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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 6 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 6: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
49 finalFavorites 24-24 ATS13 upsetsO/U 27-22Model Favorite 36-13Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4949 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS24-2450% covered
Upsets13outright
Over / Under27-2255% over
Model Favorite36-1373% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up12 all 12 final
Over7 58%Under5 42%
Moved down29 all 29 final
Over18 62%Under11 38%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
17–2540%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
13–1154%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
8–373%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
2–167%
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 3

2
Final · Conf
Texas State
2-2 · #54
38
Troy
1-4 · #97
17
Spread
TXST -14.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▼ Under 55
Projected
36–23
✓ TXST won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TROY by 9 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
4-1 · #93
41
UTEP
0-4 · #128
21
Spread
SHSU -9.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
28–19
✓ SHSU won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✗ Model: UTEP by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Friday, Oct 4

4
Final · Conf
Jacksonville State
1-3 · #81
63
Kennesaw State
0-4 · #133
24
Spread
JXST -17.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
33–17
✓ JXST won
Trend: JXST ATS ✓ Model: KENN by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Houston
1-4 · #76
30
TCU
3-2 · #34
19
Spread
TCU -16.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲2
▼ Under 49
Projected
17–34
✗ TCU lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: TCU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Michigan State
3-2 · #70
10
Oregon
4-0 · #5
31
Spread
ORE -21.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
14–37
✓ ORE won
Trend: MSU ATS ✓ Model: ORE by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Syracuse
3-1 · #43
44
UNLV
4-0 · #42
41
Spread
UNLV -5.5
✓ SYR W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼3
▲ Over 85 · Q3
Projected
25–31
✗ UNLV lost
Trend: UNLV ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNLV by 5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Oct 5

