Duke @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2024)

Sat, Oct 5, 2024, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Weather at kickoff74°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Duke

5-0 · Power #60

final

Final

Georgia Tech

3-2 · Power #36

▲ winner

Closing spread

—

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 38 pts

Model before kickoff

DUKE 23–29 GT

✓ GT (67%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DUKE LWLWW	3-2	60%	2-0	—
GT W–LWL	2-2	50%	1-0	—

Venue/role: DUKE away; GT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DUKE UOOOU	3-2	60%	5-0
GT U–UOU	1-3	25%	3-2

Stayed under: it needed 28 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 55% of games with totals 47.5–55.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DUKE	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
GT	6-4 60%	6-3 67%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

DUKE 35–57 GT (1 tied) GT leads · 93 games since 1933 · GT has won the last 6 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DUKE+4.0 →+2.6▼ 1.4#60

GT+2.9 →+5.5▲ 2.6#42

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

DUKE

Longer bar = better

#92

Offense

GT better ▶

#22

#10

Defense

◀ DUKE better

#75

+0.6 #43

Turnovers

◀ DUKE better

0.0 #72

70 plays #37

Pace

◀ DUKE faster

63 plays #103

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DUKE has the ball

Even matchup

	DUKE off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	28.8 #70	20.4 #42	GT
Yards / play	5.25 #105	5.47 #69	GT
PPA / play	+0.08 #94	+0.14 #91	Even
Success rate	40% #100	43% #97	Even

When GT has the ball

Even matchup

	GT off	DUKE def	Edge
Points / game	33.0 #41	16.2 #22	Even
Yards / play	6.97 #22	4.07 #6	Even
PPA / play	+0.35 #12	−0.12 #5	Even
Success rate	51% #11	33% #5	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

DUKE scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DUKE scored	9.0 #22	4.8 #118	13.8 #75	4.4 #105	8.0 #43	12.4 #81
GT allowed	4.4 #54	6.6 #55	11.0 #54	3.8 #33	5.6 #60	9.4 #39

GT scoring against the DUKE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	9.0 #22	9.8 #49	18.8 #33	6.2 #69	8.0 #43	14.2 #58
DUKE allowed	4.6 #58	4.2 #23	8.8 #35	4.8 #53	1.2 #1	6.0 #13

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.