NCAAF First-Half Team Trends 2024: 1H ATS, Over/Under, Fast Starters

NCAAF first-half team trends, 2024

Who covers the 1st half, who goes over or under at halftime, who starts fast and who finishes strong. Graded against 1st-half lines (real ESPN lines for the NFL from 2025, otherwise estimated).

Best 1st-half ATS

4+ games

Old Dominion9-2-181.8%

Minnesota10-376.9%

Marshall10-376.9%

Texas12-475%

TCU9-375%

UTSA9-375%

Georgia Tech8-372.7%

Arkansas8-3-172.7%

Worst 1st-half ATS

4+ games

Georgia1-12-17.7%

Florida State1-118.3%

Liberty2-1016.7%

Arizona2-1016.7%

Miami2-9-118.2%

Temple2-9-118.2%

Purdue2-8-220%

App State2-820%

1st-half overs

Over the 1H total

Miami9-2-181.8%

Oregon9-375%

Akron9-375%

Mississippi State7-3-170%

Syracuse9-469.2%

Texas State8-466.7%

Temple8-466.7%

Florida International8-466.7%

1st-half unders

Under the 1H total

San José State1-1191.7% U

Colorado State2-1184.6% U

Kentucky2-1083.3% U

Hawai'i2-981.8% U

Florida3-975% U

Louisiana Tech3-975% U

Florida State3-975% U

Wisconsin3-975% U

Fast starters

Ahead in the 1st half, better than in the 2nd

Fresno State1H +6.22H -5.0

Texas Tech1H +6.82H -4.0

Clemson1H +10.62H +0.6

Nebraska1H +6.92H -2.8

Texas1H +13.72H +4.0

Washington State1H +7.52H -0.8

Toledo1H +6.42H -1.3

Michigan State1H +0.32H -7.1

Active 1H cover streaks

Consecutive 1st halves covered or missed

UABCovered 6

UTSACovered 6

RutgersCovered 5

TCUCovered 5

SyracuseCovered 5

Ohio StateCovered 4

FloridaCovered 4

NebraskaCovered 4

1st-half ATS splits

Home / away, 1st-half favorite / underdog, last 5 games and current streak

Team	GP	1H ATS	Cover %	Home	Away	As fav	As dog	Last 5	1H O-U	Streak
North Dakota State	1	1-0	100%	—	1-0	—	1-0	1-0	1-0	W1
Missouri State	1	1-0	100%	—	1-0	—	1-0	1-0	0-1	W1
Old Dominion	12	9-2-1	81.8%	4-1-1	5-1	2-1-1	7-1	4-1	6-6	W1
Minnesota	13	10-3	76.9%	7-0	2-3	6-2	4-1	4-1	5-7-1	W3
Marshall	13	10-3	76.9%	4-2	6-1	5-2	5-1	4-1	4-9	W1
Texas	16	12-4	75%	5-3	4-0	12-3	0-1	4-1	7-9	L1
TCU	13	9-3	75%	4-2	4-1	6-3	3-0	5-0	4-8	W5
UTSA	13	9-3	75%	4-1	5-2	5-2	4-1	5-0	7-5	W6
Georgia Tech	13	8-3	72.7%	3-0	3-2	3-2	5-1	3-2	4-8	L1
Arkansas	13	8-3-1	72.7%	1-3-1	4-0	2-0-1	6-3	2-2-1	5-7	W2
