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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Bowls & playoff games

FinalCurrentUpcomingBowls & playoff: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
46 finalFavorites 24-22 ATS16 upsetsO/U 25-21Model Favorite 31-15Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4646 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS24-2252% covered
Upsets16outright
Over / Under25-2154% over
Model Favorite31-1567% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up20 all 20 final
Over12 60%Under8 40%
Moved down20 all 20 final
Over9 45%Under11 55%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
17–2343%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
11–1739%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
8–1240%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
5–936%
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
1–420%
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Dec 14

1
Final · IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl
South Alabama
6-6 · #66
30
Western Michigan
6-6 · #107
23
Spread
USA -5.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼6
▼ Under 53
Projected
33–26
✓ USA won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: USA by 6 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Tuesday, Dec 17

1
Final · Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl
Memphis
10-2 · #56
42
West Virginia
6-6 · #63
37
Spread
MEM -5.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲2
▲ Over 79 · Q4
Projected
31–26
✓ MEM won
Trend: MEM ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: WVU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Wednesday, Dec 18

2
Final · Boca Raton Bowl
Western Kentucky
8-5 · #103
17
James Madison
8-4 · #59
27
Spread
JMU -7.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▼ Under 44
Projected
23–31
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: JMU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Art of Sport LA Bowl
California
6-6 · #55
13
UNLV
10-3 · #42
24
Spread
UNLV -3.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼7
▼ Under 37
Projected
25–28
✓ UNLV won
Trend: UNLV ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: CAL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Thursday, Dec 19

1
Final · R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Georgia Southern
8-4 · #90
26
Sam Houston
9-3 · #93
31
Spread
GASO -3.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲2
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
27–24
✗ GASO lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: SHSU by 3 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Dec 20

3
Final · StaffDNA Cure Bowl
Ohio
10-3 · #65
30
Jacksonville State
9-4 · #81
27
Spread
OHIO -5.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲3
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
30–25
✓ OHIO won
Trend: OHIO ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: JXST by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
Tulane
9-4 · #40
8
Florida
7-5 · #21
33
Spread
FLA -9.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
21–29
✓ FLA won
Model: TULN by 8 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · College Football Playoff First Round
Indiana
11-1 · #10
17
Notre Dame
11-1 · #4
27
Spread
ND -6.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 44
Projected
23–29
✓ ND won
Trend: IU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ND by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Dec 21

3
Final · College Football Playoff First Round
SMU
11-2 · #15
10
Penn State
11-2 · #6
38
Spread
PSU -7.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 48
Projected
21–29
✓ PSU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: PSU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · College Football Playoff First Round
Clemson
10-3 · #17
24
Texas
11-2 · #2
38
Spread
TEX -13.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼5
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
20–34
✓ TEX won
Trend: TEX ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TEX by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · College Football Playoff First Round
Tennessee
10-2 · #11
17
Ohio State
10-2 · #1
42
Spread
OSU -7.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
22–30
✓ OSU won
Model: OSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Dec 23

2
Final · Myrtle Beach Bowl
UTSA
6-6 · #82
44
Coastal Carolina
6-6 · #101
15
Spread
UTSA -13.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
34–23
✓ UTSA won
Model: CCU by 14.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Northern Illinois
7-5 · #74
28
Fresno State
6-6 · #84
20
Spread
NIU -2.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 48 · OT
Projected
22–20
✓ NIU won
Model: FRES by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: OT

Tuesday, Dec 24

1
Final · Hawaiʻi Bowl
South Florida
6-6 · #91
41
San José State
7-5 · #86
39
Spread
USF -0.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
64.5 ▲2
▲ Over 80 · OT
Projected
28–28
✓ USF won
Trend: USF ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: SJSU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 8.5 ✗ Cover settled: OT

Thursday, Dec 26

3
Final · GameAbove Sports Bowl
Pittsburgh
7-5 · #57
46
Toledo
7-5 · #88
48
Spread
PITT -6.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼3
▲ Over 94 · Q4
Projected
29–22
✗ PITT lost
Trend: TOL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: PITT by 4 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Rate Bowl
Rutgers
7-5 · #51
41
Kansas State
8-4 · #20
44
Spread
KSU -7.5
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▲ Over 85 · Q3
Projected
22–30
✓ KSU won
Model: KSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · 68 Ventures Bowl
Arkansas State
7-5 · #113
38
Bowling Green
7-5 · #75
31
Spread
BGSU -10.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲5
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
21–31
✗ BGSU lost
Trend: BGSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: BGSU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Dec 27

5
Final · Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Oklahoma
6-6 · #28
20
Navy
9-3 · #61
21
Spread
OU -2.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 41
Projected
25–21
✗ OU lost
Trend: NAVY ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: OU by 7.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Birmingham Bowl
Georgia Tech
7-5 · #36
27
Vanderbilt
6-6 · #53
35
Spread
GT -2.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼6
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✗ GT lost
Trend: VAN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: GT by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Texas Tech
8-4 · #46
26
Arkansas
6-6 · #32
39
Spread
TTU -3.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼7
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
31–29
✗ TTU lost
Trend: TTU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ARK by 7 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · DirecTV Holiday Bowl
Syracuse
9-3 · #43
52
Washington State
8-4 · #68
35
Spread
SYR -18.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼4
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
40–24
✓ SYR won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: WSU by 13.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl
USC
6-6 · #16
35
Texas A&M
8-4 · #19
31
Spread
TA&M -3.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲6
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
26–29
✗ TA&M lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: USC by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Saturday, Dec 28

