Fri, Sep 20, 2024, 10:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Washington State
Weather at kickoff59°F6 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›
3-0 · Power #86
52
final
Final
@
3-0 · Power #68
54
▲ winner
Closing spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
SJSU 19–33 WSU
✓ WSU (85%) won
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Washington State have 2 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
SJSU−2.2 →−3.9▼ 1.7#84
WSU+2.5 →+5.7▲ 3.2#37
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

SJSU
Longer bar = better
WSU
#83
Offense
WSU better ▶
#30
#18
Defense
◀ SJSU better
#76
+1.0 #22
Turnovers
Even
+1.0 #34
66 plays #70
Pace
◀ SJSU faster
60 plays #116
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When SJSU has the ball
Even matchup
SJSU offWSU defEdge
Points / game 30.0 #71 21.7 #72 Even
Yards / play 5.66 #90 5.90 #99 Even
PPA / play +0.08 #91 +0.03 #60 WSU
Success rate 42% #80 40% #74 Even
When WSU has the ball
Even matchup
WSU offSJSU defEdge
Points / game 43.7 #16 13.7 #33 Even
Yards / play 7.97 #8 3.51 #8 Even
PPA / play +0.30 #28 −0.24 #3 SJSU
Success rate 43% #68 33% #26 SJSU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 111 FBS teams
SJSU scoring against the WSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
SJSU scored
7.0
#48
8.0
#60
15.0
#56
4.7
#76
10.3
#13
15.0
#43
WSU allowed
5.7
#74
7.7
#70
13.3
#73
4.0
#41
4.3
#44
8.3
#41
WSU scoring against the SJSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WSU scored
13.0
#8
18.0
#3
31.0
#4
9.3
#23
3.3
#92
12.7
#55
SJSU allowed
8.0
#92
1.0
#2
9.0
#39
4.7
#47
0.0
#1
4.7
#16

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
WSU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
59° · 6 mph
gusts 14 mph · at kickoff
Rest
SJSU6d
WSU6d
Even
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 132fast
Altitude
SJSU +2,461 ft
moderate climb