Arizona State	14	10-4	71.4%	5-1	4-2	6-1	4-3	4-1	8-5-1	L1
Nebraska	13	7-3-1	70%	3-1-1	3-2	4-2-1	3-1	4-1	4-7	W4
South Carolina	13	9-4	69.2%	4-3	5-0	4-3	5-1	3-2	7-5-1	L1
Oregon	14	8-4	66.7%	4-2	3-1	7-3	1-1	2-3	9-3	L1
San José State	13	8-4	66.7%	5-2	3-1	3-2	5-2	4-1	1-11	L1
Navy	13	8-4	66.7%	4-1	3-1	6-1	2-3	2-2	7-6	L1
Florida	13	8-4	66.7%	4-3	2-1	2-1	6-3	4-1	3-9	W4
Indiana	13	8-4-1	66.7%	6-1-1	2-3	8-2-1	0-2	3-2	7-6	L1
UL Monroe	12	8-4	66.7%	5-1	3-3	2-0	6-4	2-3	6-6	W1
Akron	12	8-4	66.7%	4-1	4-3	2-0	6-4	4-1	9-3	W3
Rice	12	8-4	66.7%	5-1	3-3	2-2	6-2	4-1	6-6	W1
Ohio	14	9-5	64.3%	4-2	3-3	6-3	3-2	4-1	6-8	W3
Miami (OH)	14	9-5	64.3%	3-3	5-1	6-3	3-2	3-2	5-9	W1
Western Kentucky	14	9-5	64.3%	4-2	4-3	5-1	4-4	2-3	6-8	W1
BYU	13	7-4	63.6%	3-2	3-2	2-3	5-1	2-3	5-6	W2
Hawai'i	12	7-4	63.6%	6-1	1-3	2-2	5-2	4-1	2-9	W1
UAB	12	7-4	63.6%	4-2	3-2	2-1	5-3	5-0	5-6	W6
Massachusetts	12	7-4-1	63.6%	3-3	4-1-1	1-2	6-2-1	4-0-1	5-7	W3
Northwestern	12	7-4	63.6%	3-3	3-1	1-2	6-2	4-1	7-4	W1
San Diego State	12	7-4	63.6%	3-2	4-2	1-1	6-3	2-3	6-5	W2
Notre Dame	16	10-6	62.5%	5-2	2-1	9-4	1-2	2-3	9-7	L2
Army	14	8-5-1	61.5%	4-3	3-0-1	6-4-1	2-1	2-3	8-6	W1
Boise State	14	8-5	61.5%	5-1	3-3	7-4	1-1	2-3	4-9	L1
Rutgers	13	8-5	61.5%	4-3	3-2	3-3	5-2	5-0	6-5-2	W5
Toledo	13	8-5	61.5%	4-2	3-3	4-5	4-0	3-2	7-6	W1
Ole Miss	13	8-5	61.5%	3-4	4-1	7-5	1-0	3-2	4-8-1	W1
USC	13	8-5	61.5%	4-2	2-3	4-5	4-0	3-2	4-9	W3
Boston College	13	8-5	61.5%	4-3	4-1	2-3	6-2	3-2	7-6	L1
Arkansas State	13	6-4-1	60%	3-2	2-2-1	3-1	3-3-1	3-2	5-6	W1
Mississippi State	12	6-4-1	60%	2-3-1	4-1	1-1-1	5-3	2-2-1	7-3-1	W1
Fresno State	13	7-5	58.3%	4-2	2-3	5-3	2-2	3-2	6-6	W3
Texas Tech	13	7-5	58.3%	3-3	4-1	3-5	4-0	4-1	7-5	L1
Kansas	12	7-5	58.3%	4-2	3-3	2-4	5-1	4-1	7-4-1	L1
Wisconsin	12	7-5	58.3%	4-3	3-2	3-1	4-4	2-3	3-9	L2
Florida International	12	7-5	58.3%	4-2	3-3	1-4	6-1	3-2	8-4	W1
Auburn	12	7-5	58.3%	4-4	3-1	3-4	4-1	3-2	3-9	L1
Tulane	14	8-6	57.1%	4-2	4-3	7-4	1-2	2-3	8-6	L3
SMU	14	6-5-1	54.5%	3-2	3-2-1	5-4-1	1-1	2-3	6-6	L2
Washington State	13	6-5	54.5%	4-1	2-3	5-3	1-2	2-3	5-6	L3
North Texas	13	6-5-1	54.5%	3-2-1	2-3	4-2	2-3-1	3-1-1	7-5	W3
East Carolina	13	6-5-1	54.5%	4-1	1-4-1	4-3	2-2-1	2-2	6-7	W1
Wake Forest	12	6-5	54.5%	2-4	4-1	2-1	4-4	3-2	6-4-1	W2
