Coastal Carolina @ James Madison: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2024)

Thu, Oct 10, 2024, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at James Madison · Conference game

Weather at kickoff50°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

4-1 · Power #101

final

Final

James Madison

4-1 · Power #59

▲ winner

Closing spread

JMU -6.5

✓ JMU W

Total

58.5

▼ Under · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 24–32 JMU

✓ JMU (71%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -10

CloseJMU -6.5

Total58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJMU -10

3.5 → CCU

CloseJMU -6.5

3.5 pts toward Coastal Carolina

Total

Open58.5

no move

Close58.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JMU -10 · closed JMU -6.5 · moved 3.5 toward CCUmodel JMU -13.5

model JMU -13.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 55% (100 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -10

CloseJMU -6.5

Total58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JMU as a 6.5-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: JMU won 39–7; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 46 points stayed under 58.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 66%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13.5 against an average line of 7.4; 55.9 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	TEX vs WVU 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread	-7.5	38–20	W	U61
Close	JMU vs APP 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & total	-10.75	23–26	L	U56.25
Close	NCST vs LOU 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & season form	-6	28–13	W	U57
Close	TROY vs APP 2023 · Week 14 · close · similar season form & rest	-5.5	49–23	W	O52.5
Close	HOU vs MEM 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & total	-9.5	31–13	W	U59.25
Close	PITT vs MIA 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & total	-9.5	34–38	L	O61
Close	MRSH vs UAB 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & total	-4.5	14–21	L	U55.5
Close	TOL vs KENT 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & spread	-7	52–31	W	O62.5
Close	LIB vs NMSU 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & total	-9.5	33–17	W	U54.5
Close	TULN vs USF 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & rest	-4	45–10	W	U60.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU WWLLW	3-2	60%	1-1	1-1
JMU –LWWL	2-2	50%	1-1	1-2

Venue/role: CCU away, as underdog; JMU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU OOUOO	4-1	80%	4-1
JMU –UOOU	2-2	50%	4-1

Stayed under: it needed 16 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 49% of games with totals 54.5–62.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCU	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
JMU	7-3 70%	5-4 56%	6-3 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CCU 0–1 JMU JMU leads · 1 game since 2023 · JMU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 25 2023	James Madison 56 @ Coastal Carolina 14	JMU -4	JMU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−2.5 →−3.7▼ 1.2#83

JMU+2.2 →+5.5▲ 3.3#46

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

CCU

Longer bar = better

JMU

#46

Offense

Even

#47

#81

Defense

JMU better ▶

#15

+0.8 #31

Turnovers

JMU better ▶

+2.2 #2

67 plays #63

Pace

Even

67 plays #67

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: JMU defense

	CCU off	JMU def	Edge
Points / game	38.4 #22	18.2 #27	Even
Yards / play	6.55 #34	4.89 #28	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #50	−0.16 #2	JMU
Success rate	43% #77	33% #4	JMU

When JMU has the ball

Advantage: JMU offense

	JMU off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	39.0 #19	29.6 #98	JMU
Yards / play	6.63 #31	5.73 #90	JMU
PPA / play	+0.14 #77	+0.04 #46	CCU
Success rate	44% #60	43% #90	JMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the JMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	11.0 #12	11.0 #35	22.0 #15	9.6 #19	6.8 #67	16.4 #34
JMU allowed	4.2 #49	6.2 #49	10.4 #52	4.0 #36	3.8 #30	7.8 #26

JMU scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JMU scored	12.0 #9	8.8 #61	20.8 #21	8.8 #31	9.4 #23	18.2 #21
CCU allowed	5.4 #77	8.8 #92	14.2 #90	6.2 #80	9.2 #118	15.4 #108

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.