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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 10 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 10: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
48 finalFavorites 21-27 ATS19 upsetsO/U 30-18Model Favorite 29-19Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4848 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS21-2744% covered
Upsets19outright
Over / Under30-1863% over
Model Favorite29-1960% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up8 all 8 final
Over4 50%Under4 50%
Moved down26 all 26 final
Over15 58%Under11 42%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
17–2145%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
8–850%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
3–350%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
1–150%
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Oct 29

3
Final · Conf
New Mexico State
2-5 · #130
13
Florida International
2-6 · #121
34
Spread
FIU -7.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼4
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
17–26
✓ FIU won
Trend: FIU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: FIU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Louisiana
6-1 · #71
23
Texas State
4-3 · #54
17
Spread
TXST -3.5
✓ UL W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼4
▼ Under 40
Projected
26–31
✗ TXST lost
Trend: UL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TXST by 3 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisiana Tech
3-4 · #112
3
Sam Houston
6-2 · #93
9
Spread
SHSU -10.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 12
Projected
17–27
✓ SHSU won
Model: SHSU by 0 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Wednesday, Oct 30

2
Final · Conf
Jacksonville State
4-3 · #81
31
Liberty
5-1 · #95
21
Spread
LIB -2.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
63.5 ▲4
▼ Under 52
Projected
30–33
✗ LIB lost
Trend: JXST ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: LIB by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kennesaw State
1-6 · #133
14
Western Kentucky
5-2 · #103
31
Spread
WKU -23.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲3
▼ Under 45
Projected
11–34
✓ WKU won
Trend: WKU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: WKU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Oct 31

1
Final · Conf
Tulane
6-2 · #40
34
Charlotte
3-5 · #119
3
Spread
TULN -14.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
34–19
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: TULN by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Friday, Nov 1

3
Final · Non-conf
Georgia State
2-5 · #110
27
UConn
5-3 · #80
34
Spread
CONN -7.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
20–28
✓ CONN won
Trend: CONN ATS ✗ Model: CONN by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
South Florida
3-4 · #91
44
Florida Atlantic
2-5 · #118
21
Spread
USF -1.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼6
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
25–24
✓ USF won
Trend: FAU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: FAU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
San Diego State
3-4 · #122
24
Boise State
6-1 · #29
56
Spread
BOIS -24.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
57.5
▲ Over 80 · Q4
Projected
14–39
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✓ Model: BOIS by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Nov 2

