Bowling Green @ Texas A&M: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2024)

Sat, Sep 21, 2024, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Texas A&M

Weather at kickoff93°F12 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

Bowling Green

1-1 · Power #75

final

Final

Texas A&M

2-1 · Power #19

▲ winner

Closing spread

—

Total

—

Model before kickoff

BGSU 14–34 TA&M

✓ TA&M (94%) won

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BGSU WW	2-0	100%	1-0	—
TA&M LLW	1-2	33%	0-2	—

Venue/role: BGSU away; TA&M home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BGSU UO	1-1	50%	1-1
TA&M UOO	2-1	67%	2-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BGSU	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	6-3 67%
TA&M	5-5 50%	3-6-1 33%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BGSU−5.6 →−3.5▲ 2.1#81

TA&M+13.5 →+13.9▲ 0.4#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

BGSU

Longer bar = better

TA&M

#41

Offense

Even

#51

#109

Defense

TA&M better ▶

#50

−0.5 #98

Turnovers

TA&M better ▶

+1.0 #32

61 plays #110

Pace

TA&M faster ▶

68 plays #51

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BGSU has the ball

Even matchup

	BGSU off	TA&M def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #45	17.7 #50	Even
Yards / play	6.97 #29	5.29 #72	BGSU
PPA / play	+0.29 #32	−0.03 #45	Even
Success rate	45% #57	34% #32	TA&M

When TA&M has the ball

Advantage: TA&M offense

	TA&M off	BGSU def	Edge
Points / game	32.7 #53	25.5 #88	TA&M
Yards / play	6.22 #60	6.88 #129	TA&M
PPA / play	+0.20 #58	+0.27 #126	TA&M
Success rate	49% #34	42% #93	TA&M

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 130 FBS teams

BGSU scoring against the TA&M defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BGSU scored	15.0	10.5	25.5	3.5	5.0	8.5
TA&M allowed	1.0 #10	1.0 #2	2.0 #2	7.0 #89	8.7 #111	15.7 #113

TA&M scoring against the BGSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TA&M scored	9.0 #37	12.3 #36	21.3 #26	6.7 #70	4.7 #95	11.3 #89
BGSU allowed	3.5	8.0	11.5	7.0	7.0	14.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.