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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 11 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 11: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
50 finalFavorites 26-24 ATS13 upsetsO/U 23-27Model Favorite 37-13Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5050 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS26-2452% covered
Upsets13outright
Over / Under23-2746% over
Model Favorite37-1374% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up18 all 18 final
Over6 33%Under12 67%
Moved down20 all 20 final
Over10 50%Under10 50%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
27–1761%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
16–1159%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
8–280%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
0–20%
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Nov 5

2
Final · Conf
Bowling Green
4-4 · #75
23
Central Michigan
3-5 · #123
13
Spread
BGSU -14.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▼ Under 36
Projected
32–18
✓ BGSU won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: CMU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Miami (OH)
4-4 · #73
27
Ball State
3-5 · #126
21
Spread
M-OH -12.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 48
Projected
29–16
✓ M-OH won
Trend: BALL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: M-OH by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Wednesday, Nov 6

2
Final · Conf
Ohio
5-3 · #65
41
Kent State
0-8 · #134
0
Spread
OHIO -20.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
38–17
✓ OHIO won
Trend: OHIO ATS ✓ Model: OHIO by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Northern Illinois
4-4 · #74
42
Western Michigan
5-3 · #107
28
Spread
NIU -2.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
27–24
✓ NIU won
Trend: NIU ATS ✓ Model: NIU by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Thursday, Nov 7

2
Final · Conf
App State
4-4 · #99
24
Coastal Carolina
4-4 · #101
38
Spread
APP -1.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲1
▼ Under 62
Projected
31–31
✗ APP lost
Trend: APP ATS ✗ Model: CCU by 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida Atlantic
2-6 · #118
14
East Carolina
4-4 · #92
49
Spread
ECU -5.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲2
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
23–28
✓ ECU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: FAU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Nov 8

4
Final · Conf
California
4-4 · #55
46
Wake Forest
4-4 · #89
36
Spread
CAL -7.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 82 · Q3
Projected
30–23
✓ CAL won
Trend: CAL ATS ✓ Model: CAL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Iowa
6-3 · #30
17
UCLA
3-5 · #48
20
Spread
IOWA -6.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
25–19
✗ IOWA lost
Model: UCLA by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Rice
3-6 · #104
20
Memphis
7-2 · #56
27
Spread
MEM -7.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 47
Projected
21–29
✓ MEM won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: MEM by 6 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico
3-6 · #111
21
San Diego State
3-5 · #122
16
Spread
SDSU -1.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
65.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
31–33
✗ SDSU lost
Trend: UNM ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: SDSU by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Saturday, Nov 9

