Fri, Sep 20, 2024, 10:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Washington State
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
SJSU 19–33 WSU
✓ WSU (85%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Washington State have 2 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
SJSU−2.2 →−3.9▼ 1.7#84
WSU+2.5 →+5.7▲ 3.2#37
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3
Longer bar = better
#83
Offense
WSU better ▶#30
#18
Defense
◀ SJSU better#76
+1.0 #22
Turnovers
Even+1.0 #34
66 plays #70
Pace
◀ SJSU faster60 plays #116
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| SJSU off | WSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 30.0 #71 | 21.7 #72 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.66 #90 | 5.90 #99 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.08 #91 | +0.03 #60 | WSU |
| Success rate | 42% #80 | 40% #74 | Even |
| WSU off | SJSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 43.7 #16 | 13.7 #33 | Even |
| Yards / play | 7.97 #8 | 3.51 #8 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.30 #28 | −0.24 #3 | SJSU |
| Success rate | 43% #68 | 33% #26 | SJSU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 111 FBS teams
SJSU scoring against the WSU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.0 #48 | 8.0 #60 | 15.0 #56 | 4.7 #76 | 10.3 #13 | 15.0 #43 | |
5.7 #74 | 7.7 #70 | 13.3 #73 | 4.0 #41 | 4.3 #44 | 8.3 #41 |
WSU scoring against the SJSU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13.0 #8 | 18.0 #3 | 31.0 #4 | 9.3 #23 | 3.3 #92 | 12.7 #55 | |
8.0 #92 | 1.0 #2 | 9.0 #39 | 4.7 #47 | 0.0 #1 | 4.7 #16 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
59° · 6 mph
gusts 14 mph · at kickoff
Rest
SJSU6d
WSU6d
Even
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 132fast
Altitude
SJSU +2,461 ft
moderate climb
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

