Jump to
Tuesday, Oct 8
1Wednesday, Oct 9
1Thursday, Oct 10
3Friday, Oct 11
3Saturday, Oct 12
44| Status | Matchup | 1H spread | Move | 1H total | Model | Trend | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||||
2024 team 1st-half records
| Team | GP | 1H ATS | Cover % | 1H O-U | Led-trailed | 1H PF | 1H PA | 1H margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1-0 | 100% | 1-0 | 1-0 | 20.0 | 17.0 | +3.0 | |
| 1 | 1-0 | 100% | 0-1 | 0-0-1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | +0.0 | |
| 12 | 9-2-1 | 81.8% | 6-6 | 7-4-1 | 14.8 | 12.3 | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 10-3 | 76.9% | 5-7-1 | 9-3-1 | 14.5 | 8.8 | +5.6 | |
| 13 | 10-3 | 76.9% | 4-9 | 9-3-1 | 15.8 | 9.4 | +6.5 | |
| 16 | 12-4 | 75% | 7-9 | 14-2 | 19.4 | 5.8 | +13.7 | |
| 13 | 9-3 | 75% | 4-8 | 9-4 | 18.7 | 12.0 | +6.7 | |
| 13 | 9-3 | 75% | 7-5 | 8-3-2 | 19.0 | 13.8 | +5.2 | |
| 13 | 8-3 | 72.7% | 4-8 | 7-5-1 | 14.7 | 10.4 | +4.3 | |
| 13 | 8-3-1 | 72.7% | 5-7 | 7-3-3 | 15.9 | 10.6 | +5.3 | |
| 14 | 10-4 | 71.4% | 8-5-1 | 9-3-2 | 18.9 | 10.6 | +8.3 | |
| 13 | 7-3-1 | 70% | 4-7 | 8-3-2 | 14.7 | 7.8 | +6.9 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | 69.2% | 7-5-1 | 8-3-2 | 15.0 | 9.7 | +5.3 | |
| 14 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 9-3 | 11-3 | 21.4 | 12.1 | +9.2 | |
| 13 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 1-11 | 5-4-4 | 14.2 | 13.2 | +1.1 | |
| 13 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 7-6 | 8-5 | 16.5 | 10.2 | +6.3 | |
| 13 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 3-9 | 8-3-2 | 12.5 | 10.7 | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 8-4-1 | 66.7% | 7-6 | 11-2 | 20.5 | 8.2 | +12.4 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 6-6 | 5-5-2 | 9.3 | 14.3 | -4.9 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 9-3 | 4-8 | 12.4 | 15.8 | -3.3 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 6-6 | 5-7 | 12.1 | 12.5 | -0.4 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | 64.3% | 6-8 | 10-4 | 14.6 | 8.4 | +6.3 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | 64.3% | 5-9 | 8-4-2 | 11.4 | 8.8 | +2.6 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | 64.3% | 6-8 | 8-5-1 | 14.1 | 12.4 | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 7-4 | 63.6% | 5-6 | 8-4-1 | 15.8 | 10.9 | +4.8 | |
| 12 | 7-4 | 63.6% | 2-9 | 5-7 | 10.6 | 11.7 | -1.1 | |
| 12 | 7-4 | 63.6% | 5-6 | 6-5-1 | 15.8 | 15.8 | -0.1 | |
| 12 | 7-4-1 | 63.6% | 5-7 | 4-6-2 | 13.0 | 15.5 | -2.5 | |
| 12 | 7-4 | 63.6% | 7-4 | 4-7-1 | 8.6 | 12.2 | -3.6 | |
| 12 | 7-4 | 63.6% | 6-5 | 3-9 | 10.8 | 14.9 | -4.2 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | 62.5% | 9-7 | 11-3-2 | 18.1 | 7.4 | +10.8 | |
| 14 | 8-5-1 | 61.5% | 8-6 | 12-2 | 17.0 | 6.6 | +10.4 | |
| 14 | 8-5 | 61.5% | 4-9 | 10-1-3 | 21.2 | 10.9 | +10.3 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | 61.5% | 6-5-2 | 9-4 | 14.2 | 11.5 | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | 61.5% | 7-6 | 9-4 | 15.0 | 8.6 | +6.4 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | 61.5% | 4-8-1 | 10-2-1 | 22.6 | 8.3 | +14.3 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | 61.5% | 4-9 | 5-3-5 | 13.8 | 10.6 | +3.2 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | 61.5% | 7-6 | 6-6-1 | 14.7 | 12.2 | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 6-4-1 | 60% | 5-6 | 6-6-1 | 11.8 | 15.4 | -3.5 | |
