Temple @ East Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2024)

Sat, Oct 26, 2024, 2:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at East Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff77°F5 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Temple

2-5 · Power #127

final

Final

East Carolina

3-4 · Power #92

▲ winner

Closing spread

ECU -7.5

✓ ECU W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 90 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 20–28 ECU

✓ ECU (72%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenECU -7

CloseECU -7.5

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenECU -7

0.5 → ECU

CloseECU -7.5

0.5 pts toward East Carolina

Total

Open48.5

no move

Close48.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ECU -7 · closed ECU -7.5 · moved 0.5 toward ECUmodel ECU -10

model ECU -10

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 70%, covered 54% (92 games)ⓘ

Moved off 7Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenECU -7

CloseECU -7.5

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ECU as a 7.5-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 5, covered 2, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: ECU won 56–34; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 90 points went over 48.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.7 against an average line of 7.8; 46.5 points a game (usually 53.7). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LT vs SHSU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-8.5	27–42	L	O49.25
Very close	CMU vs BGSU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & total	-6	18–34	L	O50.5
Very close	CMU vs WMU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-10	10–12	L	U48.75
Very close	BALL vs CONN 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & total	-9.5	25–21	L	U47.5
Very close	CMU vs EMU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	26–23	L	O47.5
Very close	MTSU vs UTEP 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & spread	-8	34–30	L	O48.5
Very close	M-OH vs WMU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	10–16	L	U44
Very close	NIU vs BALL 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-9.5	17–20	L	U43
Very close	UTEP vs ODU 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	28–21	W	O48.5
Very close	NMSU vs FIU 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & spread	-6.5	34–17	W	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM WWLWW	4-3	57%	1-2	3-3
ECU LLWLW	4-3	57%	2-1	2-2

Venue/role: TEM away, as underdog; ECU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM UOOOU	4-3	57%	2-5
ECU UOUOO	3-4	43%	3-4

Went over in Q3. Of 279 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEM	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
ECU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM−13.8 →−16.4▼ 2.6#123

ECU−7.2 →−9.6▼ 2.4#103

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

TEM

Longer bar = better

ECU

#126

Offense

ECU better ▶

#97

#95

Defense

ECU better ▶

#61

−1.4 #132

Turnovers

Even

−1.0 #124

64 plays #90

Pace

ECU faster ▶

69 plays #49

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: ECU defense

	TEM off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #122	27.6 #95	ECU
Yards / play	4.79 #127	5.18 #49	ECU
PPA / play	−0.02 #123	+0.08 #63	ECU
Success rate	35% #130	38% #38	ECU

When ECU has the ball

Even matchup

	ECU off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	26.7 #80	32.4 #117	ECU
Yards / play	5.58 #87	5.62 #84	Even
PPA / play	+0.01 #118	+0.13 #90	TEM
Success rate	40% #102	42% #90	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the ECU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	0.9 #134	6.9 #96	7.7 #132	4.1 #105	7.1 #66	11.3 #97
ECU allowed	4.9 #63	9.3 #98	14.1 #88	6.4 #85	7.0 #82	13.4 #91

ECU scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ECU scored	8.0 #28	4.4 #124	12.4 #93	7.6 #42	6.7 #77	14.3 #55
TEM allowed	7.1 #109	10.3 #115	17.4 #115	8.0 #116	7.0 #82	15.0 #112

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.