Washington State @ Oregon State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2024)

Sat, Nov 23, 2024, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Oregon State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff47°F7 mphgusts 19DryWeather watch ›

Washington State

8-2 · Power #68

final

Final

Oregon State

4-6 · Power #98

▲ winner

Closing spread

WSU -10.5

✓ ORST W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 79 pts

Model before kickoff

WSU 35–24 ORST

✗ WSU (77%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -13.5

CloseWSU -10.5

Total56.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWSU -13.5

3 → ORST

CloseWSU -10.5

3 pts toward Oregon State

Total

Open56.5

▼ 1

Close55.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WSU -13.5 · closed WSU -10.5 · moved 3 toward ORSTmodel WSU -8.5

model WSU -8.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 9.5–11.5 since 2023: won 78%, covered 55% (55 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (90 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -13.5

CloseWSU -10.5

Total56.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WSU as a 10.5-point road favorite at ORST, the favorite won 7, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: ORST won 41–38 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 79 points went over 55.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.6 against an average line of 9.9; 60.4 points a game (usually 54.9). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TOL @ CMU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & spread	-10	32–17	W	U54.5
Very close	MEM @ CLT 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10	44–38	L	O51.5
Very close	UTSA @ UNT 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-8.5	23–45	L	O59.5
Very close	MEM @ TEM 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & season form	-11	31–34	L	O58.5
Very close	PUR @ IU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10	30–16	W	U53
Very close	CCU @ ULM 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-12.5	28–21	L	U58
Very close	ECU @ TEM 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-9.5	49–46	L	O52
Very close	UL @ ARST 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & rest	-7	17–37	L	U59.5
Very close	WKU @ UTEP 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & situation	-9.5	21–13	L	U54
Close	USA @ ULM 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & situation	-11	55–7	W	O51

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WSU WWLWL	5-3	63%	1-3	4-2
ORST LLLLL	2-7	22%	1-4	0-2

Venue/role: WSU away, as favorite; ORST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WSU UUUOO	4-4	50%	8-2
ORST OUOUU	4-5	44%	4-6

Went over in Q4. Of 331 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WSU	8-2 80%	5-3 63%	4-4 50%
ORST	4-6 40%	2-7 22%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WSU 56–45 ORST (3 tied) WSU leads · 104 games since 1916 · ORST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 23 2023	Oregon State 35 @ Washington State 38	ORST -3	WSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WSU+2.5 →+2.5–#61

ORST+7.8 →−7.6▼ 15.4#101

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

WSU

Longer bar = better

ORST

#13

Offense

◀ WSU better

#87

#101

Defense

◀ WSU better

#116

+0.9 #17

Turnovers

◀ WSU better

−0.5 #109

69 plays #45

Pace

ORST faster ▶

71 plays #22

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: WSU offense

	WSU off	ORST def	Edge
Points / game	38.9 #7	28.7 #96	WSU
Yards / play	6.70 #15	6.54 #125	WSU
PPA / play	+0.27 #16	+0.23 #121	WSU
Success rate	48% #13	47% #123	WSU

When ORST has the ball

Even matchup

	ORST off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	23.2 #104	28.1 #93	Even
Yards / play	5.45 #95	6.18 #109	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #97	+0.15 #96	Even
Success rate	44% #52	45% #105	ORST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

WSU scoring against the ORST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	10.1 #6	12.3 #11	22.4 #4	5.2 #85	10.5 #10	15.7 #38
ORST allowed	5.4 #77	7.9 #73	13.3 #78	4.0 #28	10.7 #130	14.7 #105

ORST scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORST scored	3.8 #112	7.5 #84	11.3 #104	3.1 #125	7.3 #56	10.4 #112
WSU allowed	6.4 #101	5.3 #19	11.7 #55	8.2 #121	7.6 #94	15.8 #113

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.