Old Dominion @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2024)

Sat, Oct 5, 2024, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff74°F3 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Old Dominion

1-3 · Power #78

final

Final

Coastal Carolina

3-1 · Power #101

▲ winner

Closing spread

CCU -4.5

✓ CCU W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 82 pts

Model before kickoff

ODU 24–29 CCU

✓ CCU (63%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCCU -5.5

CloseCCU -4.5

Total55.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCCU -5.5

1 → ODU

CloseCCU -4.5

1 pt toward Old Dominion

Total

Open55.5

▼ 4

Close51.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CCU -5.5 · closed CCU -4.5 · moved 1 toward ODUmodel CCU -5.5

model CCU -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 50% (88 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (44 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCCU -5.5

CloseCCU -4.5

Total55.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CCU as a 4.5-point home favorite against ODU, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 45–37; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 82 points went over 51.5, as in 1 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 60%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

1 of 1010%

Below normal · usually 48%

Overs below normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 4.1 against an average line of 4.2; 45.3 points a game (usually 53). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ARMY vs BC 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & season form	-2.5	24–27	L	O47
Very close	GAST vs ODU 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-3.5	31–17	W	U53.75
Very close	ARMY vs GAST 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-8.5	14–31	L	U54
Very close	OHIO vs BGSU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & season form	-5.5	38–14	W	U52.5
Very close	RICE vs ECU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3.5	24–17	W	U47
Very close	FAU vs RICE 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & spread	-5	17–14	L	U54.5
Very close	APP vs CCU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & spread	-4.5	24–27	L	U59
Close	UNLV vs WYO 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar team ratings & total	-2.5	34–14	W	U48.25
Close	MTSU vs ODU 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-3	17–24	L	U48.5
Close	RICE vs FAU 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-3.5	24–21	L	U46.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU WLLW	2-2	50%	2-0	2-1
CCU WWLL	2-2	50%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: ODU away, as underdog; CCU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU UUOO	2-2	50%	1-3
CCU OOUO	3-1	75%	3-1

Went over in Q3. Of 284 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 36% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODU	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
CCU	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ODU 0–1 CCU CCU leads · 1 game since 2023 · CCU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 4 2023	Coastal Carolina 28 @ Old Dominion 24	ODU -1	CCU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ODU−8.4 →−7.3▲ 1.1#98

CCU−2.5 →−4.6▼ 2.1#85

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

ODU

Longer bar = better

CCU

#118

Offense

CCU better ▶

#52

#62

Defense

◀ ODU better

#77

−0.3 #88

Turnovers

CCU better ▶

+0.5 #51

66 plays #74

Pace

CCU faster ▶

68 plays #59

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: CCU defense

	ODU off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #115	27.8 #93	CCU
Yards / play	4.63 #127	5.65 #87	CCU
PPA / play	+0.05 #103	+0.02 #42	CCU
Success rate	34% #127	42% #85	CCU

When CCU has the ball

Even matchup

	CCU off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	36.8 #27	26.8 #90	CCU
Yards / play	6.22 #53	5.15 #54	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #71	+0.05 #58	Even
Success rate	45% #56	38% #46	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

ODU scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	5.3 #88	5.0 #114	10.3 #105	4.0 #111	5.8 #94	9.8 #115
CCU allowed	5.0 #68	8.5 #90	13.5 #87	6.0 #76	8.3 #106	14.3 #101

CCU scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	12.0 #10	10.3 #48	22.3 #17	8.5 #34	6.0 #85	14.5 #54
ODU allowed	9.3 #124	2.5 #12	11.8 #65	6.8 #87	8.3 #106	15.0 #106

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.