Akron @ Kent State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2024)

Tue, Nov 19, 2024, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Kent State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff57°F6 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Akron

2-8 · Power #124

▲ winner

Final

Kent State

0-10 · Power #134

final

Closing spread

AKR -10.5

✓ AKR W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

AKR 32–21 KENT

✓ AKR (77%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenAKR -10

CloseAKR -10.5

Total49.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenAKR -10

0.5 → AKR

CloseAKR -10.5

0.5 pts toward Akron

Total

Open49.5

▼ 1

Close48.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened AKR -10 · closed AKR -10.5 · moved 0.5 toward AKRmodel AKR -10.5 matches the line

model AKR -10.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 9.5–11.5 since 2023: won 76%, covered 53% (51 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenAKR -10

CloseAKR -10.5

Total49.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like AKR as a 10.5-point road favorite at KENT, the favorite won 7, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: AKR won 38–17; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 55 points went over 48.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.7 against an average line of 10; 64.5 points a game (usually 54.9). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BGSU @ AKR 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & season form	-9	31–28	L	O49.5
Close	OHIO @ AKR 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & rest	-9.75	34–17	W	U55
Close	USU @ HAW 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & rest	-10.5	41–34	L	O55
Close	WYO @ HAW 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & rest	-11.5	27–20	L	U50.75
Close	NAVY @ TEM 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & situation	-13.5	38–14	W	O42.5
Close	LT @ NMSU 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-12.5	30–33	L	O48.5
Close	USM @ ARST 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-7	37–44	L	O46.5
Close	USU @ TEM 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & season form	-6.5	29–45	L	O53.5
Close	UNT @ FIU 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & rest	-10	49–7	W	U57.25
Close	WMU @ BALL 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar season form & rest	-10	45–42	L	O57.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
AKR WLWLW	4-6	40%	2-4	0-1
KENT WWLLW	3-6	33%	1-3	3-5

Venue/role: AKR away, as favorite; KENT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
AKR UOUOO	7-3	70%	2-8
KENT OUOUU	5-4	56%	0-10

Went over in Q4. Of 319 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AKR	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
KENT	0-10 0%	3-6 33%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

AKR 26–19 KENT (1 tied) AKR leads · 46 games since 1972 · KENT has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 1 2023	Kent State 27 @ Akron 31	AKR -3.5	AKR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

AKR−13.9 →−16.8▼ 2.9#125

KENT−20.0 →−28.8▼ 8.8#134

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

AKR

Longer bar = better

KENT

#125

Offense

Even

#137

#110

Defense

◀ AKR better

#136

−1.1 #130

Turnovers

Even

−1.0 #126

63 plays #109

Pace

◀ AKR faster

58 plays #134

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When AKR has the ball

Even matchup

	AKR off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	18.6 #128	44.8 #137	Even
Yards / play	4.97 #120	7.11 #136	Even
PPA / play	−0.06 #131	+0.32 #135	Even
Success rate	38% #120	51% #135	Even

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: AKR defense

	KENT off	AKR def	Edge
Points / game	14.3 #135	35.3 #124	Even
Yards / play	3.96 #137	6.17 #110	AKR
PPA / play	−0.12 #137	+0.19 #105	AKR
Success rate	31% #137	44% #99	AKR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

AKR scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
AKR scored	5.4 #80	6.5 #108	11.9 #97	1.7 #131	5.0 #117	6.7 #132
KENT allowed	12.9 #134	14.8 #133	27.7 #134	9.3 #127	7.8 #97	17.1 #123

KENT scoring against the AKR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	2.4 #129	4.5 #125	6.9 #131	2.4 #128	5.0 #117	7.4 #130
AKR allowed	8.4 #123	9.5 #103	17.9 #118	8.2 #114	9.2 #119	17.4 #126

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.