lost
Model: ASU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Ohio
9-3 · #65
38
Miami (OH)
8-4 · #73
3
Spread
M-OH -2.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▼ Under 41
Projected
21–23
✗ M-OH lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: OHIO by 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Georgia
10-2 · #8
22
Texas
11-1 · #2
19
Spread
TEX -2.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
25–28
✗ TEX lost
Trend: TEX ATS ✗ Model: TEX by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Marshall
9-3 · #69
31
Louisiana
10-2 · #71
3
Spread
UL -4.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
57.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
26–31
✗ UL lost
Trend: MRSH ATS ✓ Model: UL by 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Penn State
11-1 · #6
37
Oregon
12-0 · #5
45
Spread
ORE -3.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▲ Over 82 · Q2
Projected
25–28
✓ ORE won
Model: PSU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Clemson
9-3 · #17
34
SMU
11-1 · #15
31
Spread
SMU -2.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲3
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
27–29
✗ SMU lost
Trend: SMU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: CLEM by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total