Central Michigan	12	6-5-1	54.5%	4-2	2-3-1	2-2	4-3-1	3-2	7-5	W2
Michigan State	12	6-5-1	54.5%	4-3	2-2-1	3-1	3-4-1	1-3-1	6-6	L1
Cincinnati	12	6-5	54.5%	2-3	4-2	2-2	4-3	1-4	5-6	L2
Kennesaw State	12	6-5	54.5%	5-1	1-4	—	6-5	2-3	5-6	L1
Ball State	12	6-5	54.5%	3-2	3-3	1-1	5-4	3-2	7-4	L1
Clemson	14	7-6-1	53.8%	3-4	3-2	6-5	1-1-1	3-2	7-7	L1
UNLV	14	7-6	53.8%	5-1	2-4	6-4	1-2	2-3	7-5-1	L2
Buffalo	13	7-6	53.8%	4-2	2-4	5-1	2-5	4-1	5-8	W3
Coastal Carolina	13	7-6	53.8%	4-3	3-3	3-2	4-4	2-3	8-5	L1
Illinois	13	7-6	53.8%	5-2	1-3	3-2	4-4	2-3	7-6	W1
Oklahoma	13	7-6	53.8%	4-3	2-2	5-1	2-5	4-1	5-8	W1
Vanderbilt	13	7-6	53.8%	3-4	3-2	1-2	6-4	2-3	4-9	W1
Virginia Tech	13	7-6	53.8%	4-2	3-3	5-5	2-1	3-2	4-7-2	L1
Tennessee	13	7-6	53.8%	3-4	3-2	6-4	1-2	3-2	5-8	L1
Syracuse	13	7-6	53.8%	3-4	3-2	3-3	4-3	5-0	9-4	W5
Georgia Southern	13	7-6	53.8%	2-4	5-1	1-5	6-1	3-2	6-7	L1
Alabama	13	7-6	53.8%	4-3	3-2	6-6	1-0	2-3	6-7	L1
Baylor	13	7-6	53.8%	2-4	5-1	3-5	4-1	3-2	7-5-1	L1
Ohio State	16	8-8	50%	3-6	2-2	8-8	—	4-1	8-8	W4
Jacksonville State	14	7-7	50%	4-3	3-3	5-6	2-1	2-3	9-5	L1
Colorado	13	6-6	50%	3-3	3-2	4-5	2-1	2-3	7-5	L1
Western Michigan	13	6-6-1	50%	4-1	2-5	5-2	1-4-1	1-3-1	8-5	—
Iowa	13	6-6	50%	3-3	2-3	4-6	2-0	3-2	5-7	W1
Michigan	13	5-5-1	50%	3-2-1	1-3	2-1-1	3-4	3-2	6-5	W3
LSU	13	6-6	50%	3-3	2-2	4-4	2-2	3-2	5-7	W3
New Mexico	12	6-6	50%	2-3	4-3	2-3	4-3	1-4	7-5	L2
Florida Atlantic	12	6-6	50%	3-3	3-3	2-3	4-3	3-2	6-6	W1
Air Force	12	6-6	50%	2-4	4-2	1-3	5-3	4-1	5-7	L1
Houston	12	5-5	50%	3-2	2-3	1-0	4-5	1-4	4-6	L4
Utah State	12	5-5-1	50%	3-2	2-3-1	1-1-1	4-4	3-2	4-7	W1
Sacramento State	2	1-1	50%	—	1-1	—	1-1	1-1	1-1	L1
North Carolina	13	6-7	46.2%	3-4	3-2	4-6	2-1	2-3	6-6-1	L3
Colorado State	13	6-7	46.2%	3-4	3-2	5-3	1-4	2-3	2-11	L3
Northern Illinois	13	6-7	46.2%	2-4	4-2	3-6	3-1	1-4	6-7	L4
California	13	6-7	46.2%	2-5	3-2	2-5	4-2	2-3	5-8	W1
Kansas State	13	6-7	46.2%	3-3	3-3	6-6	0-1	2-3	7-6	L2
Memphis	13	6-7	46.2%	2-5	3-2	4-7	2-0	2-3	5-8	W2
Duke	13	5-6-1	45.5%	2-3-1	3-2	2-3	3-3-1	3-2	5-7-1	L2
South Alabama	13	5-6-1	45.5%	4-2	1-4	3-5-1	2-1	2-2-1	6-6	—
South Florida	13	5-6	45.5%	2-3	2-3	2-3	3-3	3-2	4-7	W1
Louisiana Tech	13	5-6-1	45.5%	2-3	3-2-1	2-4	3-2-1	2-2-1	3-9	L1
Texas State	13	5-6-1	45.5%	2-3-1	2-2	5-6-1	—	2-3	8-4	L3
UTEP	12	5-6	45.5%	3-2	2-4	2-1	3-5	2-3	3-8	L2