39
Final · Conf
Ohio State
6-1 · #1
20
Penn State
7-0 · #6
13
Spread
OSU -3.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
27–24
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓ Model: PSU by 0 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Duke
6-2 · #60
31
Miami
8-0 · #9
53
Spread
MIA -19.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼2
▲ Over 84 · Q3
Projected
17–37
✓ MIA won
Trend: DUKE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Ole Miss
6-2 · #3
63
Arkansas
5-3 · #32
31
Spread
MISS -7.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▲ Over 94 · Q3
Projected
31–23
✓ MISS won
Trend: ARK ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MISS by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Air Force
1-6 · #108
3
Army
7-0 · #52
20
Spread
ARMY -18.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼2
▼ Under 23
Projected
10–31
✓ ARMY won
Trend: ARMY ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ARMY by 10.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Minnesota
5-3 · #26
25
Illinois
6-2 · #44
17
Spread
MINN -2.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▼ Under 42
Projected
23–21
✓ MINN won
Trend: MINN ATS ✓ Model: ILL by 1 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Northwestern
3-5 · #83
26
Purdue
1-6 · #117
20
Spread
PUR -3.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 46 · OT
Projected
23–25
✗ PUR lost
Trend: PUR ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: NU by 8 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Stanford
2-6 · #96
28
NC State
4-4 · #67
59
Spread
NCSU -9.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
19–29
✓ NCSU won
Trend: STAN ATS ✗ Model: NCSU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Virginia Tech
5-3 · #38
31
Syracuse
5-2 · #43
38
Spread
VT -3.5
✓ SYR W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
28–25
✗ VT lost
Trend: VT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: VT by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Buffalo
4-4 · #105
41
Akron
2-6 · #124
30
Spread
BUFF -2.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
25–23
✓ BUFF won
Model: AKR by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Toledo
5-3 · #88
29
Eastern Michigan
5-3 · #120
28
Spread
TOL -10.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲2
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
30–21
✓ TOL won
Trend: EMU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: EMU by 6 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Memphis
7-1 · #56
36
UTSA
3-5 · #82
44
Spread
MEM -7.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲1
▲ Over 80 · Q4
Projected
33–25
✗ MEM lost
Trend: MEM ATS ✗ Model: MEM by 0 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
5-3 · #53
17
Auburn
3-5 · #33
7
Spread
AUB -7.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▼ Under 24
Projected
22–29
✗ AUB lost
Trend: VAN ATS ✓ Model: AUB by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
4-4 · #78
20
App State
3-4 · #99
28
Spread
ODU -2.5
✓ APP W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼2
▼ Under 48
Projected
30–28
✗ ODU lost
Trend: ODU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: APP by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Tulsa
3-5 · #131
21
UAB
1-6 · #116
59
Spread
UAB -2.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
57.5
▲ Over 80 · Q3
Projected
27–30
✓ UAB won
Model: UAB by 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oregon
8-0 · #5
38
Michigan
5-3 · #27
17
Spread
ORE -14.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 55 · Q3
Projected
31–17
✓ ORE won
Model: MICH by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Neutral
Florida
4-3 · #21
20
Georgia
6-1 · #8
34
Spread
UGA -14.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
52.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
17–32
✓ UGA won
Trend: FLA ATS ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
5-3 · #46
23
Iowa State
7-0 · #24
22
Spread
ISU -14.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▼ Under 45
Projected
20–34
✗ ISU lost
Trend: ISU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TTU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Indiana
8-0 · #10
47
Michigan State
4-4 · #70
10
Spread
IU -7.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲3
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
29–21
✓ IU won
Trend: IU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: IU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kansas State
7-1 · #20
19
Houston
3-5 · #76
24
Spread
KSU -9.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 43
Projected
27–16
✗ KSU lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: KSU by 6 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCLA
2-5 · #48
27
Nebraska
5-3 · #41
20
Spread
NEB -8.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼2
▲ Over 47 · Q3
Projected
16–25
✗ NEB lost
Trend: NEB ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: UCLA by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Carolina
4-4 · #64
35
Florida State
1-7 · #85
11
Spread
UNC -2.5
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
27–25
✓ UNC won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: FSU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Arizona State
5-2 · #18
42
Oklahoma State
3-5 · #87
21
Spread
ASU -4.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
31–27
✓ ASU won
Trend: ASU ATS ✓ Model: OKST by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arizona
3-5 · #79
12
UCF
3-5 · #37
56
Spread
UCF -5.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 68 · Q3
Projected
24–30
✓ UCF won
Trend: UCF ATS ✓ Model: UCF by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Middle Tennessee
2-6 · #129
20
UTEP
1-7 · #128
13
Spread
UTEP -1.5
✓ MTSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼3
▼ Under 33
Projected
24–26
✗ UTEP lost
Trend: UTEP ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: UTEP by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UL Monroe
5-2 · #115
23
Marshall
4-3 · #69
28
Spread
MRSH -10.5
✓ ULM W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
18–29
✓ MRSH won
Trend: MRSH ATS ✗ Model: MRSH by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wyoming
1-7 · #114
49
New Mexico
3-5 · #111
45
Spread
UNM -7.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
60.5
▲ Over 94 · Q2
Projected
26–33
✗ UNM lost
Trend: UNM ATS ✗ Model: WYO by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
4-3 · #101
24
Troy
1-7 · #97
38
Spread
CCU -3.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
28–25
✗ CCU lost
Trend: CCU ATS ✗ Model: TROY by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Navy
6-1 · #61
10
Rice
2-6 · #104
24
Spread
NAVY -13.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼2
▼ Under 34
Projected
30–18
✗ NAVY lost
Trend: NAVY ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: RICE by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Massachusetts
2-6 · #125
20
Mississippi State
1-7 · #72
45
Spread
MSST -18.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
20–38
✓ MSST won
Model: MASS by 0 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
3-5 · #109
21
Fresno State
5-3 · #84
20
Spread
FRES -12.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼4
▼ Under 41
Projected
16–29
✗ FRES lost
Trend: FRES ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Texas A&M
7-1 · #19
20
South Carolina
4-3 · #13
44
Spread
TA&M -3.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
24–21
✗ TA&M lost
Trend: SC ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: SC by 4 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisville
5-3 · #14
33
Clemson
6-1 · #17
21
Spread
CLEM -11.5
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲1
▼ Under 54
Projected
24–34
✗ CLEM lost
Trend: CLEM ATS ✗ Model: LOU by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wisconsin
5-3 · #47
10
Iowa
5-3 · #30
42
Spread
IOWA -2.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
19–22
✓ IOWA won
Trend: IOWA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: IOWA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
USC
4-4 · #16
21
Washington
4-4 · #31
26
Spread
USC -2.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
55.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
26–24
✗ USC lost
Model: WASH by 0 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Southern
5-3 · #90
34
South Alabama
4-4 · #66
30
Spread
USA -5.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼2
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
26–33
✗ USA lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: USA by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Kentucky
3-5 · #50
18
Tennessee
6-1 · #11
28
Spread
TENN -17.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
14–32
✓ TENN won
Trend: TENN ATS ✗ Model: TENN by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Pittsburgh
7-0 · #57
25
SMU
7-1 · #15
48
Spread
SMU -7.5
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼6
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
23–31
✓ SMU won
Trend: PITT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: SMU by 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
TCU
5-3 · #34
34
Baylor
4-4 · #39
37
Spread
BAY -2.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
62.5 ▼2
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
28–30
✓ BAY won
Trend: BAY ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TCU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Colorado State
5-3 · #100
38
Nevada
3-6 · #102
21
Spread
CSU -2.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
24–23
✓ CSU won
Trend: CSU ATS ✓ Model: NEV by 6 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total