8
Final · Wasabi Fenway Bowl
UConn
8-4 · #80
27
North Carolina
6-6 · #64
14
Spread
UNC -1.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼4
▼ Under 41
Projected
26–29
✗ UNC lost
Trend: CONN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: UNC by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl
Boston College
7-5 · #58
15
Nebraska
6-6 · #41
20
Spread
NEB -3.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▼ Under 35
Projected
21–25
✓ NEB won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: NEB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Isleta New Mexico Bowl
Louisiana
10-3 · #71
3
TCU
8-4 · #34
34
Spread
TCU -9.5
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
26–36
✓ TCU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Pop-Tarts Bowl
Iowa State
10-3 · #24
42
Miami
10-2 · #9
41
Spread
MIA -5.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲9
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
26–32
✗ MIA lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: MIA by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl
Miami (OH)
8-5 · #73
43
Colorado State
8-4 · #100
17
Spread
M-OH -1.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
23–22
✓ M-OH won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✓ Model: M-OH by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Go Bowling Military Bowl
East Carolina
7-5 · #92
26
NC State
6-6 · #67
21
Spread
NCSU -7.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲1
▼ Under 47
Projected
23–31
✗ NCSU lost
Trend: ECU ATS ✓ Model: Under 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Valero Alamo Bowl
BYU
10-2 · #22
36
Colorado
9-3 · #25
14
Spread
COLO -2.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 50
Projected
25–27
✗ COLO lost
Trend: COLO ATS ✗ Model: BYU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl
Louisiana Tech
5-7 · #112
6
Army
11-2 · #52
27
Spread
ARMY -14.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
14–28
✓ ARMY won
Trend: LT ATS ✗ Model: ARMY by 0 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Dec 30

1
Final · TransPerfect Music City Bowl
Iowa
8-4 · #30
24
Missouri
9-3 · #23
27
Spread
MIZ -1.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 51 · Q3
Projected
22–23
✓ MIZ won
Model: MIZ by 0 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Tuesday, Dec 31

5
Final · ReliaQuest Bowl
Alabama
9-3 · #7
13
Michigan
7-5 · #27
19
Spread
ALA -16.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲3
▼ Under 32
Projected
29–14
✗ ALA lost
Trend: ALA ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: MICH by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
Louisville
8-4 · #14
35
Washington
6-6 · #31
34
Spread
WASH -1.5
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
27–27
✓ LOU won
Trend: WASH ATS ✗ Model: LOU by 9 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
South Carolina
9-3 · #13
17
Illinois
9-3 · #44
21
Spread
SC -9.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲2
▼ Under 38
Projected
28–18
✗ SC lost
Trend: SC ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: SC by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Kinder's Texas Bowl
Baylor
8-4 · #39
31
LSU
8-4 · #12
44
Spread
BAY -2.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲2
▲ Over 75 · Q4
Projected
31–30
✗ BAY lost
Trend: BAY ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: LSU by 10.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Vrbo Fiesta Bowl · CFP Quarterfinal
Penn State
12-2 · #6
31
Boise State
12-1 · #29
14
Spread
PSU -11.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 45
Projected
34–23
✓ PSU won
Model: BOIS by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Wednesday, Jan 1

2
Final · Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl · CFP Quarterfinal
Texas
12-2 · #2
39
Arizona State
11-2 · #18
31
Spread
TEX -13.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▲ Over 70 · OT
Projected
32–19
✓ TEX won
Trend: ASU ATS ✓ Model: ASU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Rose Bowl · CFP Quarterfinal
Ohio State
11-2 · #1
41
Oregon
13-0 · #5
21
Spread
OSU -2.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
29–26
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓ Model: OSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Jan 2

2
Final · Allstate Sugar Bowl - Rescheduled from Jan 1 · CFP Quarterfinal
Notre Dame
12-1 · #4
23
Georgia
11-2 · #8
10
Spread
ND -1.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲3
▼ Under 33
Projected
26–25
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ND by 1 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
Duke
9-3 · #60
20
Ole Miss
9-3 · #3
52
Spread
MISS -14.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼4
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
18–33
✓ MISS won
Trend: DUKE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MISS by 6 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Friday, Jan 3

2
Final · SERVPRO First Responder Bowl
North Texas
6-6 · #94
28
Texas State
7-5 · #54
30
Spread
TXST -15.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
66.5 ▼1
▼ Under 58
Projected
28–42
✓ TXST won
Trend: TXST ATS ✗ Model: UNT by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Duke's Mayo Bowl
Minnesota
7-5 · #26
24
Virginia Tech
6-6 · #38
10
Spread
MINN -10.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 34
Projected
24–15
✓ MINN won
Trend: MINN ATS ✓ Model: VT by 10.5 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Jan 4

1
Final · Bahamas Bowl
Buffalo
8-4 · #105
26
Liberty
8-3 · #95
7
Spread
BUFF -3.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▼ Under 33
Projected
26–25
✓ BUFF won
Trend: BUFF ATS ✓ Model: LIB by 11.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Jan 9

1
Final · Capital One Orange Bowl · CFP Semifinal
Notre Dame
13-1 · #4
27
Penn State
13-2 · #6
24
Spread
PSU -1.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
24–25
✗ PSU lost
Model: ND by 4 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Friday, Jan 10

1
Final · Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic · CFP Semifinal
Ohio State
12-2 · #1
28
Texas
13-2 · #2
14
Spread
OSU -5.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▼ Under 42
Projected
27–23
✓ OSU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TEX by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Jan 20

1
Final · CFP National Championship
Ohio State
13-2 · #1
34
Notre Dame
14-1 · #4
23
Spread
OSU -8.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
28–21
✓ OSU won
Trend: ND ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ND by 6 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total