| 12 | 6-4-1 | 60% | 7-3-1 | 2-10 | 12.8 | 21.5 | -8.8 | |
| 13 | 7-5 | 58.3% | 6-6 | 9-4 | 16.4 | 10.2 | +6.2 | |
| 13 | 7-5 | 58.3% | 7-5 | 8-4-1 | 21.7 | 14.9 | +6.8 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | 58.3% | 7-4-1 | 5-5-2 | 17.9 | 13.6 | +4.3 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | 58.3% | 3-9 | 8-4 | 11.1 | 9.3 | +1.8 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | 58.3% | 8-4 | 6-5-1 | 14.4 | 14.0 | +0.4 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | 58.3% | 3-9 | 5-4-3 | 13.7 | 8.3 | +5.4 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | 57.1% | 8-6 | 10-4 | 17.3 | 9.1 | +8.1 | |
| 14 | 6-5-1 | 54.5% | 6-6 | 11-3 | 20.1 | 11.2 | +8.9 | |
| 13 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 5-6 | 10-3 | 21.2 | 13.8 | +7.5 | |
| 13 | 6-5-1 | 54.5% | 7-5 | 5-8 | 16.9 | 20.6 | -3.7 | |
| 13 | 6-5-1 | 54.5% | 6-7 | 7-5-1 | 14.5 | 13.2 | +1.3 | |
| 12 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 6-4-1 | 6-6 | 14.1 | 16.7 | -2.6 | |
| 12 | 6-5-1 | 54.5% | 7-5 | 3-9 | 12.7 | 16.6 | -3.9 | |
| 12 | 6-5-1 | 54.5% | 6-6 | 6-6 | 12.4 | 12.1 | +0.3 | |
| 12 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 5-6 | 6-4-2 | 14.8 | 13.2 | +1.7 | |
| 12 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 5-6 | 0-9-3 | 7.8 | 15.7 | -7.9 | |
| 12 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 7-4 | 3-7-2 | 12.8 | 18.5 | -5.8 | |
| 14 | 7-6-1 | 53.8% | 7-7 | 9-4-1 | 20.4 | 9.8 | +10.6 | |
| 14 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 7-5-1 | 9-5 | 19.1 | 11.3 | +7.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 5-8 | 7-6 | 12.8 | 11.6 | +1.2 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 8-5 | 6-7 | 14.0 | 16.6 | -2.6 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 7-6 | 8-4-1 | 13.5 | 10.5 | +2.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 5-8 | 8-5 | 14.2 | 11.7 | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 4-9 | 7-5-1 | 13.3 | 10.5 | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 4-7-2 | 9-4 | 14.0 | 9.3 | +4.7 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 5-8 | 7-5-1 | 19.6 | 7.0 | +12.6 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 9-4 | 7-5-1 | 16.7 | 15.4 | +1.3 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 6-7 | 8-5 | 13.7 | 13.5 | +0.2 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 6-7 | 10-3 | 18.0 | 7.4 | +10.6 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 7-5-1 | 7-5-1 | 17.9 | 16.9 | +1.0 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 8-8 | 14-1-1 | 19.8 | 7.4 | +12.4 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | 50% | 9-5 | 8-4-2 | 18.1 | 16.1 | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 6-6 | 50% | 7-5 | 6-7 | 15.4 | 14.5 | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 6-6-1 | 50% | 8-5 | 5-7-1 | 15.8 | 15.8 | +0.1 | |
| 13 | 6-6 | 50% | 5-7 | 7-6 | 9.7 | 8.3 | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 5-5-1 | 50% | 6-5 | 7-5-1 | 11.6 | 10.8 | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 6-6 | 50% | 5-7 | 7-3-3 | 18.1 | 13.2 | +4.9 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | 50% | 7-5 | 4-7-1 | 17.5 | 20.7 | -3.2 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | 50% | 6-6 | 6-5-1 | 14.6 | 14.0 | +0.6 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | 50% | 5-7 | 5-7 | 9.9 | 11.4 | -1.5 | |
| 12 | 5-5 | 50% | 4-6 | 2-9-1 | 8.4 | 13.3 | -4.9 | |
