Wyoming @ Washington State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2024)

Sat, Nov 30, 2024, 6:30 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Washington State

Weather at kickoff35°F1 mphDryCold Over 50% of 115 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Wyoming

2-9 · Power #114

▲ winner

Final

Washington State

8-3 · Power #68

final

Closing spread

WSU -18.5

✓ WYO W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 29 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 18–37 WSU

✗ WSU (91%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -18.5

CloseWSU -18.5

Total58.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWSU -18.5

no move

CloseWSU -18.5

No change since the open

Total

Open58.5

▼ 3

Close55.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WSU -18.5 · unchangedmodel WSU -19.5

model WSU -19.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 17.5–19.5 since 2023: won 99%, covered 52% (67 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -18.5

CloseWSU -18.5

Total58.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WSU as an 18.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 9, covered 3, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: WYO won 15–14 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 29 points stayed under 55.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 91%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 14.5 against an average line of 18.4; 57.9 points a game (usually 54.6). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	HOU vs TEM 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-20	43–36	L	O56
Very close	GT vs BGSU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & season form	-22	27–38	L	O51.5
Very close	MEM vs CLT 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-17	33–28	L	O56
Very close	NEV vs UNLV 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & season form	-19	51–20	W	O58.25
Very close	USA vs USM 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & season form	-18.5	55–3	W	O51
Very close	APP vs ODU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & season form	-16	27–14	L	U50.5
Very close	OKST vs BYU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-16.5	40–34	L	O55
Very close	WSU vs HAW 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-18.5	42–10	W	U55.5
Very close	CAL vs STAN 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & season form	-15	24–21	L	U53.5
Very close	MRSH vs ODU 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-21	20–13	L	U62.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO WLWLW	4-6	40%	2-3	4-4
WSU WLWLL	5-4	56%	4-0	4-3

Venue/role: WYO away, as underdog; WSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO UUOUU	5-5	50%	2-9
WSU UUOOO	5-4	56%	8-3

Stayed under: it needed 33 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 51% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	2-8 20%	4-5 44%	4-5 44%
WSU	7-3 70%	4-4 50%	4-4 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

WYO 3–5 WSU WSU leads · 8 games since 1962 · WYO has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−4.9 →−13.0▼ 8.1#120

WSU+2.5 →+1.7▼ 0.8#63

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

WYO

Longer bar = better

WSU

#126

Offense

WSU better ▶

#10

#109

Defense

Even

#103

−0.4 #97

Turnovers

WSU better ▶

+0.8 #19

67 plays #73

Pace

Even

67 plays #66

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: WSU defense

	WYO off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	19.7 #126	29.3 #99	WSU
Yards / play	4.89 #125	6.17 #109	Even
PPA / play	0.00 #122	+0.15 #95	WSU
Success rate	36% #129	45% #110	Even

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: WSU offense

	WSU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	38.8 #7	29.6 #101	WSU
Yards / play	6.76 #10	6.57 #126	WSU
PPA / play	+0.27 #16	+0.20 #111	WSU
Success rate	50% #7	44% #97	WSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	4.3 #102	6.0 #111	10.3 #115	3.4 #123	6.1 #94	9.5 #120
WSU allowed	6.5 #97	6.1 #34	12.5 #69	8.4 #122	7.8 #96	16.2 #117

WSU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	9.8 #7	12.1 #11	21.9 #5	5.4 #79	10.8 #5	16.2 #27
WYO allowed	8.7 #125	10.5 #118	19.2 #124	6.5 #92	3.9 #9	10.5 #37

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.