Oregon State	12	5-6	45.5%	3-3	2-3	3-4	2-2	1-4	4-7	L1
UCLA	12	5-6	45.5%	2-4	3-2	0-2	5-4	2-3	4-7	L3
Charlotte	12	4-5-1	44.4%	2-2	2-3-1	1-2	3-3-1	3-2	5-5	L1
Penn State	16	6-8-1	42.9%	3-4	1-3-1	6-6-1	0-2	4-1	7-8	W3
Pittsburgh	13	5-7-1	41.7%	5-1-1	0-5	4-3-1	1-4	1-4	7-6	L4
Sam Houston	13	5-7	41.7%	2-2	2-4	2-4	3-3	2-3	7-5	W2
James Madison	13	5-7	41.7%	4-2	1-4	4-7	1-0	2-3	7-5	L1
Utah	12	5-7	41.7%	3-3	2-4	3-5	2-2	2-3	5-7	W1
Stanford	12	5-7	41.7%	2-4	3-3	0-1	5-6	2-3	5-7	L1
Kentucky	12	5-7	41.7%	3-5	2-2	2-5	3-2	1-4	2-10	L3
New Mexico State	12	5-7	41.7%	3-3	2-4	1-1	4-6	3-2	6-6	W2
Louisiana	14	5-8	38.5%	2-4	3-3	3-6	2-2	1-4	7-6	L3
Nevada	13	5-8	38.5%	3-4	2-4	1-2	4-6	1-4	5-8	L2
West Virginia	13	5-8	38.5%	2-5	3-2	1-2	4-6	2-3	7-6	L2
UConn	13	5-8	38.5%	3-4	1-4	2-5	3-3	1-4	5-6-2	W1
Louisville	13	5-8	38.5%	2-4	2-4	3-6	2-2	4-1	8-5	W3
Bowling Green	13	4-7-1	36.4%	2-3-1	2-3	2-7-1	2-0	1-4	5-7	L3
Southern Miss	12	4-7	36.4%	2-3	2-4	0-1	4-6	3-2	3-7-1	W2
Georgia State	12	4-7	36.4%	1-5	3-2	0-5	4-2	2-3	5-6	L1
Texas A&M	13	4-8	33.3%	3-3	1-3	4-7	0-1	1-4	5-6-1	L3
UCF	12	4-8	33.3%	3-4	1-4	3-6	1-2	1-4	7-5	L3
Tulsa	12	4-8	33.3%	2-4	2-4	1-0	3-8	1-4	7-5	L2
Oklahoma State	12	4-8	33.3%	1-5	3-3	2-2	2-6	1-4	6-6	L4
Troy	12	4-8	33.3%	2-4	2-4	1-3	3-5	2-3	4-7-1	L2
Iowa State	14	4-9-1	30.8%	2-5	2-3	4-8	0-1-1	2-2-1	8-6	—
Missouri	13	4-9	30.8%	2-5	2-3	4-5	0-4	1-4	5-7-1	L2
Washington	13	3-7-1	30%	3-1-1	0-5	2-2-1	1-5	2-3	6-5	L2
Eastern Michigan	12	3-7-2	30%	2-3-1	1-4-1	0-4-1	3-3-1	1-4	5-7	L3
Virginia	12	3-7	30%	1-3	2-4	1-3	2-4	0-5	3-5-2	L5
Maryland	12	3-8	27.3%	2-5	1-3	2-3	1-5	1-4	5-4-2	L3
Middle Tennessee	12	3-8	27.3%	0-5	3-3	0-2	3-6	2-3	5-6	L3
Wyoming	12	3-8	27.3%	1-4	2-4	0-2	3-6	3-2	6-5	W2
NC State	13	3-10	23.1%	1-6	2-2	1-6	2-4	2-3	4-9	L1
Kent State	12	2-7-2	22.2%	1-4	1-3-2	0-1	2-6-2	1-4	7-4	L2
Purdue	12	2-8-2	20%	1-3-2	1-5	0-1-1	2-7-1	1-3-1	5-7	L2
App State	11	2-8	20%	1-3	1-5	0-3	2-5	1-4	6-4	L1
Miami	13	2-9-1	18.2%	0-5	2-4	2-9-1	—	0-4-1	9-2-1	—
Temple	12	2-9-1	18.2%	1-4-1	1-5	1-1	1-8-1	0-5	8-4	L5
Liberty	12	2-10	16.7%	1-5	1-4	2-9	0-1	2-3	3-9	L2
Arizona	12	2-10	16.7%	1-6	1-4	1-5	1-5	1-4	5-7	L2
Florida State	12	1-11	8.3%	0-7	1-3	0-5	1-6	1-4	3-9	L4
Georgia	14	1-12-1	7.7%	0-6	1-3	0-10-1	1-2	0-5	4-10	L7