| 12 | 5-5-1 | 50% | 4-7 | 6-6 | 14.3 | 20.0 | -5.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | 50% | 1-1 | 1-1 | 13.5 | 19.5 | -6.0 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | 46.2% | 6-6-1 | 6-6-1 | 14.0 | 14.4 | -0.4 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | 46.2% | 2-11 | 6-6-1 | 11.8 | 10.9 | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | 46.2% | 6-7 | 6-7 | 13.8 | 11.7 | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | 46.2% | 5-8 | 7-6 | 13.2 | 12.1 | +1.1 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | 46.2% | 7-6 | 8-5 | 14.5 | 13.5 | +1.0 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | 46.2% | 5-8 | 10-1-2 | 19.2 | 11.1 | +8.1 | |
| 13 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% | 5-7-1 | 7-6 | 12.6 | 11.6 | +1.0 | |
| 13 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% | 6-6 | 8-5 | 18.5 | 13.2 | +5.4 | |
| 13 | 5-6 | 45.5% | 4-7 | 5-8 | 14.5 | 15.6 | -1.2 | |
| 13 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% | 3-9 | 7-5-1 | 11.3 | 10.5 | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% | 8-4 | 8-4-1 | 21.3 | 13.5 | +7.8 | |
| 12 | 5-6 | 45.5% | 3-8 | 3-7-2 | 8.8 | 16.5 | -7.7 | |
| 12 | 5-6 | 45.5% | 4-7 | 7-4-1 | 11.8 | 14.3 | -2.5 | |
| 12 | 5-6 | 45.5% | 4-7 | 4-7-1 | 9.8 | 12.5 | -2.8 | |
| 12 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% | 5-5 | 2-9-1 | 10.0 | 15.9 | -5.9 | |
| 16 | 6-8-1 | 42.9% | 7-8 | 9-6-1 | 17.9 | 9.6 | +8.3 | |
| 13 | 5-7-1 | 41.7% | 7-6 | 5-6-2 | 15.6 | 15.8 | -0.2 | |
| 13 | 5-7 | 41.7% | 7-5 | 6-5-2 | 12.8 | 10.2 | +2.7 | |
| 13 | 5-7 | 41.7% | 7-5 | 7-6 | 18.5 | 12.2 | +6.3 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | 41.7% | 5-7 | 6-5-1 | 13.3 | 9.6 | +3.8 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | 41.7% | 5-7 | 4-8 | 11.1 | 17.5 | -6.4 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | 41.7% | 2-10 | 6-5-1 | 11.2 | 10.2 | +1.0 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | 41.7% | 6-6 | 3-8-1 | 8.8 | 17.9 | -9.1 | |
| 14 | 5-8 | 38.5% | 7-6 | 9-4-1 | 16.6 | 13.5 | +3.1 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | 38.5% | 5-8 | 3-8-2 | 10.8 | 15.2 | -4.4 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | 38.5% | 7-6 | 6-6-1 | 16.8 | 16.5 | +0.3 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | 38.5% | 5-6-2 | 6-7 | 15.3 | 12.2 | +3.1 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | 38.5% | 8-5 | 7-4-2 | 19.0 | 12.9 | +6.1 | |
| 13 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% | 5-7 | 9-4 | 15.5 | 11.8 | +3.7 | |
| 12 | 4-7 | 36.4% | 3-7-1 | 1-11 | 9.7 | 20.1 | -10.4 | |
| 12 | 4-7 | 36.4% | 5-6 | 3-7-2 | 11.4 | 15.9 | -4.5 | |
| 13 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 5-6-1 | 6-3-4 | 15.5 | 9.4 | +6.1 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 7-5 | 4-8 | 14.8 | 15.9 | -1.2 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 7-5 | 3-8-1 | 10.4 | 24.9 | -14.5 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 6-6 | 3-8-1 | 11.8 | 17.3 | -5.5 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 4-7-1 | 6-6 | 11.4 | 14.8 | -3.4 | |
| 14 | 4-9-1 | 30.8% | 8-6 | 8-5-1 | 15.0 | 13.9 | +1.1 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | 30.8% | 5-7-1 | 5-6-2 | 13.2 | 10.8 | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 3-7-1 | 30% | 6-5 | 6-6-1 | 12.9 | 13.8 | -0.9 | |
| 12 | 3-7-2 | 30% | 5-7 | 6-6 | 10.2 | 13.5 | -3.3 | |
