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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 4 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 4: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
54 finalFavorites 27-18 ATS13 upsetsO/U 28-17Model Favorite 40-14Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5454 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS27-1860% covered
Upsets13outright
Over / Under28-1762% over
Model Favorite40-1474% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up12 all 12 final
Over7 58%Under5 42%
Moved down26 all 26 final
Over17 65%Under9 35%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
21–1657%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
12–1152%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
3–538%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
0–10%
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 19

1
Final · Conf
South Alabama
1-2 · #66
48
App State
2-1 · #99
14
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
31–35
✗ APP lost

Friday, Sep 20

3
Final · Conf
Stanford
1-1 · #96
26
Syracuse
2-0 · #43
24
Spread
SYR -9.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▼ Under 50
Projected
22–33
✗ SYR lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: SYR by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Illinois
3-0 · #44
31
Nebraska
3-0 · #41
24
Spread
NEB -9.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼2
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
17–26
✗ NEB lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ILL by 4 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
San José State
3-0 · #86
52
Washington State
3-0 · #68
54
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
19–33
✓ WSU won

Saturday, Sep 21

50
Final · Non-conf
Marshall
1-1 · #69
14
Ohio State
2-0 · #1
49
Spread
OSU -38.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲4
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
6–44
✓ OSU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: MRSH by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
NC State
2-1 · #67
35
Clemson
1-1 · #17
59
Spread
CLEM -17.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼4
▲ Over 94 · Q2
Projected
16–33
✓ CLEM won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: NCSU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida
1-2 · #21
45
Mississippi State
1-2 · #72
28
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
30–26
✓ FLA won
Final · Non-conf
Charlotte
1-2 · #119
14
Indiana
3-0 · #10
52
Spread
IU -28.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
10–39
✓ IU won
Model: CLT by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
James Madison
2-0 · #59
70
North Carolina
3-0 · #64
50
Spread
UNC -11.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 120 · Q2
Projected
20–30
✗ UNC lost
Model: JMU by 6 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Houston
1-2 · #76
0
Cincinnati
2-1 · #45
34
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
22–27
✓ CIN won
Final · Conf
Kansas
1-2 · #35
28
West Virginia
1-2 · #63
32
Spread
WVU -1.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
28–29
✓ WVU won
Model: KU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tulane
1-2 · #40
41
Louisiana
2-0 · #71
33
Spread
TULN -1.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼2
▲ Over 74 · Q3
Projected
27–25
✓ TULN won
Trend: UL ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: TULN by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Rice
1-2 · #104
14
Army
2-0 · #52
37
Spread
ARMY -7.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▲ Over 51 · Q3
Projected
19–27
✓ ARMY won
Trend: ARMY ATS ✓ Model: RICE by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Ohio
2-1 · #65
6
Kentucky
1-2 · #50
41
Spread
UK -21.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
11–31
✓ UK won
Trend: UK ATS ✓ Model: OHIO by 6 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Ball State
1-1 · #126
34
Central Michigan
1-2 · #123
37
Spread
CMU -5.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼4
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
23–28
✓ CMU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Arkansas State
2-1 · #113
7
Iowa State
2-0 · #24
52
Spread
ISU -18.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
16–34
✓ ISU won
Trend: ARST ATS ✗ Model: ARST by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Virginia
2-1 · #77
43
Coastal Carolina
3-0 · #101
24
Spread
UVA -3.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▲ Over 67 · Q3
Projected
28–26
✓ UVA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CCU by 9 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Utah State
1-2 · #106
29
Temple
0-3 · #127
45
Spread
USU -6.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 74 · Q4
Projected
31–25
✗ USU lost
Model: TEM by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Southern Miss
1-2 · #132
7
Jacksonville State
0-3 · #81
44
Spread
JXST -6.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
60.5
▼ Under 51
Projected
26–32
✓ JXST won
Model: JXST by 0 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
0-3 · #134
0
Penn State
2-0 · #6
56
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
4–49
✓ PSU won
Final · Conf
USC
2-0 · #16
24
Michigan
2-1 · #27
27
Spread
USC -4.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼4
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
26–23
✗ USC lost
Trend: MICH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MICH by 7 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UCLA
1-1 · #48
17
LSU
2-1 · #12
34
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
20–39
✓ LSU won
Final · Non-conf
Miami (OH)
0-2 · #73
3
Notre Dame
2-1 · #4
28
Spread
ND -27.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 31
Projected
7–35
✓ ND won
Model: ND by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
3-1 · #36
19
Louisville
2-0 · #14
31
Spread
LOU -8.5
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▼ Under 50
Projected
25–34
✓ LOU won
Trend: GT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: LOU by 5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Buffalo
2-1 · #105
23
Northern Illinois
2-0 · #74
20
Spread
NIU -12.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▲ Over 43 · OT
Projected
14–28
✗ NIU lost
Trend: BUFF ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NIU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arkansas
2-1 · #32
24
Auburn
2-1 · #33
14
Spread
AUB -2.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼5
▼ Under 38
Projected
26–29
✗ AUB lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: AUB by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Rutgers
2-0 · #51
26
Virginia Tech
2-1 · #38
23
Spread
VT -3.5