Starts and finishes

1st half vs 2nd half: margins, leads that held or slipped, and halves that split from the full game

Team	GP	At half	1H margin	2H margin	1H share	Led, lost	Trailed, won	1H cover only	Game cover only
Fresno State	13	9-4	+6.2	-5.0	63%	4	1	2	1
North Dakota State	1	1-0	+3.0	-8.0	77%	1	0	0	0
Texas Tech	13	8-4-1	+6.8	-4.0	58%	2	1	1	0
Clemson	14	9-4-1	+10.6	+0.6	59%	0	1	3	2
Nebraska	13	8-3-2	+6.9	-2.8	62%	2	0	2	1
Texas	16	14-2	+13.7	+4.0	59%	1	0	5	1
Washington State	13	10-3	+7.5	-0.8	58%	2	0	1	1
Massachusetts	12	4-6-2	-2.5	-10.5	58%	3	0	1	0
Missouri State	1	0-0-1	0.0	-8.0	21%	0	0	1	0
UAB	12	6-5-1	-0.1	-8.0	60%	3	0	3	0
Toledo	13	9-4	+6.4	-1.3	53%	2	1	2	0
Michigan State	12	6-6	+0.3	-7.1	64%	1	0	3	1
UTSA	13	8-3-2	+5.2	-2.1	57%	3	0	3	1
Arizona State	14	9-3-2	+8.3	+2.1	57%	0	0	0	2
Boise State	14	10-1-3	+10.3	+4.4	57%	1	0	2	2
Tennessee	13	7-5-1	+12.6	+7.0	55%	0	3	1	1
Florida Atlantic	12	6-5-1	+0.6	-4.9	56%	3	0	3	1
Georgia Tech	13	7-5-1	+4.3	-1.0	51%	1	0	3	0
Army	14	12-2	+10.4	+5.1	55%	0	0	1	1
Kansas	12	5-5-2	+4.3	-0.7	60%	1	0	2	0
Old Dominion	12	7-4-1	+2.5	-2.5	53%	3	0	3	0
Sacramento State	2	1-1	-6.0	-11.0	50%	1	0	1	1
Akron	12	4-8	-3.3	-8.3	61%	0	0	2	0
Alabama	13	10-3	+10.6	+5.8	53%	1	0	1	1
Arkansas	13	7-3-3	+5.3	+0.6	51%	1	0	1	1
Utah	12	6-5-1	+3.8	-0.8	57%	1	0	1	1
TCU	13	9-4	+6.7	+2.2	56%	2	2	3	0
Auburn	12	5-4-3	+5.4	+1.0	49%	1	0	1	1
Ole Miss	13	10-2-1	+14.3	+9.9	59%	1	1	1	1
Memphis	13	10-1-2	+8.1	+3.8	54%	0	0	1	1
Marshall	13	9-3-1	+6.5	+2.3	50%	1	1	0	2
Virginia Tech	13	9-4	+4.7	+0.6	50%	3	0	2	1
Wisconsin	12	8-4	+1.8	-2.3	49%	3	0	3	0
Texas A&M	13	6-3-4	+6.1	+2.1	51%	0	1	2	1
LSU	13	7-3-3	+4.9	+1.2	59%	1	2	2	1
Texas State	13	8-4-1	+7.8	+4.2	58%	1	1	1	1
Kentucky	12	6-5-1	+1.0	-2.5	54%	2	0	0	2
Navy	13	8-5	+6.3	+2.8	53%	0	2	1	1
West Virginia	13	6-6-1	+0.3	-3.1	58%	0	0	0	1
SMU	14	11-3	+8.9	+5.6	55%	1	1	0	0
Western Kentucky	14	8-5-1	+1.8	-1.5	57%	2	1	3	1
Ball State	12	3-7-2	-5.8	-9.0	50%	1	0	2	3
Colorado State	13	6-6-1	+0.8	-2.2	48%	0	1	0	1
Oregon	14	11-3	+9.2	+6.2	61%	0	2	2	0
Cincinnati	12	6-4-2	+1.7	-1.1	59%	1	0	1	0
Western Michigan	13	5-7-1	+0.1	-2.5	55%	0	0	1	0
Oklahoma	13	8-5	+2.5	0.0	59%	3	1	2	1
Rice	12	5-7	-0.4	-2.8	55%	2	1	2	0
Sam Houston	13	6-5-2	+2.7	+0.6	54%	0	2	0	1
Rutgers	13	9-4	+2.8	+0.8	49%	2	0	1	0
