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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 12 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 12: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
53 finalFavorites 23-30 ATS14 upsetsO/U 25-28Model Favorite 39-14Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5353 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS23-3043% covered
Upsets14outright
Over / Under25-2847% over
Model Favorite39-1474% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up22 all 22 final
Over11 50%Under11 50%
Moved down17 all 17 final
Over10 59%Under7 41%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
26–1958%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
20–1361%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
6–746%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
0–10%
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
0–10%
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Nov 12

3
Final · Conf
Ball State
3-6 · #126
48
Buffalo
5-4 · #105
51
Spread
BUFF -3.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 99 · Q3
Projected
25–29
✓ BUFF won
Trend: BALL ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: BUFF by 3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Western Michigan
5-4 · #107
13
Bowling Green
5-4 · #75
31
Spread
BGSU -9.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
23–33
✓ BGSU won
Model: BGSU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
3-6 · #123
10
Toledo
6-3 · #88
37
Spread
TOL -14.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▼ Under 47
Projected
19–34
✓ TOL won
Trend: Over ✗Trend: TOL ATS ✓ Model: CMU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Wednesday, Nov 13

3
Final · Conf
Kent State
0-9 · #134
7
Miami (OH)
5-4 · #73
34
Spread
M-OH -30.5
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
9–39
✓ M-OH won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✗ Model: M-OH by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Akron
2-7 · #124
16
Northern Illinois
5-4 · #74
29
Spread
NIU -14.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼4
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
13–29
✓ NIU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: NIU by 5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
5-4 · #120
10
Ohio
6-3 · #65
35
Spread
OHIO -10.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▼ Under 45
Projected
19–30
✓ OHIO won
Trend: EMU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: EMU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Thursday, Nov 14

1
Final · Conf
East Carolina
5-4 · #92
38
Tulsa
3-6 · #131
31
Spread
ECU -16.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
63.5 ▲2
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
36–21
✓ ECU won
Trend: ECU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: TLSA by 6 ✓ Model: Under 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Nov 15

4
Final · Conf
Wyoming
2-7 · #114
10
Colorado State
6-3 · #100
24
Spread
CSU -7.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▼ Under 34
Projected
20–28
✓ CSU won
Model: CSU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Texas
5-4 · #94
27
UTSA
4-5 · #82
48
Spread
UTSA -1.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
71.5
▲ Over 75 · Q4
Projected
33–34
✓ UTSA won
Trend: UTSA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: UNT by 2 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCLA
4-5 · #48
19
Washington
5-5 · #31
31
Spread
WASH -5.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
21–27
✓ WASH won
Trend: WASH ATS ✓ Model: WASH by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Houston
4-5 · #76
3
Arizona
3-6 · #79
27
Spread
ARIZ -1.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▼ Under 30
Projected
21–23
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: HOU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARIZ by 3 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Nov 16