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼3
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
23–27
✗ VT lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: VT by 2 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arizona State
3-0 · #18
22
Texas Tech
2-1 · #46
30
Spread
TTU -4.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▼ Under 52
Projected
24–30
✓ TTU won
Trend: TTU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TTU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Memphis
3-0 · #56
44
Navy
2-0 · #61
56
Spread
MEM -8.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼4
▲ Over 100 · Q3
Projected
30–20
✗ MEM lost
Trend: NAVY ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MEM by 7.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah
3-0 · #49
22
Oklahoma State
3-0 · #87
19
Spread
UTAH -0.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▼ Under 41
Projected
25–25
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓ Model: UTAH by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Duke
3-0 · #60
45
Middle Tennessee
1-2 · #129
17
Spread
DUKE -14.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼4
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
32–17
✓ DUKE won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: DUKE by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
2-1 · #53
27
Missouri
3-0 · #23
30
Spread
MIZ -18.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
52.5
▲ Over 57 · OT
Projected
18–37
✓ MIZ won
Trend: VAN ATS ✓ Model: MIZ by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
TCU
2-1 · #34
42
SMU
2-1 · #15
66
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
27–30
✓ SMU won
Final · Non-conf
UTEP
0-3 · #128
17
Colorado State
1-2 · #100
27
Spread
CSU -8.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 44
Projected
20–29
✓ CSU won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: CSU by 0 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
East Carolina
2-1 · #92
24
Liberty
3-0 · #95
35
Spread
LIB -7.5
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲2
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
21–30
✓ LIB won
Trend: ECU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: LIB by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Miami
3-0 · #9
50
South Florida
2-1 · #91
15
Spread
MIA -15.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
63.5 ▼2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
38–22
✓ MIA won
Trend: USF ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Northwestern
2-1 · #83
5
Washington
2-1 · #31
24
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
14–32
✓ WASH won
Final · Non-conf
Florida Atlantic
1-2 · #118
14
UConn
1-2 · #80
48
Spread
FAU -0.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
24–24
✗ FAU lost
Trend: CONN ATS ✓ Model: CONN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
California
3-0 · #55
9
Florida State
0-3 · #85
14
Spread
FSU -2.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 23
Projected
22–25
✓ FSU won
Trend: CAL ATS ✗ Model: FSU by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tulsa
1-2 · #131
23
Louisiana Tech
1-1 · #112
20
Spread
LT -1.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▼ Under 43
Projected
27–29
✗ LT lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: LT by 4 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico State
1-2 · #130
11
Sam Houston
2-1 · #93
31
Spread
SHSU -14.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
17–31
✓ SHSU won
Trend: SHSU ATS ✓ Model: NMSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Toledo
3-0 · #88
21
Western Kentucky
2-1 · #103
26
Spread
TOL -2.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲2
▼ Under 47
Projected
30–28
✗ TOL lost
Trend: TOL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: TOL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Wyoming
0-3 · #114
17
North Texas
2-1 · #94
44
Spread
UNT -7.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 61 · Q3
Projected
25–33
✓ UNT won
Trend: WYO ATS ✗ Model: WYO by 0 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Tennessee
3-0 · #11
25
Oklahoma
3-0 · #28
15
Spread
TENN -5.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▼ Under 40
Projected
32–26
✓ TENN won
Trend: TENN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TENN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Bowling Green
1-1 · #75
20
Texas A&M
2-1 · #19
26
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
14–34
✓ TA&M won
Final · Non-conf
Akron
1-2 · #124
7
South Carolina
2-1 · #13
50
Spread
SC -22.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼6
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
12–35
✓ SC won
Trend: AKR ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: SC by 6 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Iowa
2-1 · #30
31
Minnesota
2-1 · #26
14
Spread
IOWA -2.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
34.5 ▼2
▲ Over 45 · Q3
Projected
18–16
✓ IOWA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MINN by 3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Georgia Southern
2-1 · #90
13
Ole Miss
3-0 · #3
52
Spread
MISS -35.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
68.5 ▲3
▼ Under 65
Projected
14–50
✓ MISS won
Trend: MISS ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: MISS by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
UL Monroe
2-0 · #115
3
Texas
3-0 · #2
51
Spread
TEX -41.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
2–45
✓ TEX won
Model: TEX by 5 ✓ Model: Under 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Michigan State
3-0 · #70
19
Boston College
2-1 · #58
23
Spread
BC -4.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 42
Projected
20–25
✓ BC won
Trend: MSU ATS ✓ Model: BC by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Baylor
2-1 · #39
31
Colorado
2-1 · #25
38
Spread
COLO -2.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
25–28
✓ COLO won
Trend: COLO ATS ✓ Model: COLO by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: OT
Final · Conf
Fresno State
2-1 · #84
38
New Mexico
0-3 · #111
21
Spread
FRES -11.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲1
▼ Under 59
Projected
34–22
✓ FRES won
Trend: UNM ATS ✗ Model: FRES by 4 ✓ Model: Under 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Purdue
1-1 · #117
21
Oregon State
2-1 · #98
38
Spread
ORST -1.5
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
26–29
✓ ORST won
Trend: PUR ATS ✗ Model: ORST by 9.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kansas State
3-0 · #20
9
BYU
3-0 · #22
38
Spread
KSU -7.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 47
Projected
29–22
✗ KSU lost
Trend: BYU ATS ✓ Model: BYU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total