40
Final · Conf
Purdue
1-7 · #117
0
Ohio State
7-1 · #1
45
Spread
OSU -37.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▼ Under 45
Projected
8–46
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: OSU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Miami
9-0 · #9
23
Georgia Tech
5-4 · #36
28
Spread
MIA -9.5
✓ GT W ATS
Total
64.5 ▲1
▼ Under 51
Projected
35–25
✗ MIA lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✗ Model: MIA by 3 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida
4-4 · #21
17
Texas
7-1 · #2
49
Spread
TEX -24.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
14–37
✓ TEX won
Trend: TEX ATS ✓ Model: FLA by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Minnesota
6-3 · #26
19
Rutgers
4-4 · #51
26
Spread
MINN -6.5
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
25–19
✗ MINN lost
Trend: MINN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: RUTG by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Syracuse
6-2 · #43
31
Boston College
4-4 · #58
37
Spread
BC -5.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
23–28
✓ BC won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: SYR by 6 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
West Virginia
4-4 · #63
31
Cincinnati
5-3 · #45
24
Spread
CIN -5.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼3
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
25–31
✗ CIN lost
Trend: CIN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: WVU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Texas State
4-4 · #54
38
UL Monroe
5-3 · #115
17
Spread
TXST -9.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
30–20
✓ TXST won
Trend: ULM ATS ✗ Model: TXST by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Navy
6-2 · #61
28
South Florida
4-4 · #91
7
Spread
NAVY -4.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲4
▼ Under 35
Projected
29–25
✓ NAVY won
Trend: NAVY ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: USF by 3 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Liberty
5-2 · #95
37
Middle Tennessee
3-6 · #129
17
Spread
LIB -12.5
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼2
▼ Under 54
Projected
35–22
✓ LIB won
Trend: LIB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MTSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UConn
6-3 · #80
31
UAB
2-6 · #116
23
Spread
CONN -7.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼2
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
30–23
✓ CONN won
Trend: CONN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UAB by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Marshall
5-3 · #69
37
Southern Miss
1-7 · #132
3
Spread
MRSH -13.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▼ Under 40
Projected
32–19
✓ MRSH won
Trend: MRSH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: USM by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Georgia
7-1 · #8
10
Ole Miss
7-2 · #3
28
Spread
UGA -1.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
28–28
✗ UGA lost
Trend: MISS ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MISS by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Michigan
5-4 · #27
15
Indiana
9-0 · #10
20
Spread
IU -14.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▼ Under 35
Projected
17–31
✓ IU won
Trend: IU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: IU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Iowa State
7-1 · #24
36
Kansas
2-6 · #35
45
Spread
ISU -2.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 81 · Q3
Projected
26–23
✗ ISU lost
Trend: ISU ATS ✗ Model: ISU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Army
8-0 · #52
14
North Texas
5-3 · #94
3
Spread
ARMY -6.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
66.5 ▲3
▼ Under 17
Projected
36–30
✓ ARMY won
Trend: ARMY ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: UNT by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Duke
6-3 · #60
29
NC State
5-4 · #67
19
Spread
NCSU -3.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 48
Projected
23–25
✗ NCSU lost
Trend: DUKE ATS ✓ Model: DUKE by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
San José State
5-3 · #86
24
Oregon State
4-4 · #98
13
Spread
ORST -2.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–30
✗ ORST lost
Trend: SJSU ATS ✓ Model: ORST by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Georgia State
2-6 · #110
7
James Madison
6-2 · #59
38
Spread
JMU -15.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 45
Projected
17–34
✓ JMU won
Trend: GAST ATS ✗ Model: JMU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Clemson
6-2 · #17
24
Virginia Tech
5-4 · #38
14
Spread
CLEM -6.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
30–24
✓ CLEM won
Model: VT by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Colorado
6-2 · #25
41
Texas Tech
6-3 · #46
27
Spread
COLO -4.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
62.5
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
30–27
✓ COLO won
Trend: COLO ATS ✓ Model: TTU by 4 ✗ Model: Under 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Kennesaw State
1-7 · #133
35
UTEP
1-8 · #128
43
Spread
UTEP -4.5
✓ UTEP W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 78 · Q4
Projected
18–24
✓ UTEP won
Model: UTEP by 6 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: OT
Final · Conf
Temple
2-6 · #127
6
Tulane
7-2 · #40
52
Spread
TULN -25.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
11–37
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✓ Model: TULN by 6 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
South Carolina
5-3 · #13
28
Vanderbilt
6-3 · #53
7
Spread
SC -5.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 35
Projected
27–21
✓ SC won
Model: SC by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Jacksonville State
5-3 · #81
44
Louisiana Tech
3-5 · #112
37
Spread
JXST -9.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 81 · Q3
Projected
32–23
✓ JXST won
Model: LT by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arkansas State
5-3 · #113
19
Louisiana
7-1 · #71
55
Spread
UL -14.5
✓ UL W ATS
Total
59.5
▲ Over 74 · Q3
Projected
23–37
✓ UL won
Model: ARST by 0 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Western Kentucky
6-2 · #103
41
New Mexico State
2-6 · #130
28
Spread
WKU -18
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
36–19
✓ WKU won
Trend: WKU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: NMSU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Maryland
4-4 · #62
18
Oregon
9-0 · #5
39
Spread
ORE -24
✓ MD W ATS
Total
57.5
▼ Under 57
Projected
16–40
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: MD by 0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Mississippi State
2-7 · #72
14
Tennessee
7-1 · #11
33
Spread
TENN -26.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
17–44
✓ TENN won
Trend: TENN ATS ✗ Model: TENN by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCF
4-5 · #37
31
Arizona State
6-2 · #18
35
Spread
ASU -2.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
26–29
✓ ASU won
Trend: ASU ATS ✓ Model: ASU by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
3-6 · #87
13
TCU
5-4 · #34
38
Spread
TCU -10.5
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
69.5 ▲3
▼ Under 51
Projected
28–39
✓ TCU won
Trend: OKST ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: TCU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Florida State
1-8 · #85
3
Notre Dame
7-1 · #4
52
Spread
ND -25.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
7–33
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✓ Model: ND by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Alabama
6-2 · #7
42
LSU
6-2 · #12
13
Spread
ALA -2.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼2
▼ Under 55
Projected
31–28
✓ ALA won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: ALA by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
5-4 · #28
23
Missouri
6-2 · #23
30
Spread
OU -3.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
25–23
✗ OU lost
Trend: OU ATS ✗ Model: MIZ by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Washington
5-4 · #31
6
Penn State
7-1 · #6
35
Spread
PSU -13.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲3
▼ Under 41
Projected
17–30
✓ PSU won
Model: WASH by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Nevada
3-7 · #102
21
Boise State
7-1 · #29
28
Spread
BOIS -23.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
60.5
▼ Under 49
Projected
18–42
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✗ Model: BOIS by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia
4-4 · #77
24
Pittsburgh
7-1 · #57
19
Spread
PITT -7.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▼ Under 43
Projected
23–32
✗ PITT lost
Trend: PITT ATS ✗ Model: PITT by 4 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UNLV
6-2 · #42
29
Hawai'i
4-5 · #109
27
Spread
UNLV -12.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
30–18
✓ UNLV won
Model: UNLV by 0 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Fresno State
5-4 · #84
28
Air Force
1-7 · #108
36
Spread
FRES -9.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
24–15
✗ FRES lost
Trend: FRES ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: AFA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
BYU
8-0 · #22
22
Utah
4-4 · #49
21
Spread
BYU -3.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼1
▲ Over 43 · Q4
Projected
22–18
✓ BYU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✗ Model: BYU by 0 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Utah State
2-6 · #106
28
Washington State
7-1 · #68
49
Spread
WSU -20.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
67.5 ▼1
▲ Over 77 · Q4
Projected
23–44
✓ WSU won
Trend: WSU ATS ✓ Model: WSU by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total