Minnesota	13	9-3-1	+5.6	+3.6	55%	3	1	2	2
Ohio State	16	14-1-1	+12.4	+10.4	55%	0	0	0	2
Bowling Green	13	9-4	+3.7	+1.8	57%	2	0	0	1
Tulane	14	10-4	+8.1	+6.3	49%	1	0	0	1
Vanderbilt	13	7-5-1	+2.8	+1.1	49%	1	0	0	2
Louisiana Tech	13	7-5-1	+0.8	-0.9	54%	3	0	0	1
Southern Miss	12	1-11	-10.4	-12.1	63%	0	0	1	1
Wake Forest	12	6-6	-2.6	-4.3	55%	2	0	2	1
UNLV	14	9-5	+7.9	+6.2	54%	1	3	2	3
South Alabama	13	8-5	+5.4	+3.8	54%	2	1	2	1
Hawai'i	12	5-7	-1.1	-2.6	47%	1	1	1	0
Ohio	14	10-4	+6.3	+4.9	50%	0	1	2	2
Air Force	12	5-7	-1.5	-2.8	52%	1	1	2	1
Northwestern	12	4-7-1	-3.6	-4.9	48%	1	0	4	1
UCLA	12	4-7-1	-2.8	-4.1	53%	1	2	1	1
San José State	13	5-4-4	+1.1	-0.2	50%	1	1	4	1
Georgia State	12	3-7-2	-4.5	-5.5	48%	0	0	0	0
Notre Dame	16	11-3-2	+10.8	+9.9	50%	0	1	1	3
Boston College	13	6-6-1	+2.5	+1.8	52%	2	2	1	1
Oregon State	12	7-4-1	-2.5	-3.2	48%	2	0	2	1
USC	13	5-3-5	+3.2	+2.8	46%	2	1	2	2
Florida International	12	6-5-1	+0.4	+0.2	55%	2	0	0	1
Duke	13	7-6	+1.0	+0.8	48%	1	3	1	3
Penn State	16	9-6-1	+8.3	+8.3	54%	1	4	1	1
Georgia Southern	13	8-5	+0.2	+0.2	49%	1	1	1	2
San Diego State	12	3-9	-4.2	-4.1	50%	1	1	3	0
Miami (OH)	14	8-4-2	+2.6	+2.7	47%	0	0	2	0
Buffalo	13	7-6	+1.2	+1.3	44%	0	2	0	1
Louisville	13	7-4-2	+6.1	+6.3	52%	1	1	0	2
James Madison	13	7-6	+6.3	+6.5	55%	1	3	1	2
Charlotte	12	2-9-1	-5.9	-5.5	42%	0	3	1	3
Louisiana	14	9-4-1	+3.1	+3.6	54%	0	0	0	2
Michigan	13	7-5-1	+0.8	+1.3	53%	0	0	1	1
California	13	7-6	+1.1	+1.7	52%	2	1	2	2
Central Michigan	12	3-9	-3.9	-3.2	56%	0	1	1	1
Arkansas State	13	6-6-1	-3.5	-2.8	46%	0	1	1	0
Illinois	13	8-4-1	+2.9	+3.7	48%	0	2	1	3
Houston	12	2-9-1	-4.9	-4.0	60%	0	1	1	1
Indiana	13	11-2	+12.4	+13.3	50%	0	0	1	1
Kennesaw State	12	0-9-3	-7.9	-6.8	47%	0	1	2	1
Washington	13	6-6-1	-0.9	+0.5	55%	0	0	0	1
Florida	13	8-3-2	+1.8	+3.4	44%	2	0	0	0
Florida State	12	2-9-1	-7.1	-5.5	44%	0	0	1	3
South Carolina	13	8-3-2	+5.3	+7.1	49%	1	0	1	1
New Mexico	12	4-7-1	-3.2	-1.3	52%	1	2	1	2
Northern Illinois	13	6-7	+2.1	+3.9	56%	1	3	1	2
BYU	13	8-4-1	+4.8	+6.7	51%	0	3	0	0
Stanford	12	4-8	-6.4	-4.4	49%	2	1	1	1
East Carolina	13	7-5-1	+1.3	+3.4	45%	3	3	2	3
UL Monroe	12	5-5-2	-4.9	-2.8	44%	1	1	2	0
Coastal Carolina	13	6-7	-2.6	-0.3	49%	0	0	2	0
Syracuse	13	7-5-1	+1.3	+3.6	49%	0	3	3	2
UTEP	12	3-7-2	-7.7	-5.2	45%	1	1	1	1
