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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 8 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 8: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
59 finalFavorites 29-30 ATS17 upsetsO/U 30-29Model Favorite 42-17Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5959 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS29-3049% covered
Upsets17outright
Over / Under30-2951% over
Model Favorite42-1771% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up18 all 18 final
Over10 56%Under8 44%
Moved down36 all 36 final
Over18 50%Under18 50%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
29–2257%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
17–1161%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
4–450%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
2–167%
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Oct 15

3
Final · Conf
Troy
1-5 · #97
9
South Alabama
2-4 · #66
25
Spread
USA -8.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼5
▼ Under 34
Projected
23–32
✓ USA won
Trend: TROY ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: USA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kennesaw State
0-5 · #133
5
Middle Tennessee
1-5 · #129
14
Spread
MTSU -10.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 19
Projected
20–30
✓ MTSU won
Trend: MTSU ATS ✗ Model: KENN by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Louisiana Tech
2-3 · #112
30
New Mexico State
1-5 · #130
33
Spread
LT -12.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 63 · OT
Projected
29–17
✗ LT lost
Model: NMSU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Wednesday, Oct 16

2
Final · Conf
Western Kentucky
4-2 · #103
31
Sam Houston
5-1 · #93
14
Spread
SHSU -1.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▼ Under 45
Projected
25–27
✗ SHSU lost
Model: SHSU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida International
2-4 · #121
21
UTEP
0-6 · #128
30
Spread
FIU -6.5
✓ UTEP W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼3
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
25–20
✗ FIU lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTEP by 5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Oct 17

2
Final · Conf
Georgia State
2-3 · #110
20
Marshall
3-3 · #69
35
Spread
MRSH -8.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
21–29
✓ MRSH won
Trend: MRSH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MRSH by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Boston College
4-2 · #58
21
Virginia Tech
3-3 · #38
42
Spread
VT -8.5
✓ VT W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼4
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
20–28
✓ VT won
Trend: VT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: VT by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Oct 18

4
Final · Conf
Florida State
1-5 · #85
16
Duke
5-1 · #60
23
Spread
DUKE -2.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▼ Under 39
Projected
20–22
✓ DUKE won
Model: DUKE by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oregon
6-0 · #5
35
Purdue
1-5 · #117
0
Spread
ORE -29.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲2
▼ Under 35
Projected
44–15
✓ ORE won
Trend: PUR ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: PUR by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
3-3 · #87
35
BYU
6-0 · #22
38
Spread
BYU -7.5
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼3
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
23–32
✓ BYU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: BYU by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Fresno State
3-3 · #84
24
Nevada
3-4 · #102
21
Spread
FRES -2.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼2
▼ Under 45
Projected
26–24
✓ FRES won
Trend: NEV ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: NEV by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Saturday, Oct 19

