Tulsa @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2024)

Sat, Oct 19, 2024, 2:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Temple · Conference game

Weather at kickoff70°F1 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

Tulsa

2-4 · Power #131

final

Final

Temple

1-5 · Power #127

▲ winner

Closing spread

TEM -2.5

✓ TEM W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 30 pts

Model before kickoff

TLSA 26–28 TEM

✓ TEM (57%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEM -1.5

CloseTEM -2.5

Total52.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTEM -1.5

1 → TEM

CloseTEM -2.5

1 pt toward Temple

Total

Open52.5

▼ 1

Close51.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TEM -1.5 · closed TEM -2.5 · moved 1 toward TEMmodel TEM -2

model TEM -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 58%, covered 49% (156 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 48% (64 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEM -1.5

CloseTEM -2.5

Total52.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TEM as a 2.5-point home favorite against TLSA, the favorite won 4, covered 3, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: TEM won 20–10; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 30 points stayed under 51.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.6 against an average line of 2.8; 52 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 3 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WMU vs BALL 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & spread	-1.5	42–24	W	O50.5
Very close	MASS vs ARST 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-1.5	28–52	L	O55
Very close	LT vs MTSU 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & total	-5	48–21	W	O47.5
Close	AKR vs BUFF 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	10–13	L	U55.5
Close	BGSU vs WMU 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & spread	-5	13–9	L	U48
Close	TXST vs GASO 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar total & situation	-2	30–38	L	O52
Close	NEV vs HAW 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar total & season form	-3.5	14–27	L	U50
Close	UNM vs UNLV 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & situation	-1.5	17–31	L	O45
Close	LT vs UTEP 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar total & situation	-1.75	41–31	W	O52.25
Close	NEV vs CSU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	14–17	L	U45

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TLSA WLWLL	2-4	33%	2-1	2-3
TEM LWWLW	3-3	50%	2-1	—

Venue/role: TLSA away, as underdog; TEM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TLSA UUUOO	3-3	50%	2-4
TEM OUOOO	4-2	67%	1-5

Stayed under: it needed 25 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 55% of games with totals 47.5–55.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TLSA	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
TEM	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

TLSA 1–0 TEM TLSA leads · 1 game since 2023 · TLSA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 28 2023	Temple 26 @ Tulsa 48	TLSA -3	TLSA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TLSA−9.9 →−16.8▼ 6.9#124

TEM−13.8 →−17.8▼ 4.0#127

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

TLSA

Longer bar = better

TEM

#102

Offense

◀ TLSA better

#128

#117

Defense

Even

#109

0.0 #74

Turnovers

◀ TLSA better

−1.8 #135

72 plays #20

Pace

◀ TLSA faster

63 plays #107

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TLSA has the ball

Even matchup

	TLSA off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	24.3 #99	36.2 #125	TLSA
Yards / play	5.47 #98	5.83 #93	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #96	+0.18 #108	Even
Success rate	38% #115	44% #111	Even

When TEM has the ball

Even matchup

	TEM off	TLSA def	Edge
Points / game	18.8 #124	37.0 #127	Even
Yards / play	4.69 #129	6.77 #128	Even
PPA / play	−0.06 #130	+0.31 #132	Even
Success rate	34% #130	42% #79	TLSA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

TLSA scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TLSA scored	5.2 #84	7.8 #84	13.0 #89	3.5 #116	7.3 #63	10.8 #102
TEM allowed	8.3 #122	12.0 #127	20.3 #128	7.7 #113	8.2 #105	15.8 #118

TEM scoring against the TLSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	0.5 #134	5.7 #113	6.2 #133	4.8 #94	7.8 #50	12.7 #78
TLSA allowed	5.8 #81	11.0 #120	16.8 #109	12.2 #134	8.0 #103	20.2 #132

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.