Kent State @ Penn State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2024)

Sat, Sep 21, 2024, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Penn State

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Kent State

0-3 · Power #134

final

Final

Penn State

2-0 · Power #6

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

KENT 4–49 PSU

✓ PSU (100%) won

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT LLL	0-3	0%	0-2	—
PSU WL	1-1	50%	0-1	—

Venue/role: KENT away; PSU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT OUO	2-1	67%	0-3
PSU UO	1-1	50%	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENT	0-10 0%	2-8 20%	6-3 67%
PSU	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−20.0 →−23.7▼ 3.7#134

PSU+18.8 →+18.3▼ 0.5#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

KENT

Longer bar = better

PSU

#131

Offense

PSU better ▶

#36

#132

Defense

PSU better ▶

#53

0.0 #69

Turnovers

PSU better ▶

+1.5 #18

60 plays #117

Pace

Even

59 plays #124

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: PSU defense

	KENT off	PSU def	Edge
Points / game	13.7 #131	19.5 #56	PSU
Yards / play	3.37 #135	4.70 #48	PSU
PPA / play	−0.09 #127	−0.01 #48	PSU
Success rate	32% #130	37% #58	PSU

When PSU has the ball

Advantage: PSU offense

	PSU off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #46	49.7 #137	PSU
Yards / play	7.65 #11	7.43 #132	PSU
PPA / play	+0.31 #26	+0.32 #131	PSU
Success rate	44% #59	50% #127	PSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 121 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the PSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	2.3 #109	7.0 #78	9.3 #99	3.3 #103	1.0 #117	4.3 #120
PSU allowed	5.0	10.0	15.0	0.0	4.5	4.5

PSU scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PSU scored	3.5	16.5	20.0	7.0	7.0	14.0
KENT allowed	20.3 #121	17.3 #120	37.7 #121	6.7 #78	5.3 #68	12.0 #69

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.