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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 9 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 9: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
56 finalFavorites 31-25 ATS11 upsetsO/U 30-26Model Favorite 45-11Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5656 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS31-2555% covered
Upsets11outright
Over / Under30-2654% over
Model Favorite45-1180% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up18 all 18 final
Over10 56%Under8 44%
Moved down30 all 30 final
Over18 60%Under12 40%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
27–2156%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
13–1350%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
4–544%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
—
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Oct 22

2
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
5-2 · #93
10
Florida International
2-5 · #121
7
Spread
SHSU -6.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▼ Under 17
Projected
26–19
✓ SHSU won
Trend: FIU ATS ✓ Model: FIU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UTEP
1-6 · #128
10
Louisiana Tech
2-4 · #112
14
Spread
LT -6.5
✓ UTEP W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 24
Projected
21–28
✓ LT won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: LT by 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Wednesday, Oct 23

2
Final · Conf
Liberty
5-0 · #95
24
Kennesaw State
0-6 · #133
27
Spread
LIB -27.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
38–11
✗ LIB lost
Trend: LIB ATS ✗ Model: KENN by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Middle Tennessee
2-5 · #129
20
Jacksonville State
3-3 · #81
42
Spread
JXST -20.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
64.5 ▲1
▼ Under 62
Projected
20–40
✓ JXST won
Trend: JXST ATS ✓ Model: MTSU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Thursday, Oct 24

2
Final · Conf
Georgia Southern
5-2 · #90
19
Old Dominion
3-4 · #78
47
Spread
GASO -0.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
28–28
✗ GASO lost
Trend: GASO ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ODU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Syracuse
5-1 · #43
13
Pittsburgh
6-0 · #57
41
Spread
PITT -4.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲2
▼ Under 54
Projected
27–32
✓ PITT won
Trend: PITT ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: SYR by 0 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Oct 25

3
Final · Conf
Louisville
4-3 · #14
31
Boston College
4-3 · #58
27
Spread
LOU -7.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
30–22
✓ LOU won
Model: LOU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Boise State
5-1 · #29
29
UNLV
6-1 · #42
24
Spread
BOIS -3.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
62.5 ▼3
▼ Under 53
Projected
34–31
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✓ Model: UNLV by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Rutgers
4-3 · #51
20
USC
3-4 · #16
42
Spread
USC -13.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
19–34
✓ USC won
Trend: USC ATS ✓ Model: USC by 6 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Oct 26