| 12 | 3-7 | 30% | 3-5-2 | 3-8-1 | 10.3 | 15.3 | -5.1 | |
| 12 | 3-8 | 27.3% | 5-4-2 | 2-10 | 10.5 | 16.3 | -5.8 | |
| 12 | 3-8 | 27.3% | 5-6 | 2-9-1 | 8.8 | 19.5 | -10.7 | |
| 12 | 3-8 | 27.3% | 6-5 | 0-10-2 | 9.9 | 18.8 | -8.8 | |
| 13 | 3-10 | 23.1% | 4-9 | 3-9-1 | 10.8 | 16.0 | -5.2 | |
| 12 | 2-7-2 | 22.2% | 7-4 | 0-12 | 6.6 | 27.2 | -20.6 | |
| 12 | 2-8-2 | 20% | 5-7 | 1-10-1 | 4.4 | 19.7 | -15.3 | |
| 11 | 2-8 | 20% | 6-4 | 3-8 | 14.0 | 21.3 | -7.3 | |
| 13 | 2-9-1 | 18.2% | 9-2-1 | 9-4 | 20.7 | 14.7 | +6.0 | |
| 12 | 2-9-1 | 18.2% | 8-4 | 1-11 | 9.3 | 19.7 | -10.3 | |
| 12 | 2-10 | 16.7% | 3-9 | 5-5-2 | 13.0 | 12.1 | +0.9 | |
| 12 | 2-10 | 16.7% | 5-7 | 3-9 | 8.6 | 18.5 | -9.9 | |
| 12 | 1-11 | 8.3% | 3-9 | 2-9-1 | 6.8 | 13.9 | -7.1 | |
| 14 | 1-12-1 | 7.7% | 4-10 | 6-7-1 | 12.0 | 10.4 | +1.6 |
How it works
Halftime scores come from ESPN quarter scores (Q1 + Q2) for every game since 2015.
1st-half lines. ESPN publishes no college 1st-half lines. Real ones come from The Odds API’s US books (DraftKings first) for games kicking off within about five days (the biggest matchups first, a capped number a day), pulled once, so a line shows the time it was fetched; every other game, and every past college game, is estimated from the full-game closing line (spread × 0.59, total × 0.52, rounded to the half point: the share of the margin and points college teams score before halftime). A real line shows its book; an estimated one is marked “est.”
Projection. The full-game model's margin and total, scaled the same way. The blend was chosen by the lowest walk-forward error.
Spread edge and Total edge. The model’s 1st-half line (total) minus the market’s, in points. A lean starts when the projection beats the 1H line by 2–6 pts (ATS) or 3+ pts (O/U). Shown for context: neither has a proven edge.
Picks and prices. For a game with a posted 1st-half line, tap Pick on its tile to save a 1H spread or total pick (graded on the halftime score; they show in My picks). The game card’s Market tab lists every book’s 1st-half price.
NCAAF first-half betting FAQ
What is a first-half spread in the NCAAF?
A first-half (1H) spread is a point spread graded on the score at halftime only. A team covers the 1st-half spread when its 1st-half margin plus its 1st-half line is positive; the 2nd half and overtime don't count.
How are NCAAF first-half lines set here?
ESPN publishes no college 1st-half lines. Real ones come from The Odds API’s US books (DraftKings first) for games kicking off within about five days (the biggest matchups first, a capped number a day), pulled once, so a line shows the time it was fetched; every other game, and every past college game, is estimated from the full-game closing line (spread × 0.59, total × 0.52, rounded to the half point: the share of the margin and points college teams score before halftime).
How is the 1st-half projection made?
The full-game power-rating model's margin and total are scaled to the first half. Every past week is predicted only from games played before it.
Do the 1st-half leans beat the market?
Not so far. Over 2016–26, 1st-half ATS leans went 1117-1157 (49.1%) and over/under leans 313-299 (51.1%), below or near the 52.4% needed to break even at -110 odds, so they are shown as context only.
How often does the model pick the team leading at halftime?
69.7% of 7,953 NCAAF games in the 2016–26 walk-forward backtest.