UTSA @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Myrtle Beach Bowl, 2024)

Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 11:00 AM ESTMyrtle Beach Bowl · at Coastal Carolina

Weather at kickoff40°F8 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

UTSA

6-6 · Power #82

▲ winner

Final

Coastal Carolina

6-6 · Power #101

final

Closing spread

UTSA -13.5

✓ UTSA W

Total

56.5

▲ Over · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

UTSA 34–23 CCU

✓ UTSA (78%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCCU -6.5

CloseUTSA -13.5

Total57.5 → 56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTSA LWWWW	6-5	55%	1-5	4-2
CCU LWLLW	5-7	42%	3-3	3-4

Venue/role: UTSA away, as favorite; CCU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTSA OOOOU	8-3	73%	6-6
CCU OUUUO	7-5	58%	6-6

Went over in Q4. Of 343 earlier overs in games with totals 52.5–60.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTSA	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
CCU	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTSA+1.0 →−4.3▼ 5.3#84

CCU−2.5 →−6.5▼ 4.0#98

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

UTSA

Longer bar = better

CCU

#77

Offense

Even

#69

#57

Defense

◀ UTSA better

#89

0.0 #65

Turnovers

CCU better ▶

+0.4 #44

78 plays #4

Pace

◀ UTSA faster

65 plays #95

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTSA has the ball

Even matchup

	UTSA off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	32.3 #37	30.6 #105	UTSA
Yards / play	5.74 #77	5.81 #88	Even
PPA / play	+0.10 #89	+0.11 #79	Even
Success rate	40% #105	43% #84	CCU

When CCU has the ball

Even matchup

	CCU off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	29.8 #51	31.3 #109	CCU
Yards / play	5.94 #57	5.70 #78	CCU
PPA / play	+0.12 #75	+0.05 #37	UTSA
Success rate	41% #93	35% #2	UTSA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

UTSA scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	8.0 #22	10.8 #21	18.8 #18	5.1 #90	8.3 #37	13.4 #66
CCU allowed	5.1 #68	11.2 #124	16.3 #111	5.1 #59	9.3 #115	14.3 #100

CCU scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	8.3 #15	6.8 #98	15.2 #47	8.3 #21	6.4 #84	14.7 #54
UTSA allowed	5.1 #68	9.9 #110	15.0 #96	8.3 #120	8.1 #102	16.3 #119

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.