43
Final · Conf
UCLA
1-3 · #48
11
Penn State
4-0 · #6
27
Spread
PSU -29.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▼ Under 38
Projected
7–36
✓ PSU won
Trend: PSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: UCLA by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Missouri
4-0 · #23
10
Texas A&M
4-1 · #19
41
Spread
TA&M -2.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
23–25
✓ TA&M won
Trend: MIZ ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIZ by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
SMU
4-1 · #15
34
Louisville
3-1 · #14
27
Spread
LOU -6.5
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼3
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
24–31
✗ LOU lost
Trend: LOU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: LOU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Purdue
1-3 · #117
6
Wisconsin
2-2 · #47
52
Spread
WIS -11.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
17–29
✓ WIS won
Trend: PUR ATS ✗ Model: WIS by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Massachusetts
1-4 · #125
20
Northern Illinois
2-2 · #74
34
Spread
NIU -13.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼6
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
15–29
✓ NIU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: NIU by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Boston College
4-1 · #58
14
Virginia
3-1 · #77
24
Spread
UVA -1.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▼ Under 38
Projected
25–26
✓ UVA won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: BC by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Pittsburgh
4-0 · #57
34
North Carolina
3-2 · #64
24
Spread
PITT -2.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼3
▼ Under 58
Projected
31–29
✓ PITT won
Trend: PITT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: UNC by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
1-3 · #89
34
NC State
3-2 · #67
30
Spread
NCSU -4.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼3
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
26–31
✗ NCSU lost
Trend: WAKE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NCSU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Navy
4-0 · #61
34
Air Force
1-3 · #108
7
Spread
NAVY -9.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
37.5 ▲1
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
25–17
✓ NAVY won
Model: AFA by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Army
4-0 · #52
49
Tulsa
2-3 · #131
7
Spread
ARMY -13.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
32–19
✓ ARMY won
Trend: ARMY ATS ✓ Model: TLSA by 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Tulane
3-2 · #40
71
UAB
1-3 · #116
20
Spread
TULN -18.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼4
▲ Over 91 · Q3
Projected
37–19
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UAB by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Western Michigan
1-3 · #107
45
Ball State
1-3 · #126
42
Spread
WMU -10.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲1
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
33–23
✓ WMU won
Model: BALL by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Iowa
3-1 · #30
7
Ohio State
4-0 · #1
35
Spread
OSU -17.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲3
▼ Under 42
Projected
14–33
✓ OSU won
Trend: IOWA ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: OSU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Auburn
2-3 · #33
13
Georgia
3-1 · #8
31
Spread
UGA -21.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
14–35
✓ UGA won
Trend: AUB ATS ✓ Model: UGA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ole Miss
4-1 · #3
27
South Carolina
3-1 · #13
3
Spread
MISS -10.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
31–21
✓ MISS won
Trend: MISS ATS ✓ Model: SC by 0 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Indiana
5-0 · #10
41
Northwestern
2-2 · #83
24
Spread
IU -12.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼5
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
27–15
✓ IU won
Trend: IU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: IU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Temple
1-4 · #127
20
UConn
3-2 · #80
29
Spread
CONN -17.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
17–35
✓ CONN won
Trend: CONN ATS ✗ Model: CONN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia Tech
2-3 · #38
31
Stanford
2-2 · #96
7
Spread
VT -9.5
✓ VT W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼4
▼ Under 38
Projected
30–22
✓ VT won
Trend: STAN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: STAN by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
App State
2-2 · #99
37
Marshall
2-2 · #69
52
Spread
MRSH -3.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▲ Over 89 · Q3
Projected
27–31
✓ MRSH won
Trend: MRSH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MRSH by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Miami (OH)
1-3 · #73
20
Toledo
3-1 · #88
30
Spread
TOL -5.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
19–25
✓ TOL won
Trend: TOL ATS ✓ Model: TOL by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Bowling Green
1-3 · #75
27
Akron
1-4 · #124
20
Spread
BGSU -16.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼3
▼ Under 47
Projected
34–18
✓ BGSU won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✗ Model: AKR by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
East Carolina
3-2 · #92
24
Charlotte
2-3 · #119
55
Spread
ECU -8.5
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
26–19
✗ ECU lost
Model: CLT by 3 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Rutgers
4-0 · #51
7
Nebraska
4-1 · #41
14
Spread
NEB -5.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼3
▼ Under 21
Projected
17–22
✓ NEB won
Trend: RUTG ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: RUTG by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
West Virginia
2-2 · #63
38
Oklahoma State
3-2 · #87
14
Spread
OKST -2.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
64.5 ▼1
▼ Under 52
Projected
29–32
✗ OKST lost
Model: OKST by 1 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Alabama
4-0 · #7
35
Vanderbilt
2-2 · #53
40
Spread
ALA -22.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼2
▲ Over 75 · Q3
Projected
40–16
✗ ALA lost
Trend: VAN ATS ✓ Model: ALA by 4 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Colorado State
2-2 · #100
31
Oregon State
3-1 · #98
39
Spread
ORST -10.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
19–31
✓ ORST won
Model: ORST by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Clemson
3-1 · #17
29
Florida State
1-4 · #85
13
Spread
CLEM -16.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
31–16
✓ CLEM won
Trend: CLEM ATS ✗ Model: FSU by 6.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Utah State
1-3 · #106
30
Boise State
3-1 · #29
62
Spread
BOIS -27.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
66.5 ▲1
▲ Over 92 · Q3
Projected
18–46
✓ BOIS won
Model: BOIS by 0 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
1-3 · #78
37
Coastal Carolina
3-1 · #101
45
Spread
CCU -4.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼4
▲ Over 82 · Q3
Projected
24–29
✓ CCU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CCU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
South Alabama
2-3 · #66
16
Arkansas State
2-2 · #113
18
Spread
USA -2.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
62.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
33–29
✗ USA lost
Trend: ARST ATS ✓ Model: USA by 5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
James Madison
4-0 · #59
19
UL Monroe
3-1 · #115
21
Spread
JMU -16.5
✓ ULM W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▼ Under 40
Projected
32–15
✗ JMU lost
Model: JMU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisiana
3-1 · #71
23
Southern Miss
1-3 · #132
13
Spread
UL -16.5
✓ USM W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▼ Under 36
Projected
37–21
✓ UL won
Model: USM by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tennessee
4-0 · #11
14
Arkansas
3-2 · #32
19
Spread
TENN -14.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▼ Under 33
Projected
36–21
✗ TENN lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: ARK by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Michigan
4-1 · #27
17
Washington
3-2 · #31
27
Spread
WASH -1.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼2
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
19–22
✓ WASH won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: WASH by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
USC
3-1 · #16
17
Minnesota
2-3 · #26
24
Spread
USC -9.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼7
▼ Under 41
Projected
28–19
✗ USC lost
Trend: USC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: MINN by 0 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Baylor
2-3 · #39
21
Iowa State
4-0 · #24
43
Spread
ISU -12.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
16–29
✓ ISU won
Trend: ISU ATS ✓ Model: ISU by 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Nevada
2-3 · #102
31
San José State
3-1 · #86
35
Spread
SJSU -7.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲4
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
20–28
✓ SJSU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: SJSU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UCF
3-1 · #37
13
Florida
2-2 · #21
24
Spread
UCF -1.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲1
▼ Under 37
Projected
30–28
✗ UCF lost
Trend: UCF ATS ✗ Model: UCF by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Duke
5-0 · #60
14
Georgia Tech
3-2 · #36
24
Spread
—
 
Total
51.5 ▼3
▼ Under 38
Projected
23–29
✓ GT won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗
Final · Conf
Kansas
1-4 · #35
31
Arizona State
3-1 · #18
35
Spread
ASU -2.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼3
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
25–27
✓ ASU won
Trend: ASU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: KU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
2-2 · #109
24
San Diego State
1-3 · #122
27
Spread
SDSU -1.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲2
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
21–23
✓ SDSU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: SDSU by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Miami
5-0 · #9
39
California
3-1 · #55
38
Spread
MIA -8.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼2
▲ Over 77 · Q4
Projected
32–23
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
4-1 · #46
28
Arizona
3-1 · #79
22
Spread
ARIZ -5.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
62.5
▼ Under 50
Projected
26–32
✗ ARIZ lost
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✗ Model: ARIZ by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total