Wyoming @ San José State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2024)

Sat, Oct 19, 2024, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at San José State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff74°F3 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Wyoming

1-5 · Power #114

final

Final

San José State

4-2 · Power #86

▲ winner

Closing spread

SJSU -11.5

✓ WYO W

Total

52.5

▼ Under · 38 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 20–31 SJSU

✓ SJSU (80%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSJSU -11.5

CloseSJSU -11.5

Total49.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSJSU -11.5

no move

CloseSJSU -11.5

No change since the open

Total

Open49.5

▲ 3

Close52.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SJSU -11.5 · unchangedmodel SJSU -13

model SJSU -13

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 10.5–12.5 since 2023: won 73%, covered 36% (56 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSJSU -11.5

CloseSJSU -11.5

Total49.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SJSU as an 11.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 8, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: SJSU won 24–14; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 38 points stayed under 52.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 77%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.6 against an average line of 11.2; 59 points a game (usually 55.4). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UL vs ULM 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-12.5	52–21	W	O53.25
Very close	WMU vs BALL 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & situation	-12.5	20–45	L	O57.5
Very close	OHIO vs CMU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10.5	34–20	W	O48.5
Very close	MEM vs NAVY 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & total	-11	35–17	W	U55.5
Very close	FAU vs FIU 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & spread	-10.5	58–21	W	O52
Close	CCU vs ODU 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & spread	-11.25	21–49	L	O58.5
Close	WKU vs SHSU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation	-11	28–23	L	U52.25
Close	TOL vs BALL 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar total	-13.5	28–21	L	U53.5
Close	DUKE vs VT 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-10	24–7	W	U50
Close	UTEP vs RICE 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & season form	-9	38–28	W	O47

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO L–LWL	1-4	20%	0-2	1-2
SJSU WW–LL	3-2	60%	2-1	2-1

Venue/role: WYO away, as underdog; SJSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO U–OOO	4-1	80%	1-5
SJSU UU–OO	3-2	60%	4-2

Stayed under: it needed 29 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 52% of games with totals 48.5–56.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	4-6 40%	3-6 33%	6-3 67%
SJSU	7-3 70%	5-4 56%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

WYO 9–7 SJSU WYO leads · 16 games since 1959 · WYO has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−4.9 →−14.2▼ 9.3#121

SJSU−2.2 →−5.0▼ 2.8#90

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

WYO

Longer bar = better

SJSU

#132

Offense

SJSU better ▶

#47

#110

Defense

SJSU better ▶

#63

−0.8 #118

Turnovers

SJSU better ▶

+0.7 #27

63 plays #103

Pace

SJSU faster ▶

68 plays #60

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: SJSU defense

	WYO off	SJSU def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #128	26.2 #83	SJSU
Yards / play	4.19 #136	5.06 #40	SJSU
PPA / play	−0.06 #129	+0.02 #34	SJSU
Success rate	32% #136	43% #95	SJSU

When SJSU has the ball

Advantage: SJSU offense

	SJSU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	33.5 #36	31.5 #111	SJSU
Yards / play	6.16 #50	6.07 #106	SJSU
PPA / play	+0.19 #48	+0.20 #112	SJSU
Success rate	45% #53	45% #112	SJSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the SJSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	4.5 #94	4.7 #124	9.2 #119	2.8 #125	5.7 #95	8.5 #124
SJSU allowed	7.5 #112	6.8 #55	14.3 #92	4.7 #51	5.8 #58	10.5 #44

SJSU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SJSU scored	7.5 #35	8.7 #63	16.2 #50	7.0 #56	9.3 #22	16.3 #31
WYO allowed	8.0 #119	11.7 #128	19.7 #126	8.7 #121	3.2 #10	11.8 #64

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.