Rice @ Tulane: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2024)

Sat, Oct 19, 2024, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Tulane · Conference game

Weather at kickoff75°F13 mphgusts 25DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Rice

2-4 · Power #104

final

Final

Tulane

4-2 · Power #40

▲ winner

Closing spread

TULN -22.5

✓ RICE W

Total

52.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

RICE 13–35 TULN

✓ TULN (95%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTULN -23

CloseTULN -22.5

Total53.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTULN -23

0.5 → RICE

CloseTULN -22.5

0.5 pts toward Rice

Total

Open53.5

▼ 1

Close52.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TULN -23 · closed TULN -22.5 · moved 0.5 toward RICEmodel TULN -22.5 matches the line

model TULN -22.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 20.5–24.5 since 2023: won 95%, covered 46% (77 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTULN -23

CloseTULN -22.5

Total53.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 22.5-point home favorite against RICE, the favorite won 10, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: TULN won 24–10; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 34 points stayed under 52.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 91%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 28.1 against an average line of 22.9; 49.9 points a game (usually 54.5). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SMU vs TLSA 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-20.5	69–10	W	O55
Very close	FSU vs VT 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & situation	-24	39–17	L	O52.5
Close	MICH vs NU 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & season form	-23.5	33–7	W	U51
Close	TOL vs WMU 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar total & spread	-21.5	49–31	L	O52.5
Close	ND vs WAKE 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & spread	-23.5	45–7	W	O47.5
Close	APP vs GASO 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar total & spread	-24.5	27–3	L	U55
Close	PSU vs NU 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & season form	-25.5	17–7	L	U50
Close	ISU vs ARST 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-20.5	52–7	W	O52
Close	APP vs USA 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & situation	-21.5	31–7	W	U51.75
Close	UTAH vs COLO 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar total & spread	-24	28–13	L	U52.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RICE WLLLW	2-4	33%	0-2	1-2
TULN WLWWW	5-1	83%	3-0	4-0

Venue/role: RICE away, as underdog; TULN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RICE OUOUO	3-3	50%	2-4
TULN OOOUO	4-2	67%	4-2

Stayed under: it needed 33 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 53% of games with totals 48.5–56.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RICE	4-6 40%	3-6-1 33%	4-6 40%
TULN	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

RICE 0–1 TULN TULN leads · 1 game since 2023 · TULN has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 28 2023	Tulane 30 @ Rice 28	TULN -10	RICE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RICE−5.5 →−10.3▼ 4.8#107

TULN+1.3 →+7.7▲ 6.4#31

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

RICE

Longer bar = better

TULN

#98

Offense

TULN better ▶

#29

#50

Defense

Even

#39

−0.7 #111

Turnovers

TULN better ▶

+1.0 #21

61 plays #121

Pace

TULN faster ▶

66 plays #77

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RICE has the ball

Advantage: TULN defense

	RICE off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	25.5 #94	21.8 #51	TULN
Yards / play	5.79 #79	5.11 #45	TULN
PPA / play	+0.09 #90	0.00 #21	TULN
Success rate	34% #129	38% #39	TULN

When TULN has the ball

Advantage: TULN offense

	TULN off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	42.5 #8	26.5 #87	TULN
Yards / play	6.65 #27	4.94 #25	Even
PPA / play	+0.30 #16	+0.10 #75	TULN
Success rate	44% #64	35% #13	RICE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

RICE scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	2.3 #127	8.3 #70	10.7 #107	7.5 #42	7.3 #63	14.8 #50
TULN allowed	3.8 #41	5.7 #43	9.5 #33	4.8 #53	7.5 #97	12.3 #71

TULN scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	8.0 #31	14.0 #5	22.0 #16	10.3 #10	10.2 #14	20.5 #6
RICE allowed	6.3 #90	7.3 #71	13.7 #83	7.0 #98	5.8 #58	12.8 #78

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.