48
Final · Conf
Miami
6-0 · #9
52
Louisville
4-2 · #14
45
Spread
MIA -4.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼1
▲ Over 97 · Q3
Projected
32–27
✓ MIA won
Trend: LOU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: LOU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Virginia
4-2 · #77
31
Clemson
5-1 · #17
48
Spread
CLEM -20.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 79 · Q4
Projected
17–37
✓ CLEM won
Model: UVA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Nebraska
5-1 · #41
7
Indiana
6-0 · #10
56
Spread
IU -6.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼4
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
20–27
✓ IU won
Trend: IU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: IU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Auburn
2-4 · #33
17
Missouri
5-1 · #23
21
Spread
MIZ -4.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼2
▼ Under 38
Projected
23–28
✓ MIZ won
Trend: AUB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIZ by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
East Carolina
3-3 · #92
28
Army
6-0 · #52
45
Spread
ARMY -18.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲3
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
14–33
✓ ARMY won
Trend: ARMY ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: ECU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wisconsin
4-2 · #47
23
Northwestern
3-3 · #83
3
Spread
WIS -9.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲2
▼ Under 26
Projected
25–16
✓ WIS won
Trend: WIS ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: NU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UCLA
1-5 · #48
35
Rutgers
4-2 · #51
32
Spread
RUTG -4.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲2
▲ Over 67 · Q3
Projected
20–25
✗ RUTG lost
Trend: UCLA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: RUTG by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Wake Forest
2-4 · #89
23
UConn
4-2 · #80
20
Spread
WAKE -2.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▼ Under 43
Projected
30–29
✓ WAKE won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: CONN by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Arizona State
5-1 · #18
14
Cincinnati
4-2 · #45
24
Spread
CIN -4.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▼ Under 38
Projected
26–30
✓ CIN won
Trend: CIN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: ASU by 0 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Louisiana
5-1 · #71
34
Coastal Carolina
4-2 · #101
24
Spread
UL -6.5
✓ UL W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
30–25
✓ UL won
Trend: UL ATS ✓ Model: CCU by 6.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
South Carolina
3-3 · #13
35
Oklahoma
4-2 · #28
9
Spread
SC -2.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼1
▲ Over 44 · Q3
Projected
22–21
✓ SC won
Trend: SC ATS ✓ Model: OU by 7 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
3-3 · #123
34
Eastern Michigan
4-2 · #120
38
Spread
EMU -3.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
25–28
✓ EMU won
Trend: EMU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: EMU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Tulsa
2-4 · #131
10
Temple
1-5 · #127
20
Spread
TEM -2.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▼ Under 30
Projected
26–28
✓ TEM won
Model: TLSA by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Alabama
5-1 · #7
17
Tennessee
5-1 · #11
24
Spread
ALA -3.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲2
▼ Under 41
Projected
30–27
✗ ALA lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: TENN by 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Neutral
Notre Dame
5-1 · #4
31
Georgia Tech
5-2 · #36
13
Spread
ND -14.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▼ Under 44
Projected
34–20
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✓ Model: GT by 2 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Michigan
4-2 · #27
7
Illinois
5-1 · #44
21
Spread
MICH -5.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▼ Under 28
Projected
25–20
✗ MICH lost
Trend: ILL ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ILL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Charlotte
3-3 · #119
17
Navy
5-0 · #61
51
Spread
NAVY -16.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲1
▲ Over 68 · Q3
Projected
19–34
✓ NAVY won
Trend: CLT ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: CLT by 4 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
NC State
3-4 · #67
24
California
3-3 · #55
23
Spread
CAL -9.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
18–29
✗ CAL lost
Trend: CAL ATS ✗ Model: CAL by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Houston
2-4 · #76
14
Kansas
1-5 · #35
42
Spread
KU -5.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
19–25
✓ KU won
Trend: HOU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: KU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Hawai'i
2-4 · #109
10
Washington State
5-1 · #68
42
Spread
WSU -18.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▼ Under 52
Projected
18–37
✓ WSU won
Model: WSU by 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Texas State
4-2 · #54
14
Old Dominion
2-4 · #78
24
Spread
TXST -10.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼2
▼ Under 38
Projected
33–23
✗ TXST lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: ODU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ohio
4-2 · #65
20
Miami (OH)
2-4 · #73
30
Spread
M-OH -3.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
20–24
✓ M-OH won
Model: M-OH by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kent State
0-6 · #134
6
Bowling Green
2-4 · #75
27
Spread
BGSU -23.5
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼3
▼ Under 33
Projected
16–41
✓ BGSU won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: BGSU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Western Michigan
3-3 · #107
48
Buffalo
4-2 · #105
41
Spread
WMU -1.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 89 · Q3
Projected
26–25
✓ WMU won
Trend: BUFF ATS ✗ Model: BUFF by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Toledo