47
Final · Conf
Nebraska
5-2 · #41
17
Ohio State
5-1 · #1
21
Spread
OSU -25.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
11–37
✓ OSU won
Model: OSU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Notre Dame
6-1 · #4
51
Navy
6-0 · #61
14
Spread
ND -14.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
31–16
✓ ND won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ND by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Washington
4-3 · #31
17
Indiana
7-0 · #10
31
Spread
IU -5.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▼ Under 48
Projected
23–30
✓ IU won
Trend: IU ATS ✓ Model: IU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
4-3 · #28
14
Ole Miss
5-2 · #3
26
Spread
MISS -19.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▼ Under 40
Projected
17–36
✓ MISS won
Trend: MISS ATS ✗ Model: OU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
5-3 · #36
6
Virginia Tech
4-3 · #38
21
Spread
VT -11.5
✓ VT W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
22–32
✓ VT won
Trend: VT ATS ✓ Model: GT by 7 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
North Carolina
3-4 · #64
41
Virginia
4-3 · #77
14
Spread
UVA -3.5
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▼ Under 55
Projected
28–31
✗ UVA lost
Trend: UVA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: UNC by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Buffalo
4-3 · #105
16
Ohio
4-3 · #65
47
Spread
OHIO -4.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
20–26
✓ OHIO won
Trend: BUFF ATS ✗ Model: OHIO by 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Charlotte
3-4 · #119
28
Memphis
6-1 · #56
33
Spread
MEM -16.5
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
18–35
✓ MEM won
Trend: CLT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MEM by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tulane
5-2 · #40
45
North Texas
5-2 · #94
37
Spread
TULN -7.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
69.5 ▲4
▲ Over 82 · Q4
Projected
37–29
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: TULN by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arkansas
4-3 · #32
58
Mississippi State
1-6 · #72
25
Spread
ARK -7.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼3
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
32–25
✓ ARK won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MSST by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia State
2-4 · #110
26
App State
2-4 · #99
33
Spread
APP -7.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼3
▼ Under 59
Projected
24–32
✓ APP won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: GAST by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
3-4 · #123
7
Miami (OH)
3-4 · #73
46
Spread
M-OH -9.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲2
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
19–29
✓ M-OH won
Trend: CMU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: M-OH by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Temple
2-5 · #127
34
East Carolina
3-4 · #92
56
Spread
ECU -7.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 90 · Q3
Projected
20–28
✓ ECU won
Model: ECU by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Illinois
6-1 · #44
9
Oregon
7-0 · #5
38
Spread
ORE -22.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
15–37
✓ ORE won
Trend: ILL ATS ✗ Model: ILL by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
BYU
7-0 · #22
37
UCF
3-4 · #37
24
Spread
UCF -2.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼1
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
24–26
✗ UCF lost
Trend: BYU ATS ✓ Model: BYU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Missouri
6-1 · #23
0
Alabama
5-2 · #7
34
Spread
ALA -16.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼5
▼ Under 34
Projected
20–36
✓ ALA won
Trend: ALA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIZ by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Northwestern
3-4 · #83
14
Iowa
4-3 · #30
40
Spread
IOWA -16.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
37.5 ▲1
▲ Over 54 · Q3
Projected
12–27
✓ IOWA won
Model: NU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Maryland
4-3 · #62
23
Minnesota
4-3 · #26
48
Spread
MINN -5.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 71 · Q3
Projected
20–25
✓ MINN won
Trend: MINN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MD by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Rice
2-5 · #104
10
UConn
4-3 · #80
17
Spread
CONN -6.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
19–26
✓ CONN won
Model: CONN by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
3-4 · #89
27
Stanford
2-5 · #96
24
Spread
WAKE -2.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼4
▼ Under 51
Projected
28–27
✓ WAKE won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: STAN by 5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
3-4 · #87
28
Baylor
3-4 · #39
38
Spread
BAY -6.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
63.5 ▼1
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
28–34
✓ BAY won
Trend: BAY ATS ✓ Model: OKST by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
5-2 · #46
34
TCU
4-3 · #34
35
Spread
TCU -4.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
65.5 ▼2
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
30–34
✓ TCU won
Trend: TTU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TCU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Southern Miss
1-6 · #132
15
James Madison
5-2 · #59
32
Spread
JMU -27.5
✓ USM W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
11–39
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✗ Model: JMU by 4 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
5-2 · #120
21
Akron
1-6 · #124
25
Spread
EMU -2.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▼ Under 46
Projected
25–22
✗ EMU lost
Trend: EMU ATS ✗ Model: EMU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Northern Illinois
4-3 · #74
23
Ball State
2-5 · #126
25
Spread
NIU -13.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
31–16
✗ NIU lost
Trend: NIU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: NIU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Bowling Green
3-4 · #75
41
Toledo
5-2 · #88
26
Spread
TOL -1.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 67 · Q2
Projected
23–24
✗ TOL lost
Trend: BGSU ATS ✓ Model: TOL by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kent State
0-7 · #134
21
Western Michigan
4-3 · #107
52
Spread
WMU -19.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲2
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
21–41
✓ WMU won
Trend: WMU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: WMU by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UTSA
3-4 · #82
45
Tulsa
2-5 · #131
46
Spread
UTSA -9.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼3
▲ Over 91 · Q3
Projected
31–22
✗ UTSA lost
Trend: UTSA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTSA by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
4-3 · #98
7
California
3-4 · #55
44
Spread
CAL -11.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
20–31
✓ CAL won
Model: ORST by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas
6-1 · #2
27
Vanderbilt
5-2 · #53
24
Spread
TEX -16.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▼ Under 51
Projected
35–17
✓ TEX won
Trend: VAN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TEX by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico
3-4 · #111
6
Colorado State
4-3 · #100
17
Spread
CSU -3.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼4
▼ Under 23
Projected
31–36
✓ CSU won
Trend: UNM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: CSU by 4 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UL Monroe
5-1 · #115
17
South Alabama
3-4 · #66
46
Spread
USA -7.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
19–28
✓ USA won
Trend: ULM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: USA by 6 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Florida State
1-6 · #85
14
Miami
7-0 · #9
36
Spread
MIA -21.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼1
▼ Under 50
Projected
16–38
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✓ Model: MIA by 3 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
West Virginia
3-4 · #63
31
Arizona
3-4 · #79
26
Spread
ARIZ -5.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
26–30
✗ ARIZ lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: WVU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah
4-3 · #49
14
Houston
2-5 · #76
17
Spread
UTAH -4.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
35.5 ▼2
▼ Under 31
Projected
19–15
✗ UTAH lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UTAH by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Utah State
1-6 · #106
27
Wyoming
1-6 · #114
25
Spread
USU -1.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▼ Under 52
Projected
28–28
✓ USU won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: WYO by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Troy
1-6 · #97
31
Arkansas State
4-3 · #113
34
Spread
ARST -7.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
23–30
✓ ARST won
Trend: ARST ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: TROY by 6.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Penn State
6-0 · #6
28
Wisconsin
5-2 · #47
13
Spread
PSU -6.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▼ Under 41
Projected
26–20
✓ PSU won
Trend: WIS ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: PSU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
LSU
6-1 · #12
23
Texas A&M
6-1 · #19
38
Spread
TA&M -1.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
28–29
✓ TA&M won
Model: LSU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Michigan State
4-3 · #70
17
Michigan
4-3 · #27
24
Spread
MICH -3.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼1
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
18–22
✓ MICH won
Trend: MSU ATS ✗ Model: MICH by 5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Auburn
2-5 · #33
24
Kentucky
3-4 · #50
10
Spread
UK -1.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
20–22
✗ UK lost
Model: UK by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kansas
2-5 · #35
27
Kansas State
6-1 · #20
29
Spread
KSU -9.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
23–33
✓ KSU won
Trend: KSU ATS ✗ Model: KSU by 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
SMU
6-1 · #15
28
Duke
6-1 · #60
27
Spread
SMU -11.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 55 · OT
Projected
30–19
✓ SMU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: DUKE by 2 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
San José State
5-2 · #86
10
Fresno State
4-3 · #84
33
Spread
FRES -6.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▼ Under 43
Projected
23–29
✓ FRES won
Trend: FRES ATS ✓ Model: SJSU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Cincinnati
5-2 · #45
23
Colorado
5-2 · #25
34
Spread
COLO -6.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
25–31
✓ COLO won
Trend: COLO ATS ✓ Model: COLO by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Washington State
6-1 · #68
29
San Diego State
3-3 · #122
26
Spread
WSU -17.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▼ Under 55
Projected
36–19
✓ WSU won
Trend: WSU ATS ✗ Model: SDSU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nevada
3-5 · #102
13
Hawai'i
2-5 · #109
34
Spread
HAW -1.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼6
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
23–24
✓ HAW won
Trend: HAW ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NEV by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total