Temple @ UTSA: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2024)

Fri, Nov 22, 2024, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at UTSA · Conference game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Temple

3-7 · Power #127

final

Final

UTSA

5-5 · Power #82

▲ winner

Closing spread

UTSA -17.5

✓ UTSA W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 78 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 18–36 UTSA

✓ UTSA (89%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTSA -16.5

CloseUTSA -17.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUTSA -16.5

1 → UTSA

CloseUTSA -17.5

1 pt toward UTSA

Total

Open55.5

no move

Close55.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UTSA -16.5 · closed UTSA -17.5 · moved 1 toward UTSAmodel UTSA -16.5

model UTSA -16.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 94%, covered 53% (72 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 54% (97 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTSA -16.5

CloseUTSA -17.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTSA as a 17.5-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 10, covered 7, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: UTSA won 51–27; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 78 points went over 55.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 89%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Above normal · usually 48%

Overs above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 23.6 against an average line of 16.8; 63.6 points a game (usually 54.3). Of the 8 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	M-OH vs BGSU 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-17	34–7	W	U52
Very close	WKU vs UTEP 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-19	44–17	W	O55.5
Very close	SJSU vs HAW 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & season form	-15.25	27–14	L	U58
Very close	GASO vs ULM 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-16.5	38–28	L	O60.5
Very close	APP vs USM 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-16	48–38	L	O55.5
Very close	USU vs NEV 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-14.5	41–24	W	O54.25
Very close	MEM vs UAB 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-16.5	53–18	W	O62
Very close	UL vs ULM 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar season form & rest	-12.5	52–21	W	O53.25
Very close	JXST vs NMSU 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar season form & total	-21	54–13	W	O58.5
Very close	MSST vs MASS 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-19.5	45–20	W	O59

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM WWLLW	5-5	50%	1-4	3-5
UTSA LWLWW	4-5	44%	4-0	3-2

Venue/role: TEM away, as underdog; UTSA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM OUOOU	6-4	60%	3-7
UTSA OOOOO	7-2	78%	5-5

Went over in Q3. Of 319 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEM	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
UTSA	5-5 50%	4-5 44%	7-2 78%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

TEM 0–1 UTSA UTSA leads · 1 game since 2023 · UTSA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 7 2023	UTSA 49 @ Temple 34	UTSA -11	UTSA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM−13.8 →−16.9▼ 3.1#127

UTSA+1.0 →−4.9▼ 5.9#89

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

TEM

Longer bar = better

UTSA

#127

Offense

UTSA better ▶

#82

#104

Defense

UTSA better ▶

#68

−0.9 #125

Turnovers

UTSA better ▶

+0.2 #58

66 plays #84

Pace

UTSA faster ▶

82 plays #1

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: UTSA defense

	TEM off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	19.1 #126	32.0 #114	Even
Yards / play	4.69 #132	5.91 #95	UTSA
PPA / play	+0.01 #118	+0.07 #55	UTSA
Success rate	35% #133	35% #8	UTSA

When UTSA has the ball

Advantage: UTSA offense

	UTSA off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	31.2 #43	35.0 #123	UTSA
Yards / play	5.54 #85	5.98 #101	Even
PPA / play	+0.10 #90	+0.19 #108	Even
Success rate	39% #111	42% #82	TEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	2.3 #132	5.5 #122	7.8 #129	3.9 #114	7.1 #68	11.0 #104
UTSA allowed	5.1 #65	9.9 #109	15.0 #98	8.9 #125	8.1 #105	17.0 #124

UTSA scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	8.2 #23	10.6 #23	18.8 #21	4.4 #101	8.0 #43	12.4 #83
TEM allowed	7.0 #108	11.4 #125	18.4 #120	9.9 #131	6.7 #72	16.6 #121

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.