4-2 · #88
13
Northern Illinois
4-2 · #74
6
Spread
NIU -3.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼3
▼ Under 19
Projected
21–25
✗ NIU lost
Trend: NIU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: NIU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UAB
1-5 · #116
25
South Florida
2-4 · #91
35
Spread
USF -14.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
21–35
✓ USF won
Trend: USF ATS ✗ Model: UAB by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida Atlantic
2-4 · #118
24
UTSA
2-4 · #82
38
Spread
UTSA -4.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼4
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
23–28
✓ UTSA won
Trend: FAU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTSA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Rice
2-4 · #104
10
Tulane
4-2 · #40
24
Spread
TULN -22.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▼ Under 34
Projected
13–35
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✗ Model: RICE by 0 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
USC
3-3 · #16
28
Maryland
3-3 · #62
29
Spread
USC -6.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
31–25
✗ USC lost
Trend: USC ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: USC by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Colorado
4-2 · #25
34
Arizona
3-3 · #79
7
Spread
ARIZ -2.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▼ Under 41
Projected
27–30
✗ ARIZ lost
Trend: COLO ATS ✓ Model: ARIZ by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Baylor
2-4 · #39
59
Texas Tech
5-1 · #46
35
Spread
TTU -4.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▲ Over 94 · Q3
Projected
23–29
✗ TTU lost
Trend: BAY ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TTU by 6.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico
2-4 · #111
50
Utah State
1-5 · #106
45
Spread
UNM -0.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
77.5
▲ Over 95 · Q4
Projected
38–38
✓ UNM won
Trend: USU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: USU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wyoming
1-5 · #114
14
San José State
4-2 · #86
24
Spread
SJSU -11.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲3
▼ Under 38
Projected
20–31
✓ SJSU won
Trend: Over ✗Trend: SJSU ATS ✗ Model: SJSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
James Madison
5-1 · #59
14
Georgia Southern
4-2 · #90
28
Spread
JMU -8.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▼ Under 42
Projected
33–23
✗ JMU lost
Trend: GASO ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: JMU by 4 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas A&M
5-1 · #19
34
Mississippi State
1-5 · #72
24
Spread
TA&M -21.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
38–17
✓ TA&M won
Trend: TA&M ATS ✗ Model: MSST by 7 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
LSU
5-1 · #12
34
Arkansas
4-2 · #32
10
Spread
LSU -2.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▼ Under 44
Projected
32–29
✓ LSU won
Trend: ARK ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: LSU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ball State
2-4 · #126
14
Vanderbilt
4-2 · #53
24
Spread
VAN -27.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▼ Under 38
Projected
15–43
✓ VAN won
Trend: VAN ATS ✗ Model: VAN by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arkansas State
3-3 · #113
44
Southern Miss
1-5 · #132
28
Spread
ARST -7
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲3
▲ Over 72 · Q3
Projected
31–24
✓ ARST won
Model: USM by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
UCF
3-3 · #37
35
Iowa State
6-0 · #24
38
Spread
ISU -13.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲2
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
18–31
✓ ISU won
Trend: ISU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: UCF by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kansas State
5-1 · #20
45
West Virginia
3-3 · #63
18
Spread
KSU -2.5
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
30–27
✓ KSU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: KSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Iowa
4-2 · #30
20
Michigan State
3-3 · #70
32
Spread
IOWA -6.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
23–16
✗ IOWA lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: IOWA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Texas
5-1 · #94
44
Memphis
5-1 · #56
52
Spread
MEM -10.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
67.5 ▲1
▲ Over 96 · Q4
Projected
28–38
✓ MEM won
Model: MEM by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kentucky
3-3 · #50
20
Florida
3-3 · #21
48
Spread
UK -2.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲1
▲ Over 68 · Q3
Projected
22–21
✗ UK lost
Trend: UK ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: FLA by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia
5-1 · #8
30
Texas
6-0 · #2
15
Spread
TEX -4.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▼ Under 45
Projected
24–29
✗ TEX lost
Trend: TEX ATS ✗ Model: TEX by 4 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
SMU
5-1 · #15
40
Stanford
2-4 · #96
10
Spread
SMU -16.5
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼3
▼ Under 50
Projected
35–19
✓ SMU won
Trend: SMU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: STAN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Colorado State
3-3 · #100
21
Air Force
1-5 · #108
13
Spread
CSU -5.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼3
▼ Under 34
Projected
24–18
✓ CSU won
Trend: CSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: CSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
5-1 · #42
33
Oregon State
4-2 · #98
25
Spread
UNLV -6.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 58
Projected
32–26
✓ UNLV won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: ORST by 1 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
TCU
3-3 · #34
13
Utah
4-2 · #49
7
Spread
UTAH -5.5
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
23–29
✗ UTAH lost
Trend: UTAH ATS ✗ Model: UTAH by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total