Ohio @ Kent State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2024)

Wed, Nov 6, 2024, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Kent State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff59°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Ohio

5-3 · Power #65

▲ winner

Final

Kent State

0-8 · Power #134

final

Closing spread

OHIO -20.5

✓ OHIO W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

OHIO 38–17 KENT

✓ OHIO (93%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOHIO -17.5

CloseOHIO -20.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOHIO -17.5

3 → OHIO

CloseOHIO -20.5

3 pts toward Ohio

Total

Open53.5

no move

Close53.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OHIO -17.5 · closed OHIO -20.5 · moved 3 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -21

model OHIO -21

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 47% (85 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOHIO -17.5

CloseOHIO -20.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OHIO as a 20.5-point road favorite at KENT, the favorite won 10, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: OHIO won 41–0; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 41 points stayed under 53.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 91%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 16.6 against an average line of 19.4; 53 points a game (usually 55.7). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	NIU @ KENT 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & spread	-20.5	37–27	L	O44.75
Close	MTSU @ FIU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & total	-19.5	33–28	L	O54.5
Close	BALL @ AKR 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & rest	-20	31–25	L	U58
Close	EMU @ MASS 2021 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & total	-22	42–28	L	O56.5
Close	KSU @ KU 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & situation	-24	35–10	W	U55.75
Close	BUFF @ MASS 2022 · Week 7 · close	-17	34–7	W	U47.5
Close	BGSU @ AKR 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar season form & situation	-16.5	27–20	L	U48.5
Close	UL @ USM 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & total	-17.5	23–13	L	U57.5
Close	FAU @ FIU 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & total	-15.25	52–7	W	O54.5
Close	UK @ VAN 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & total	-21.5	34–17	L	U52.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OHIO LWLLW	4-4	50%	1-3	2-2
KENT –LWWL	2-5	29%	1-2	2-4

Venue/role: OHIO away, as favorite; KENT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OHIO OUOOO	5-3	63%	5-3
KENT –OOUO	5-2	71%	0-8

Stayed under: it needed 20 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 52% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OHIO	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
KENT	0-10 0%	3-6 33%	6-3 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

OHIO 1–0 KENT OHIO leads · 1 game since 2023 · OHIO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 7 2023	Kent State 17 @ Ohio 42	OHIO -26	KENT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OHIO−3.6 →−5.8▼ 2.2#95

KENT−20.0 →−27.4▼ 7.4#134

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

OHIO

Longer bar = better

KENT

#74

Offense

◀ OHIO better

#135

#61

Defense

◀ OHIO better

#136

−1.0 #123

Turnovers

Even

−1.3 #133

64 plays #101

Pace

◀ OHIO faster

59 plays #132

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO offense

	OHIO off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #94	46.6 #137	OHIO
Yards / play	5.99 #60	7.20 #135	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.13 #77	+0.32 #135	OHIO
Success rate	44% #63	51% #135	OHIO

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: OHIO defense

	KENT off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #132	23.3 #56	OHIO
Yards / play	4.29 #136	5.33 #51	OHIO
PPA / play	−0.10 #135	+0.12 #81	OHIO
Success rate	32% #136	40% #56	OHIO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

OHIO scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	3.6 #118	9.1 #53	12.8 #92	4.8 #94	7.5 #56	12.3 #86
KENT allowed	13.6 #134	16.4 #133	30.0 #134	8.1 #117	8.5 #107	16.6 #120

KENT scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	2.1 #131	5.6 #121	7.8 #131	3.0 #122	6.3 #84	9.3 #119
OHIO allowed	1.5 #2	9.3 #104	10.8 #46	7.4 #108	5.1 #43	12.5 #71

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.