42
Final · Conf
Ohio State
8-1 · #1
31
Northwestern
4-5 · #83
7
Spread
OSU -29.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
36–7
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✗ Model: NU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas
8-1 · #2
20
Arkansas
5-4 · #32
10
Spread
TEX -13.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
33–20
✓ TEX won
Trend: ARK ATS ✓ Model: TEX by 1 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah
4-5 · #49
24
Colorado
7-2 · #25
49
Spread
COLO -13.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼5
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
16–29
✓ COLO won
Trend: COLO ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTAH by 5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Clemson
7-2 · #17
24
Pittsburgh
7-2 · #57
20
Spread
CLEM -12.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼5
▼ Under 44
Projected
34–23
✓ CLEM won
Trend: CLEM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: PITT by 4 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tulane
8-2 · #40
35
Navy
7-2 · #61
0
Spread
TULN -7.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼6
▼ Under 35
Projected
30–22
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NAVY by 0 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Liberty
6-2 · #95
35
Massachusetts
2-7 · #125
34
Spread
LIB -16.5
✓ MASS W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
34–18
✓ LIB won
Model: MASS by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisiana Tech
3-6 · #112
12
Western Kentucky
7-2 · #103
7
Spread
WKU -11.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 19
Projected
20–31
✗ WKU lost
Trend: LT ATS ✓ Model: LT by 0 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UL Monroe
5-4 · #115
14
Auburn
3-6 · #33
48
Spread
AUB -25.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
9–34
✓ AUB won
Model: ULM by 3 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
5-4 · #101
19
Marshall
6-3 · #69
31
Spread
MRSH -7.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▼ Under 50
Projected
24–32
✓ MRSH won
Trend: MRSH ATS ✓ Model: CCU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Florida International
3-6 · #121
31
Jacksonville State
6-3 · #81
34
Spread
JXST -12.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
21–34
✓ JXST won
Trend: FIU ATS ✓ Model: JXST by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida Atlantic
2-7 · #118
15
Temple
2-7 · #127
18
Spread
TEM -2.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
23–25
✓ TEM won
Trend: TEM ATS ✓ Model: FAU by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: OT
Final · Conf
Michigan State
4-5 · #70
16
Illinois
6-3 · #44
38
Spread
ILL -1.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
22–24
✓ ILL won
Trend: MSU ATS ✗ Model: ILL by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Syracuse
6-3 · #43
33
California
5-4 · #55
25
Spread
CAL -10.5
✓ SYR W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲2
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
22–32
✗ CAL lost
Trend: CAL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: SYR by 2 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
7-2 · #93
23
Kennesaw State
1-8 · #133
17
Spread
SHSU -20.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
31–12
✓ SHSU won
Trend: SHSU ATS ✗ Model: KENN by 4 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
4-6 · #109
10
Utah State
2-7 · #106
55
Spread
HAW -2.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲3
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
30–28
✗ HAW lost
Trend: USU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: USU by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Penn State
8-1 · #6
49
Purdue
1-8 · #117
10
Spread
PSU -30.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲2
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
41–10
✓ PSU won
Trend: PSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: PSU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Virginia
5-4 · #77
14
Notre Dame
8-1 · #4
35
Spread
ND -21.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 49
Projected
13–35
✓ ND won
Trend: UVA ATS ✓ Model: ND by 4 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Boston College
5-4 · #58
28
SMU
8-1 · #15
38
Spread
SMU -19.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
17–36
✓ SMU won
Trend: SMU ATS ✗ Model: BC by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisville
6-3 · #14
35
Stanford
2-7 · #96
38
Spread
LOU -20.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼1
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
37–17
✗ LOU lost
Model: STAN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
LSU
6-3 · #12
16
Florida
4-5 · #21
27
Spread
LSU -2.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
55.5
▼ Under 43
Projected
30–27
✗ LSU lost
Trend: FLA ATS ✓ Model: LSU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
4-5 · #98
0
Air Force
2-7 · #108
28
Spread
ORST -2.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 28
Projected
24–21
✗ ORST lost
Trend: AFA ATS ✓ Model: ORST by 2 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Florida
4-5 · #91
59
Charlotte
3-6 · #119
24
Spread
CLT -1.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
26–27
✗ CLT lost
Trend: CLT ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: USF by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nebraska
5-4 · #41
20
USC
4-5 · #16
28
Spread
USC -6.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
21–29
✓ USC won
Model: USC by 7.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Baylor
5-4 · #39
49
West Virginia
5-4 · #63
35
Spread
BAY -1.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼2
▲ Over 84 · Q2
Projected
29–29
✓ BAY won
Trend: BAY ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: WVU by 5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Troy
2-7 · #97
28
Georgia Southern
6-3 · #90
20
Spread
GASO -7.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼1
▼ Under 48
Projected
24–31
✗ GASO lost
Trend: GASO ATS ✗ Model: TROY by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
James Madison
7-2 · #59
35
Old Dominion
4-5 · #78
32
Spread
JMU -1.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▲ Over 67 · Q3
Projected
26–23
✓ JMU won
Trend: ODU ATS ✗ Model: JMU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Missouri
7-2 · #23
30
South Carolina
6-3 · #13
34
Spread
SC -10.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
18–28
✓ SC won
Trend: SC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIZ by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arkansas State
5-4 · #113
27
Georgia State
2-7 · #110
20
Spread
GAST -2.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
28–31
✗ GAST lost
Trend: GAST ATS ✗ Model: GAST by 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Rutgers
5-4 · #51
31
Maryland
4-5 · #62
17
Spread
MD -4.5
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲4
▼ Under 48
Projected
24–28
✗ MD lost
Trend: Over ✗Trend: RUTG ATS ✓ Model: MD by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Boise State
8-1 · #29
42
San José State
6-3 · #86
21
Spread
BOIS -14.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲1
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
38–24
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✓ Model: SJSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Arizona State
7-2 · #18
24
Kansas State
7-2 · #20
14
Spread
KSU -7.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
21–29
✗ KSU lost
Trend: ASU ATS ✓ Model: KSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Alabama
4-5 · #66
24
Louisiana
8-1 · #71
22
Spread
UL -6.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲1
▼ Under 46
Projected
26–32
✗ UL lost
Model: USA by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Southern Miss
1-8 · #132
3
Texas State
5-4 · #54
58
Spread
TXST -27.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
14–42
✓ TXST won
Trend: TXST ATS ✓ Model: TXST by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Oregon
10-0 · #5
16
Wisconsin
5-4 · #47
13
Spread
ORE -13.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼3
▼ Under 29
Projected
31–18
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: WIS by 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tennessee
8-1 · #11
17
Georgia
7-2 · #8
31
Spread
UGA -7.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼7
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
22–29
✓ UGA won
Trend: TENN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: TENN by 3 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico State
2-7 · #130
3
Texas A&M
7-2 · #19
38
Spread
TA&M -38.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
5–44
✓ TA&M won
Model: TA&M by 4 ✗ Model: Under 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
4-5 · #89
24
North Carolina
5-4 · #64
31
Spread
UNC -10.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
64.5 ▲1
▼ Under 55
Projected
26–37
✓ UNC won
Trend: WAKE ATS ✓ Model: UNC by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Cincinnati
5-4 · #45
17
Iowa State
7-2 · #24
34
Spread
ISU -7.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▼ Under 51
Projected
21–28
✓ ISU won
Trend: CIN ATS ✗ Model: ISU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
UAB
2-7 · #116
18
Memphis
8-2 · #56
53
Spread
MEM -17.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼2
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
22–40
✓ MEM won
Trend: MEM ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UAB by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Washington State
8-1 · #68
35
New Mexico
4-6 · #111
38
Spread
WSU -11.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
71.5 ▼1
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
42–30
✗ WSU lost
Trend: WSU ATS ✗ Model: WSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Kansas
3-6 · #35
17
BYU
9-0 · #22
13
Spread
BYU -2.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
55.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
25–29
✗ BYU lost
Trend: BYU ATS ✗ Model: BYU by 6 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
San Diego State
3-6 · #122
20
UNLV
7-2 · #42
41
Spread
UNLV -19.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲2
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
17–37
✓ UNLV won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: UNLV by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total