Texas vs Oklahoma: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2024)

Sat, Oct 12, 2024, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · Neutral site · Conference game

Weather at kickoff93°F16 mphgusts 27DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Texas

5-0 · Power #2

▲ winner

Final

Oklahoma

4-1 · Power #28

final

Closing spread

TEX -16.5

✓ TEX W

Total

48.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

TEX 33–17 OU

✓ TEX (87%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEX -14.5

CloseTEX -16.5

Total54.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTEX -14.5

2 → TEX

CloseTEX -16.5

2 pts toward Texas

Total

Open54.5

▼ 6

Close48.5

Down 6 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TEX -14.5 · closed TEX -16.5 · moved 2 toward TEXmodel TEX -14

model TEX -14

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 43% (63 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEX -14.5

CloseTEX -16.5

Total54.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like TEX as a 16.5-point neutral-site favorite against OU, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TEX won 34–3; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 1 similar games. 37 points stayed under 48.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 47%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 27 against an average line of 14; 41 points a game (usually 53.8). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	UGA vs FLA 2021 · Week 9 · loose · similar situation & rest	-14	34–7	W	U50.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
TEX WWWWL	4-1	80%	—	4-1
OU WLWLW	3-2	60%	—	1-1

Venue/role: TEX neutral, as favorite; OU neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEX UOOOU	3-2	60%	5-0
OU UUOUO	2-3	40%	4-1

Stayed under: it needed 22 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 53% of games with totals 44.5–52.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEX	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
OU	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

TEX 62–52 OU (5 tied) TEX leads · 119 games since 1902 · OU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 7 2023	Oklahoma 34 @ Texas 30	TEX -5	OU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEX+19.1 →+24.9▲ 5.8#2

OU+17.8 →+12.0▼ 5.8#20

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

TEX

Longer bar = better

Offense

◀ TEX better

#112

Defense

◀ TEX better

#18

+0.4 #51

Turnovers

OU better ▶

+1.6 #3

70 plays #31

Pace

◀ TEX faster

63 plays #101

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEX has the ball

Even matchup

	TEX off	OU def	Edge
Points / game	45.0 #7	16.0 #19	Even
Yards / play	7.30 #11	4.78 #25	Even
PPA / play	+0.40 #9	−0.05 #14	Even
Success rate	54% #7	35% #14	Even

When OU has the ball

Advantage: TEX defense

	OU off	TEX def	Edge
Points / game	28.6 #70	7.0 #2	TEX
Yards / play	4.71 #127	3.75 #2	TEX
PPA / play	−0.01 #119	−0.14 #4	TEX
Success rate	33% #133	34% #9	TEX

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

TEX scoring against the OU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEX scored	11.2 #9	13.8 #8	25.0 #9	10.2 #11	9.8 #18	20.0 #9
OU allowed	2.6 #19	6.4 #52	9.0 #33	3.8 #34	3.2 #16	7.0 #17

OU scoring against the TEX defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OU scored	8.2 #34	7.6 #82	15.8 #60	1.8 #128	11.0 #10	12.8 #79
TEX allowed	0.0 #1	3.8 #16	3.8 #3	0.6 #2	2.6 #8	3.2 #3

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.