Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2024)

Sat, Nov 23, 2024, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Florida Atlantic · Conference game

Weather at kickoff69°F4 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Charlotte

3-7 · Power #119

▲ winner

Final

Florida Atlantic

2-8 · Power #118

final

Closing spread

CLT -3.5

✓ CLT W

Total

49.5

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

CLT 27–24 FAU

✓ CLT (57%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCLT -2.5

CloseCLT -3.5

Total47.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCLT -2.5

1 → CLT

CloseCLT -3.5

1 pt toward Charlotte

Total

Open47.5

▲ 2

Close49.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CLT -2.5 · closed CLT -3.5 · moved 1 toward CLTmodel FAU -1

model FAU -1

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 55%, covered 45% (124 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 47% (43 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCLT -2.5

CloseCLT -3.5

Total47.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLT as a 3.5-point road favorite at FAU, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: CLT won 39–27; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 66 points went over 49.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.4 against an average line of 3.8; 53.8 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UNT @ USM 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & rest	-5.25	38–14	W	O49
Very close	MTSU @ SHSU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	20–23	L	U50
Close	WMU @ EMU 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	45–21	W	O49.5
Close	BUFF @ AKR 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-1	41–30	W	O48
Close	CSU @ NEV 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-2	38–21	W	O45.5
Close	CMU @ BALL 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & spread	-5	17–24	L	U42
Close	OHIO @ M-OH 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	37–21	W	O52
Close	LT @ RICE 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & spread	-4	31–35	L	O52.5
Close	CSU @ HAW 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	24–27	L	U53.75
Close	OHIO @ BGSU 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar spread	-6.25	10–21	L	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLT WLWLL	4-4	50%	3-2	0-1
FAU WLLLL	3-7	30%	2-3	2-4

Venue/role: CLT away, as favorite; FAU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLT OOOUO	6-2	75%	3-7
FAU OOOOU	6-4	60%	2-8

Went over in Q4. Of 341 earlier overs in games with totals 45.5–53.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLT	3-7 30%	4-4 50%	6-2 75%
FAU	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CLT 0–1 FAU FAU leads · 1 game since 2023 · FAU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 27 2023	Florida Atlantic 38 @ Charlotte 16	FAU -3.5	FAU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLT−9.5 →−12.6▼ 3.1#117

FAU−6.9 →−13.7▼ 6.8#120

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CLT

Longer bar = better

FAU

#116

Offense

Even

#104

#121

Defense

FAU better ▶

#96

−1.0 #129

Turnovers

FAU better ▶

0.0 #70

63 plays #112

Pace

FAU faster ▶

67 plays #73

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLT has the ball

Even matchup

	CLT off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	21.6 #116	30.8 #106	Even
Yards / play	5.25 #110	6.07 #107	Even
PPA / play	0.00 #119	+0.12 #80	FAU
Success rate	38% #120	43% #90	FAU

When FAU has the ball

Even matchup

	FAU off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	22.1 #111	36.7 #127	Even
Yards / play	5.47 #92	6.37 #119	FAU
PPA / play	+0.08 #97	+0.25 #123	FAU
Success rate	38% #114	45% #113	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

CLT scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	3.1 #123	6.0 #114	9.1 #122	4.1 #111	8.4 #31	12.5 #79
FAU allowed	6.7 #105	7.6 #70	14.3 #87	7.1 #104	9.1 #117	16.2 #118

FAU scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	3.8 #109	8.5 #60	12.3 #91	5.9 #71	3.9 #132	9.8 #116
CLT allowed	6.7 #105	10.0 #111	16.7 #113	10.9 #134	9.1 #117	20.0 #133

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.