Fri, Dec 27, 2024, 8:00 PM ESTDirecTV Holiday Bowl · Neutral site
Weather at kickoff59°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›
9-3 · Power #43
52
▲ winner
Final
vs
8-4 · Power #68
35
final
Closing spread
SYR -18.5
✓ WSU W
Total
57.5
▲ Over · 87 pts
Model before kickoff
SYR 40–24 WSU
✓ SYR (87%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenSYR -4.5
CloseSYR -18.5
Total61.5 → 57.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
14 pts toward Syracuse
Total
Down 4 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SYR -4.5 · closed SYR -18.5 · moved 14 toward SYRmodel SYR -5
Opened 61.5 · closed 57.5 · moved 4 downmodel 63.5
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 62% (34 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenSYR -4.5
CloseSYR -18.5
Total61.5 → 57.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for SYR as an 18.5-point neutral-site favorite against WSU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Mixed signals on the spread
Slight Under trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Syracuse 1-4 ATS as a favorite
Struggling to cover in the role they have in this game. · Backtest 2023–26: 221-216 (51%)
Market moved toward Syracuse
14 pts (SYR -4.5 → SYR -18.5), through the key number 7. · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Total moved down 4
61.5 → 57.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
SYR−2.1 →+5.3▲ 7.4#43
WSU+2.5 →+0.6▼ 1.9#66
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

SYR
Longer bar = better
WSU
#38
Offense
WSU better ▶
#13
#103
Defense
Even
#97
−0.1 #71
Turnovers
WSU better ▶
+0.8 #17
78 plays #2
Pace
◀ SYR faster
66 plays #77
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When SYR has the ball
Advantage: SYR offense
SYR offWSU defEdge
Points / game 32.6 #35 28.1 #89 SYR
Yards / play 5.82 #68 6.04 #100 SYR
PPA / play +0.20 #33 +0.13 #88 SYR
Success rate 47% #17 45% #109 SYR
When WSU has the ball
Advantage: WSU offense
WSU offSYR defEdge
Points / game 36.8 #8 28.7 #94 WSU
Yards / play 6.65 #12 6.16 #110 WSU
PPA / play +0.24 #20 +0.19 #110 WSU
Success rate 49% #10 44% #97 WSU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
SYR scoring against the WSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
SYR scored
4.3
#101
10.9
#21
15.2
#48
8.9
#15
7.4
#58
16.3
#22
WSU allowed
6.2
#92
5.8
#23
12.0
#54
7.9
#116
7.7
#92
15.6
#112
WSU scoring against the SYR defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WSU scored
9.6
#6
11.7
#15
21.3
#6
4.9
#93
9.9
#12
14.8
#48
SYR allowed
6.6
#98
8.3
#84
14.9
#93
5.3
#66
8.2
#102
13.5
#83

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
59° · 3 mph
gusts 7 mph · at kickoff
Rest
SYR27d bye
WSU27d bye
Even
Tempo
Fast 145 plays
slowavg 134fast
Quarterback
WSU backup QB started
Not the usual starter

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week