Tulane @ Rice: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2023)

Sat, Oct 28, 2023, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Rice · Conference game

Weather at kickoff84°F14 mphgusts 23DryWeather watch ›

Tulane

6-1 · Power #55

▲ winner

Final

Rice

4-3 · Power #90

final

Closing spread

TULN -10

✓ RICE W

Total

▲ Over · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

TULN 29–20 RICE

✓ TULN (74%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseTULN -10

Total55

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseTULN -10

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close55

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseTULN -10

Total55

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 10-point road favorite at RICE, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: TULN won 30–28; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 58 points went over 55, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.7 against an average line of 9; 50.1 points a game (usually 54.7). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	APP @ TROY 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-10	45–7	W	O51.5
Very close	TOL @ BUFF 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & season form	-7	27–34	L	O56
Very close	UL @ USA 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & season form	-12	20–18	L	U52.75
Very close	AFA @ UNLV 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & season form	-10	42–7	W	U50
Very close	ORST @ ASU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & rest	-7.5	31–7	W	U53.5
Close	UTAH @ STAN 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & season form	-10.25	52–7	W	O51.75
Close	ORE @ STAN 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-8.5	24–31	L	U57.5
Close	PSU @ MD 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & total	-10	31–14	W	U56.5
Close	WASH @ CAL 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar total & situation	-7.5	28–21	L	U54.5
Close	BYU @ LIB 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-7	14–41	L	U58

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TULN WLLWL	3-4	43%	2-0	3-3
RICE WLWLW	5-2	71%	3-1	3-0

Venue/role: TULN away, as favorite; RICE home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TULN UUUUU	0-6	0%	6-1
RICE OOU–U	3-3	50%	4-3

Went over in Q4. Of 97 earlier overs in games with totals 51–59, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TULNlast 7	6-1 86%	3-4 43%	0-6 0%
RICElast 7	4-3 57%	5-2 71%	3-3 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TULN+6.3 →+3.9▼ 2.4#43

RICE−10.1 →−3.6▲ 6.5#86

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

TULN

Longer bar = better

RICE

#51

Offense

RICE better ▶

#29

#46

Defense

◀ TULN better

#76

+0.3 #51

Turnovers

◀ TULN better

−0.3 #93

65 plays #94

Pace

Even

65 plays #87

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TULN has the ball

Advantage: TULN offense

	TULN off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	30.7 #47	27.4 #86	TULN
Yards / play	6.17 #45	5.70 #83	TULN
PPA / play	+0.12 #69	+0.06 #55	Even
Success rate	45% #41	42% #78	TULN

When RICE has the ball

Even matchup

	RICE off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #32	19.4 #30	Even
Yards / play	6.33 #36	5.16 #41	Even
PPA / play	+0.28 #19	+0.05 #43	RICE
Success rate	47% #27	41% #69	RICE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

TULN scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	8.9 #17	8.3 #63	17.1 #42	7.9 #38	5.7 #92	13.6 #60
RICE allowed	1.9 #5	9.9 #106	11.7 #56	6.1 #84	7.7 #93	13.9 #93

RICE scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	12.9 #4	6.0 #107	18.9 #19	6.4 #58	6.6 #70	13.0 #67
TULN allowed	1.4 #4	7.3 #70	8.7 #19	6.4 #87	4.3 #24	10.7 #50

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.