Oklahoma State	12	3-8-1	-5.5	-2.9	43%	1	1	1	0
UConn	13	6-7	+3.1	+5.8	48%	0	3	0	3
Nevada	13	3-8-2	-4.4	-1.3	47%	2	2	1	2
Liberty	12	5-5-2	+0.9	+4.3	45%	0	3	0	1
New Mexico State	12	3-8-1	-9.1	-5.6	41%	2	1	2	2
North Carolina	13	6-6-1	-0.4	+3.2	45%	1	1	4	1
Missouri	13	5-6-2	+2.3	+6.2	45%	0	3	0	4
Virginia	12	3-8-1	-5.1	-1.0	45%	1	3	0	3
Troy	12	6-6	-3.4	+1.0	44%	3	1	1	3
Eastern Michigan	12	6-6	-3.3	+1.3	39%	1	0	0	2
South Florida	13	5-8	-1.2	+3.5	45%	0	2	1	1
Maryland	12	2-10	-5.8	-1.0	44%	0	2	1	1
Temple	12	1-11	-10.3	-5.5	48%	0	2	0	3
Pittsburgh	13	5-6-2	-0.2	+4.8	47%	1	1	2	2
Middle Tennessee	12	2-9-1	-10.7	-5.5	49%	0	0	1	0
Kansas State	13	8-5	+1.0	+6.5	47%	1	2	2	0
Utah State	12	6-6	-5.8	-0.1	45%	3	1	1	2
Baylor	13	7-5-1	+1.0	+6.7	52%	1	1	2	4
Jacksonville State	14	8-4-2	+2.1	+7.8	50%	0	0	2	3
UCF	12	4-8	-1.2	+4.7	48%	1	1	0	1
Iowa State	14	8-5-1	+1.1	+7.0	48%	1	3	1	4
Purdue	12	1-10-1	-15.3	-8.9	28%	0	0	2	2
Miami	13	9-4	+6.0	+12.6	47%	2	3	0	5
North Texas	13	5-8	-3.7	+3.1	50%	1	2	2	1
Iowa	13	7-6	+1.4	+8.5	35%	2	3	3	2
Georgia	14	6-7-1	+1.6	+9.3	38%	0	4	0	2
Colorado	13	6-7	+0.8	+9.0	47%	0	3	0	3
App State	11	3-8	-7.3	+1.0	53%	0	2	0	2
Wyoming	12	0-10-2	-8.8	-0.2	51%	0	2	0	2
NC State	13	3-9-1	-5.2	+3.5	38%	0	2	0	1
Mississippi State	12	2-10	-8.8	+0.5	49%	0	0	0	0
Arizona	12	3-9	-9.9	-0.1	39%	0	1	0	0
Kent State	12	0-12	-20.6	-9.6	47%	0	0	1	1
Tulsa	12	3-8-1	-14.5	-3.0	42%	1	1	1	1

1st-half trend signals

Backtest 2016–26: each game graded with the teams’ records from earlier that season · break-even 52.4%

Signal	Rule	Record	Verdict
Hot 1st-half cover team	Covered 70%+ of 1st halves this season (5+ decisions)	645-736 (46.7%)	No edge
Fade a cold 1st-half team	Opponent covered 30% or less of 1st halves this season (5+ decisions)	628-656 (48.9%)	No edge
1st-half over teams	Both teams went over in 65%+ of their 1st halves (4+ each)	74-95 (43.8%)	No edge
1st-half under teams	Both teams went under in 65%+ of their 1st halves (4+ each)	169-135 (55.6%)	Not proven yet
Fast starter edge	Average 1st-half margins point past the 1st-half line	1311-1284 (50.5%)	No edge

These trends appear on the weekly Halftime table when a game qualifies. None has a proven edge yet, so they describe the data rather than pick bets.

NCAAF first-half team trends · 2024